Libertad Asuncion vs River Plate: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Copa Libertadores Libertad Asuncion - River Plate
14/08/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Libertad Asuncion - River Plate - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Libertad Asuncion
22.5%
Draw
27.5%
River Plate
50%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
21.5% 27.3% 51.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21% 26.7% 52.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Libertad Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • River Plate has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Libertad Asuncion than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for River Plate than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
  • Libertad Asuncion - River Plate Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.17
    (4.41)
    3.51
    (3.46)
    1.89
    (1.85)
    5.3%
    (5.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg.
    • Now, both teams are in good form.
    • River Plate may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, River Plate is the team to beat.
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of River Plate
    Copa Libertadores Table
    Group Stage

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estudiantes L.P640211:5612
    2Botafogo RJ64028:5312
    3U. De Chile63128:6210
    4Carabobo60152:13-111


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1River Plate633013:7612
    2U. de Deportes62224:408
    3Ind. del Valle62228:11-38
    4Barcelona SC61144:7-34


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1LDU Quito63218:4411
    2Flamengo RJ63216:3311
    3Central Cordoba63217:7011
    4Dep. Tachira60064:11-70


    Group D
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sao Paulo642010:4614
    2Libertad Asuncion62316:519
    3Alianza Lima61237:11-45
    4Talleres Cordoba61145:8-34


    Group E
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Club641114:31113
    2Fortaleza62228:538
    3Bucaramanga61326:10-46
    4Colo Colo61235:15-105


    Group F
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Internacional632112:8411
    2Atl. Nacional63037:619
    3Bahia62135:7-27
    4Nacional62137:10-37


    Group G
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Palmeiras660017:41318
    2Cerro Porteno62137:11-47
    3Bolivar620412:1116
    4Sporting Cristal61146:16-104


    Group H
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Velez Sarsfield632111:4711
    2Penarol63219:4511
    3SA Bulo Bulo62045:15-106
    4Olimpia Asuncion61239:11-25

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

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