Sportivo Luqueño vs Libertad Asuncion: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Paraguayan Primera Division Sportivo Luqueño - Libertad Asuncion
Result
1:0
11/05/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Copa de Primera - Apertura - Round 18
  • Referee: Benitez C. (Par)
Sportivo Luqueño - Libertad Asuncion - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.441.66
Ball Possession
39%61%
Total shots
616
Shots on target
15
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
22
Passes
74% (219/296)78% (380/490)
Yellow Cards
62
Red Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
0.441.66
xG on target (xGOT)
0.121.12
Total shots
616
Shots on target
15
Shots off target
26
Blocked Shots
35
Shots inside the Box
39
Shots outside the Box
37
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
22
Touches in opposition box
834
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
15
Free Kicks
1217
Passes
74% (219/296)78% (380/490)
Long passes
51% (31/61)39% (26/67)
Passes in final third
62% (66/106)61% (97/159)
Crosses
4% (1/24)33% (7/21)
Expected assists (xA)
0.320.90
Throw-ins
1420
Fouls
1712
Tackles
100% (12/12)69% (11/16)
Duels won
5267
Clearances
4526
Interceptions
108
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
50
xGOT faced
1.120.12
Goals prevented
1.12-0.88

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 9', Espinoza M. 🟨,
  • 16', Campuzano A. 🟥,
  • 20', Rodriguez W. 🟨,
  • 26', Marchio J. 🟨,
  • 41', Ferreira R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Rodriguez W. , Comas L. ,
  • 46', Ramos J. , Torres I. ,
  • 48', 1 - 0, Pereira K. , Torres I. (A),
  • 56', Franco I. 🟨,
  • 57', Torres I. 🟨,
  • 61', Melgarejo L. , Fretes A. ,
  • 61', Franco I. , Alcaraz A. ,
  • 70', Santander F. , Perez M. ,
  • 72', Ferreira R. 🟨,
  • 75', Baez J. , Aguilar P. ,
  • 81', Aguilar G. , Cardozo O. ,
  • 81', Sanabria L. , Caballero H. ,
  • 82', Pereira K. , Benitez F. ,
  • 86', Martinez H. , Villalba R. ,
  • 90+2', Perez M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Sportivo Luqueño
17.6%
Draw
25.1%
Libertad Asuncion
57.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
19% 25.7% 55.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.2% 24.2% 51.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sportivo Luqueño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • Libertad Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Luqueño than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Libertad Asuncion than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Libertad Asuncion, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Sportivo Luqueño - Libertad Asuncion Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.27
    (4.87)
    3.68
    (3.6)
    1.61
    (1.68)
    8.1%
    (8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Sportivo Luqueño - Libertad Asuncion?
    The most likely score is 0:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 11 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Luqueño won 0.
    • The current form of both teams is below expectations.
    • Sportivo Luqueño may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Libertad is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Luqueño won 0 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 9:36. (average 0.5:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sportivo Luqueño won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:16. (average 0.9:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sportivo Luqueño - Libertad Asuncion were as follows:
    28.02.2025 Libertad Asuncion - Sportivo Luqueño 3:0
    13.11.2024 Libertad Asuncion - Sportivo Luqueño 2:0
    09.11.2024 Libertad Asuncion - Sportivo Luqueño 0:0
    28.08.2024 Sportivo Luqueño - Libertad Asuncion 1:1
    14.04.2024 Sportivo Luqueño - Libertad Asuncion 0:3
    Latest results of Sportivo Luqueño
    Paraguayan Primera Division Table
    Apertura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Libertad Asuncion22128235:152044
    2Cerro Porteno22116533:181539
    3Guarani22122827:24338
    4Sportivo Trinidense22810427:22534
    5Olimpia Asuncion2289527:22533
    6Ameliano2278723:20329
    7Recoleta2269729:31-227
    8Nacional Asuncion22741123:28-525
    9General Caballero JLM22571019:26-722
    10Sp. Luqueno22410813:25-1222
    112 de Mayo22212815:26-1118
    12Atl. Tembetary22391017:31-1418

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )

    Which TV channels are streaming of Sportivo Luqueño - Libertad Asuncion?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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