São Paulo vs Libertad Asuncion: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Copa Libertadores São Paulo - Libertad Asuncion
Result
1:1
14/05/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 5
  • Referee: Betancur Gutierrez C. A. (Col)
São Paulo - Libertad Asuncion - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.910.67
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
147
Shots on target
31
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
64
Passes
91% (462/510)84% (376/445)
Yellow Cards
12
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.910.67
xG on target (xGOT)
0.850.13
Total shots
147
Shots on target
31
Shots off target
63
Blocked Shots
53
Shots inside the Box
83
Shots outside the Box
64
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
64
Touches in opposition box
177
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
99
Passes
91% (462/510)84% (376/445)
Long passes
51% (19/37)56% (25/45)
Passes in final third
75% (78/104)63% (45/71)
Crosses
26% (7/27)27% (3/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.550.56
Throw-ins
1517
Fouls
99
Tackles
83% (10/12)85% (11/13)
Duels won
4248
Clearances
2638
Interceptions
57
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
02
xGOT faced
0.130.85
Goals prevented
-0.87-0.15

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 16', Alisson 🟥,
  • 39', Caballero H. 🟨,
  • 45+2', Sanabria L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Ruan Tressoldi , Robert Arboleda ,
  • 57', Sanabria L. , Martinez H. ,
  • 57', Fretes A. , Melgarejo L. ,
  • 66', Oscar , Pablo Maia ,
  • 66', Ferreira , Ferraresi N. ,
  • 67', Santa C. R. , Aguilar G. ,
  • 67', Fernandez M. , Alcaraz A. ,
  • 74', 0 - 1, Aguilar G. , Ramirez I. (A),
  • 77', Soares C. , Luciano ,
  • 85', Lucas Ferreira , Lucca Marques ,
  • 90', 1 - 1, Lucca Marques , Pablo Maia (A),
  • 90+2', Lucca Marques 🟨,
  • 90+4', Campuzano A. , Cardozo Lucena A. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


São Paulo
57.9%
Draw
27.2%
Libertad Asuncion
15%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.9% 26.4% 13.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.4% 26.2% 13.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • São Paulo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • Libertad Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Paulo than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Libertad Asuncion than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
  • São Paulo - Libertad Asuncion Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.63
    (1.58)
    3.51
    (3.58)
    6.23
    (6.86)
    5.7%
    (5.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for São Paulo - Libertad Asuncion?
    The most likely score is 1:0. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • São Paulo has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Libertad has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • São Paulo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, São Paulo is the undisputed favorite.
    • There will not play in São Paulo: Henrique Carmo (Inactive) Igor Vinicius (Injury) Jonathan Calleri (Knee Injury) Lucas Moura (Inactive) Luiz Gustavo (Contusion)
    • There will not play in Libertad: Cardozo Lucena A. (Inactive) Gimenez N. (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in São Paulo: Wendell (Injury)
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, São Paulo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between São Paulo - Libertad Asuncion were as follows:
    23.04.2025 Libertad Asuncion - São Paulo 0:2
    Latest results of São Paulo
    11.05.2025 Palmeiras - São Paulo 1:0
    06.05.2025 Alianza Lima - São Paulo 0:2
    02.05.2025 São Paulo - Fortaleza 0:0
    26.04.2025 Ceará - São Paulo 1:1
    Copa Libertadores Table
    Group Stage

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estudiantes L.P640211:5612
    2Botafogo RJ64028:5312
    3U. De Chile63128:6210
    4Carabobo60152:13-111


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1River Plate633013:7612
    2U. de Deportes62224:408
    3Ind. del Valle62228:11-38
    4Barcelona SC61144:7-34


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1LDU Quito63218:4411
    2Flamengo RJ63216:3311
    3Central Cordoba63217:7011
    4Dep. Tachira60064:11-70


    Group D
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sao Paulo642010:4614
    2Libertad Asuncion62316:519
    3Alianza Lima61237:11-45
    4Talleres Cordoba61145:8-34


    Group E
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Club641114:31113
    2Fortaleza62228:538
    3Bucaramanga61326:10-46
    4Colo Colo61235:15-105


    Group F
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Internacional632112:8411
    2Atl. Nacional63037:619
    3Bahia62135:7-27
    4Nacional62137:10-37


    Group G
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Palmeiras660017:41318
    2Cerro Porteno62137:11-47
    3Bolivar620412:1116
    4Sporting Cristal61146:16-104


    Group H
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Velez Sarsfield632111:4711
    2Penarol63219:4511
    3SA Bulo Bulo62045:15-106
    4Olimpia Asuncion61239:11-25

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

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