Sportivo Luqueño vs Libertad Asuncion: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Paraguayan Primera Division Sportivo Luqueño - Libertad Asuncion
Result
1:4
13/09/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Copa de Primera - Clausura - Round 12
  • Referee: Juliadoza G. (Par)
Sportivo Luqueño - Libertad Asuncion - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.981.26
Ball Possession
41%59%
Total shots
1418
Shots on target
48
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
91
Passes
68% (220/325)81% (401/494)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
0.981.26
xG on target (xGOT)
0.851.51
Total shots
1418
Shots on target
48
Shots off target
78
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
99
Shots outside the Box
59
Hit the Woodwork
11
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
91
Touches in opposition box
2619
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
116
Passes
68% (220/325)81% (401/494)
Long passes
46% (33/72)49% (29/59)
Passes in final third
58% (77/133)75% (120/160)
Crosses
29% (8/28)21% (4/19)
Expected assists (xA)
1.201.37
Throw-ins
2115
Fouls
712
Tackles
63% (5/8)73% (11/15)
Duels won
4843
Clearances
2831
Interceptions
125
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
43
xGOT faced
1.510.85
Goals prevented
-2.49-0.15

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 1', Campuzano A. 🟨,
  • 3', Gonzalez W. 🟨,
  • 9', Quintana S. 🟨,
  • 32', 1 - 0, Perez M. , Gonzalez W. (A),
  • 43', 1 - 1, Fernandez H. , Campuzano A. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 3)
  • 46', Campuzano A. , Sanabria L. ,
  • 46', Sanabria L. 🟨,
  • 58', Benitez F. , Benitez A. ,
  • 61', Comas L. , Diaz S. ,
  • 62', Fernandez H. , Villalba P. ,
  • 62', Bogarin J. , Recalde J. ,
  • 64', 1 - 2, Aguilar G. , Franco I. (A),
  • 66', Gonzalez W. , Santander F. ,
  • 66', Baez J. , Pereira K. ,
  • 80', Aguilar G. , Cardozo O. ,
  • 81', 1 - 3, Cardozo O. , Recalde J. (A),
  • 85', Franco I. , Fretes A. ,
  • 87', 1 - 4, Villalba P. ,

Chances of winning


Sportivo Luqueño
22%
Draw
27.7%
Libertad Asuncion
50.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
23.8% 27.9% 48.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.8% 26.8% 46.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sportivo Luqueño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • Libertad Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Luqueño than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Libertad Asuncion than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
  • Sportivo Luqueño - Libertad Asuncion Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.21
    (3.91)
    3.34
    (3.33)
    1.84
    (1.92)
    8%
    (7.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Sportivo Luqueño - Libertad Asuncion?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Sportivo Luqueño will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Libertad will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 5 and 7).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Luqueño won 2.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Sportivo Luqueño may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Libertad is the team to beat.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Luqueño won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 11:35. (average 0.6:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sportivo Luqueño won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:16. (average 0.9:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sportivo Luqueño - Libertad Asuncion were as follows:
    05.07.2025 Libertad Asuncion - Sportivo Luqueño 0:1
    11.05.2025 Sportivo Luqueño - Libertad Asuncion 1:0
    28.02.2025 Libertad Asuncion - Sportivo Luqueño 3:0
    13.11.2024 Libertad Asuncion - Sportivo Luqueño 2:0
    09.11.2024 Libertad Asuncion - Sportivo Luqueño 0:0
    Latest results of Libertad Asuncion
    Paraguayan Primera Division Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Guarani1391331:121928
    2Cerro Porteno1374223:16725
    3Nacional Asuncion1364316:11522
    4Sportivo Trinidense1363419:17221
    52 de Mayo1354415:17-219
    6Recoleta1353520:19118
    7General Caballero JLM1353514:18-418
    8Libertad Asuncion1345415:11417
    9Sp. Luqueno1352618:21-317
    10Olimpia Asuncion1334617:24-713
    11Ameliano1332813:23-1011
    12Atl. Tembetary1313914:26-126

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