River Plate vs Libertad Asuncion: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Copa Libertadores River Plate - Libertad Asuncion
Result
2:1 penalties
21/08/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Copa Libertadores - Play Offs - 1/8-finals
  • Referee: Matonte Cabrera A. M. (Uru)
River Plate - Libertad Asuncion - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.321.26
Ball Possession
60%40%
Total shots
1517
Shots on target
68
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
26
Passes
75% (398/528)66% (232/349)
Yellow Cards
43
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.321.26
xG on target (xGOT)
1.621.29
Total shots
1517
Shots on target
68
Shots off target
64
Blocked Shots
35
Shots inside the Box
89
Shots outside the Box
78
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
26
Touches in opposition box
3724
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
156
Passes
75% (398/528)66% (232/349)
Long passes
46% (26/57)40% (34/84)
Passes in final third
63% (100/158)51% (62/122)
Crosses
25% (4/16)38% (6/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.321.08
Throw-ins
2327
Fouls
817
Tackles
56% (10/18)48% (11/23)
Duels won
6958
Clearances
3550
Interceptions
79
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
75
xGOT faced
1.291.62
Goals prevented
0.290.62

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 18', Franco I. 🟨,
  • 20', Giuliano Galoppo 🟨,
  • 29', 1 - 0, Driussi S. ,
  • 43', 1 - 1, Rojas R. , Fernandez H. (A),
  • 45+4', Rojas R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Diaz P. , Boselli S. ,
  • 52', Giuliano Galoppo 🟨,
  • 54', Quintero J. , Galarza M. ,
  • 61', Campuzano A. , Caballero H. ,
  • 61', Fernandez H. , Fernandez M. ,
  • 68', Montiel G. 🟨,
  • 68', Driussi S. , Miguel Borja ,
  • 70', Fernandez N. 🟨,
  • 77', Sanabria L. , Cardozo Lucena A. ,
  • 77', Franco I. , Villalba R. ,
  • 78', Perez E. , Castano K. ,
  • 79', Colidio F. , Subiabre I. ,
  • 89', Aguilar G. , Recalde J. ,
  • 90+1', Cardozo Lucena A. 🟨,
  • Penalties (3 - 1)
  • 1, Fernandez N. (Pen),
  • 1, Recalde J. (Pen),
  • 2, Miguel Borja (Pen),
  • 2, Viera D. (Pen),
  • 3, Acuna M. (Pen),
  • 3, Caballero H. (Pen),
  • 4, Martinez Quarta L. (Pen),
  • 4, Fernandez M. (Pen),

Highlights

Chances of winning


River Plate
73%
Draw
18.5%
Libertad Asuncion
8.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
73.9% 17.6% 8.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • River Plate has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • Libertad Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • River Plate - Libertad Asuncion Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.29
    (1.27)
    5.08
    (5.35)
    11.26
    (10.96)
    6.1%
    (6.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for River Plate - Libertad Asuncion?
  • Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. River Plate will win (votes: 11 - 64.7%). Libertad will win (votes: 1 - 5.9%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 29.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for River Plate: 42%87.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): River Plate will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 0-0. 2nd leg.
    • Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
    • In this match, River Plate is the undeniable favorite.
    • There will not play in River Plate: Martinez Quarta L. (Knee Injury) Meza M. (Knee Injury) Pezzella G. (Knee Injury) Ruberto A. (Knee Injury) Salas M. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Libertad: Morinigo Acosta R. M. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in River Plate: Bustos F. (Injury)
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, River Plate won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between River Plate - Libertad Asuncion were as follows:
    14.08.2025 Libertad Asuncion - River Plate 0:0
    Latest results of River Plate
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Atl. NacionalSao Paulo1 : 2, 0 : 0
    2Botafogo RJLDU Quito0 : 2, 1 : 0
    3Libertad AsuncionRiver Plate1 : 2, 0 : 0
    4U. de DeportesPalmeiras0 : 0, 0 : 4
    5FortalezaVelez Sarsfield0 : 2, 0 : 0
    6PenarolRacing Club1 : 3, 1 : 0
    7Cerro PortenoEstudiantes L.P.0 : 0, 0 : 1
    8Flamengo RJInternacional2 : 0, 1 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Sao PauloLDU Quito
    2River PlatePalmeiras
    3Velez SarsfieldRacing Club
    4Estudiantes L.P.Flamengo RJ
    Which TV channels are streaming of River Plate - Libertad Asuncion?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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