Result
2:0
14/05/2024 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 5
- Referee: Maza P. (Chi)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.23 | 0.31 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 17 | 6 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 13 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Attacks |
|---|
| 142 | 112 |
| Dangerous Attacks |
|---|
| 50 | 48 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 41', 1 - 0, Miguel Borja ⚽, Casco M. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 59', Espinoza M. ↓, Melgarejo L. ↑,
- 65', Diaz P. 🟨,
- 68', Caballero H. 🟨,
- 70', Echeverri C. ↓, Barco E. ↑,
- 70', Fernandez N. ↓, Solari P. ↑,
- 71', Santa C. R. ↓, Cardozo O. ↑,
- 71', Franco I. ↓, Bareiro A. ↑,
- 75', Bareiro A. 🟨,
- 81', Aliendro R. ↓, Fonseca N. ↑,
- 81', Colidio F. ↓, Mastantuono F. ↑,
- 81', Merlini B. ↓, Aguilar G. ↑,
- 81', Caballero H. ↓, Campuzano A. ↑,
- 84', 2 - 0, Miguel Borja ⚽, Solari P. (A),
- 86', Villagra R. ↓, Kranevitter M. ↑,
Chances of winning
| River Plate Montevideo 72.3% | Draw 17.2% | Libertad Asuncion 10.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis) | River Plate Montevideo 68.4% | Draw 20.1% | Libertad Asuncion 11.5% |
Our Initial ML Estimation
| River Plate Montevideo 62.9% | Draw 18.5% | Libertad Asuncion 12.5% |
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
River Plate Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)Libertad Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for River Plate Montevideo than the current prediction. (-9.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with River Plate Montevideo that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Libertad Asuncion than the current prediction. (+2%)
River Plate Montevideo - Libertad Asuncion Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.3 ↓
(1.35) |
5.47 ↑
(4.6) |
9.05 ↑
(8) |
6.3%
(8.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for River Plate Montevideo - Libertad Asuncion?
The most likely score is 2:0.
User prediction is River Plate Montevideo will win! (12 of 12 users predict this).
Preview Facts
- River Plate is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches River Plate won 1.
- Recent matches River Plate is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Libertad is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Libertad could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Recently River Plate have a series of guest games.
- In this match River Plate is certain favorite.
- Last 14 head-to-head matches River Plate won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 18-23.
- Including matches at home between the teams River Plate won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-8.
How many head-to-head matches has River Plate Montevideo won against Libertad Asuncion?
River Plate Montevideo has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Libertad Asuncion won against River Plate Montevideo?
Libertad Asuncion has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between River Plate Montevideo - Libertad Asuncion were as follows:
24.04.2024
Libertad Asuncion
-
River Plate Montevideo
1:2
Latest results of River Plate Montevideo
Latest results of Libertad Asuncion
Copa Libertadores Table
Group StageGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | U. De Chile | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 7 |
| 2 | Estudiantes L.P | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Botafogo RJ | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Carabobo | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 1 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | River Plate | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 5 |
| 2 | Ind. del Valle | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Barcelona SC | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | U. de Deportes | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1:2 | -1 | 3 |
Group C | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Central Cordoba | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 7 |
| 2 | LDU Quito | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 5 |
| 3 | Flamengo RJ | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Dep. Tachira | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
Group D | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sao Paulo | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Libertad Asuncion | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Alianza Lima | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Talleres Cordoba | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:6 | -4 | 0 |
Group E | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bucaramanga | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6:5 | 1 | 5 |
| 2 | Racing Club | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 4 |
| 3 | Fortaleza | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Colo Colo | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4:7 | -3 | 2 |
Group F | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bahia | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 7 |
| 2 | Internacional | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7:4 | 3 | 5 |
| 3 | Atl. Nacional | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 |
| 4 | Nacional | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:7 | -4 | 1 |
Group G | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:4 | 3 | 9 |
| 2 | Cerro Porteno | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Bolivar | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Sporting Cristal | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4:8 | -4 | 1 |
Group H | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Velez Sarsfield | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:3 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | SA Bulo Bulo | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 6 |
| 3 | Penarol | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Olimpia Asuncion | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:7 | -5 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
Which TV channels are streaming of River Plate Montevideo - Libertad Asuncion?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport |
 Croatia | Arena Sport |
 Germany | Sport 1+ |
 Netherlands | ESPN |
 Portugal | Sport TV2 |
 Serbia | Arena Sport |
