River Plate Montevideo vs Libertad Asuncion: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Copa Libertadores River Plate Montevideo - Libertad Asuncion
Result
2:0
14/05/2024 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 5
  • Referee: Maza P. (Chi)
River Plate Montevideo - Libertad Asuncion - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.230.31
Ball Possession
58%42%
Goal Attempts
176
Shots on Goal
61
Shots off Goal
115
Free Kicks
1615
Corner Kicks
67
Offsides
63
Throw-ins
2613
Goalkeeper Saves
14
Fouls
912
Yellow Cards
12
Attacks
142112
Dangerous Attacks
5048

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 41', 1 - 0, Miguel Borja , Casco M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 59', Espinoza M. , Melgarejo L. ,
  • 65', Diaz P. 🟨,
  • 68', Caballero H. 🟨,
  • 70', Echeverri C. , Barco E. ,
  • 70', Fernandez N. , Solari P. ,
  • 71', Santa C. R. , Cardozo O. ,
  • 71', Franco I. , Bareiro A. ,
  • 75', Bareiro A. 🟨,
  • 81', Aliendro R. , Fonseca N. ,
  • 81', Colidio F. , Mastantuono F. ,
  • 81', Merlini B. , Aguilar G. ,
  • 81', Caballero H. , Campuzano A. ,
  • 84', 2 - 0, Miguel Borja , Solari P. (A),
  • 86', Villagra R. , Kranevitter M. ,

Chances of winning


River Plate Montevideo
72.3%
Draw
17.2%
Libertad Asuncion
10.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
68.4% 20.1% 11.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.9% 18.5% 12.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • River Plate Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
  • Libertad Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for River Plate Montevideo than the current prediction. (-9.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with River Plate Montevideo that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Libertad Asuncion than the current prediction. (+2%)
  • River Plate Montevideo - Libertad Asuncion Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.3
    (1.35)
    5.47
    (4.6)
    9.05
    (8)
    6.3%
    (8.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for River Plate Montevideo - Libertad Asuncion?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. River Plate will win (votes: 12 - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for River Plate: 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • River Plate is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches River Plate won 1.
    • Recent matches River Plate is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Libertad is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Libertad could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently River Plate have a series of guest games.
    • In this match River Plate is certain favorite.
    • Last 14 head-to-head matches River Plate won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 18-23.
    • Including matches at home between the teams River Plate won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-8.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between River Plate Montevideo - Libertad Asuncion were as follows:
    24.04.2024 Libertad Asuncion - River Plate Montevideo 1:2
    Latest results of Libertad Asuncion
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Atl. NacionalSao Paulo1 : 2, 0 : 0
    2Botafogo RJLDU Quito0 : 2, 1 : 0
    3Libertad AsuncionRiver Plate1 : 2, 0 : 0
    4U. de DeportesPalmeiras0 : 0, 0 : 4
    5FortalezaVelez Sarsfield0 : 2, 0 : 0
    6PenarolRacing Club1 : 3, 1 : 0
    7Cerro PortenoEstudiantes L.P.0 : 0, 0 : 1
    8Flamengo RJInternacional2 : 0, 1 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Sao PauloLDU Quito
    2River PlatePalmeiras
    3Velez SarsfieldRacing Club
    4Estudiantes L.P.Flamengo RJ
    Which TV channels are streaming of River Plate Montevideo - Libertad Asuncion?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport
    croatiaCroatiaArena Sport
    germanyGermanySport 1+
    netherlandsNetherlandsESPN
    portugalPortugalSport TV2
    serbiaSerbiaArena Sport
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