São Paulo vs Libertad Asuncion: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Copa Libertadores São Paulo - Libertad Asuncion
Result
1:1
14/05/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 5
  • Referee: Betancur Gutierrez C. A. (Col)
São Paulo - Libertad Asuncion - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.910.67
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
147
Shots on target
31
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
64
Passes
91% (462/510)84% (376/445)
Yellow Cards
12
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.910.67
xG on target (xGOT)
0.850.13
Total shots
147
Shots on target
31
Shots off target
63
Blocked Shots
53
Shots inside the Box
83
Shots outside the Box
64
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
64
Touches in opposition box
177
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
99
Passes
91% (462/510)84% (376/445)
Long passes
51% (19/37)56% (25/45)
Passes in final third
75% (78/104)63% (45/71)
Crosses
26% (7/27)27% (3/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.550.56
Throw-ins
1517
Fouls
99
Tackles
83% (10/12)85% (11/13)
Duels won
4248
Clearances
2638
Interceptions
57
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
02
xGOT faced
0.130.85
Goals prevented
-0.87-0.15

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 16', Alisson 🟥,
  • 39', Caballero H. 🟨,
  • 45+2', Sanabria L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Ruan Tressoldi , Robert Arboleda ,
  • 57', Sanabria L. , Martinez H. ,
  • 57', Fretes A. , Melgarejo L. ,
  • 66', Oscar , Pablo Maia ,
  • 66', Ferreira , Ferraresi N. ,
  • 67', Santa C. R. , Aguilar G. ,
  • 67', Fernandez M. , Alcaraz A. ,
  • 74', 0 - 1, Aguilar G. , Ramirez I. (A),
  • 77', Soares C. , Luciano ,
  • 85', Lucas Ferreira , Lucca Marques ,
  • 90', 1 - 1, Lucca Marques , Pablo Maia (A),
  • 90+2', Lucca Marques 🟨,
  • 90+4', Campuzano A. , Cardozo Lucena A. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


São Paulo
57.9%
Draw
27.2%
Libertad Asuncion
15%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.9% 26.4% 13.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.4% 26.2% 13.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • São Paulo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • Libertad Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Paulo than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Libertad Asuncion than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
  • São Paulo - Libertad Asuncion Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.63
    (1.58)
    3.51
    (3.58)
    6.23
    (6.86)
    5.7%
    (5.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for São Paulo - Libertad Asuncion?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. São Paulo will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Libertad will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. São Paulo (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • São Paulo has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Libertad has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • São Paulo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, São Paulo is the undisputed favorite.
    • There will not play in São Paulo: Henrique Carmo (Inactive) Igor Vinicius (Injury) Jonathan Calleri (Knee Injury) Lucas Moura (Inactive) Luiz Gustavo (Contusion)
    • There will not play in Libertad: Cardozo Lucena A. (Inactive) Gimenez N. (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in São Paulo: Wendell (Injury)
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, São Paulo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between São Paulo - Libertad Asuncion were as follows:
    23.04.2025 Libertad Asuncion - São Paulo 0:2
    Latest results of São Paulo
    11.05.2025 Palmeiras - São Paulo 1:0
    06.05.2025 Alianza Lima - São Paulo 0:2
    02.05.2025 São Paulo - Fortaleza 0:0
    26.04.2025 Ceará - São Paulo 1:1
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Atl. NacionalSao Paulo1 : 2, 0 : 0
    2Botafogo RJLDU Quito0 : 2, 1 : 0
    3Libertad AsuncionRiver Plate1 : 2, 0 : 0
    4U. de DeportesPalmeiras0 : 0, 0 : 4
    5FortalezaVelez Sarsfield0 : 2, 0 : 0
    6PenarolRacing Club1 : 3, 1 : 0
    7Cerro PortenoEstudiantes L.P.0 : 0, 0 : 1
    8Flamengo RJInternacional2 : 0, 1 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Sao PauloLDU Quito
    2River PlatePalmeiras
    3Velez SarsfieldRacing Club
    4Estudiantes L.P.Flamengo RJ
    Which TV channels are streaming of São Paulo - Libertad Asuncion?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    africaAfricaStarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium
    argentinaArgentinaDisney+
    asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
    australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
    brazilBrazilParamount+
    bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 4
    canadaCanadabeIN Connect
    chileChileDisney+
    colombiaColombiaDisney+
    georgiaGeorgiaSilk Sport 1
    indonesiaIndonesiaMola TV
    israelIsraelSport 4
    italyItalyComo TV
    mexicoMexicoDisney+
    north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
    peruPeruDisney+
    portugalPortugalSport TV2
    russiaRussiaOkko Sport
    south-americaSouth-americaESPN 7 Latin America, ESPN7 South
    uruguayUruguayDisney+
    usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network, Tubi TV
    venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
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