Result
1:1
14/04/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Copa de Primera - Apertura - Round 14
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Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.54 | 2.08 |
Ball Possession |
---|
38% | 62% |
Total shots |
---|
13 | 20 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 7 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 5 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 5 |
Passes |
---|
78% (271/348) | 84% (465/555) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.54 | 2.08 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.20 | 1.20 |
Total shots |
---|
13 | 20 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 7 |
Shots off target |
---|
5 | 8 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
4 | 5 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
6 | 14 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
7 | 6 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 5 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 5 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
13 | 31 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
9 | 8 |
Passes |
---|
78% (271/348) | 84% (465/555) |
Long passes |
---|
53% (29/55) | 59% (40/68) |
Passes in final third |
---|
62% (61/98) | 63% (111/175) |
Crosses |
---|
29% (4/14) | 39% (11/28) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.29 | 1.39 |
Fouls |
---|
8 | 9 |
Tackles |
---|
86% (12/14) | 57% (12/21) |
Duels won |
---|
44 | 61 |
Clearances Total |
---|
56 | 18 |
Interceptions |
---|
6 | 12 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
6 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.20 | 0.20 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.20 | -0.78 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 7', 1 - 0, Garay C. ⚽,
- 21', Ramirez I. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Sanabria L. ↓, Cardozo O. ↑,
- 52', Schupp M. ↓, Piris I. ↑,
- 52', Gonzalez A. ↓, Cardozo L. ↑,
- 54', Gimenez N. 🟨,
- 65', Jacquet M. ↓, Campuzano A. ↑,
- 65', Franco I. ↓, Fernandez M. ↑,
- 65', Baez W. ↓, Ferreira B. ↑,
- 65', Garay C. ↓, Silva A. ↑,
- 71', Mendoza L. 🟨,
- 75', Mendoza L. ↓, Samudio M. ↑,
- 76', Ferreira B. 🟨,
- 88', 1 - 1, Fernandez M. ⚽, Campuzano A. (A),
- 90', Aguilar G. ↓, Alcaraz A. ↑,
- 90+4', Melgarejo L. ↓, Fretes A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Deportivo Recoleta 16.1% | Draw 24.6% | Libertad Asuncion 59.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Recoleta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportivo Recoleta's form might have worsened.Libertad Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Libertad Asuncion's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Recoleta than the current prediction. (+8.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo Recoleta, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Libertad Asuncion than the current prediction. (-10.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Libertad Asuncion, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Deportivo Recoleta - Libertad Asuncion Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
5.69 ↑ (3.7) |
3.74 ↑ (3.45) |
1.6 ↓ (1.86) |
6.9% (9.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Deportivo Recoleta - Libertad Asuncion?
The most likely score is 0:1.
User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
Preview Facts
- During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 6 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
- Recent matches Recoleta is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Libertad is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Libertad could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Recently Libertad have a series of home games.
- In this match Libertad is a favorite.
- Last 1 head-to-head matches Recoleta won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:5
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Recoleta won against Libertad Asuncion?
Deportivo Recoleta has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Libertad Asuncion won against Deportivo Recoleta?
Libertad Asuncion has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Recoleta - Libertad Asuncion were as follows:
02.02.2025
Libertad Asuncion
-
Deportivo Recoleta
5:2
Latest results of Deportivo Recoleta
Latest results of Libertad Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division Table
Apertura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Libertad Asuncion | 18 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 31:13 | 18 | 36 |
2 | Guarani | 18 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 21:17 | 4 | 32 |
3 | Cerro Porteno | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 24:15 | 9 | 31 |
4 | Olimpia Asuncion | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 25:20 | 5 | 29 |
5 | Sportivo Trinidense | 18 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 20:19 | 1 | 24 |
6 | Recoleta | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 27:28 | -1 | 24 |
7 | General Caballero JLM | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 15:18 | -3 | 21 |
8 | Ameliano | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 18:19 | -1 | 21 |
9 | Sp. Luqueno | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 12:19 | -7 | 20 |
10 | Nacional Asuncion | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 14:23 | -9 | 18 |
11 | Atl. Tembetary | 18 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 14:20 | -6 | 17 |
12 | 2 de Mayo | 18 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 13:23 | -10 | 15 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Which TV channels are streaming of Deportivo Recoleta - Libertad Asuncion?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
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Argentina | DirecTV Sports |
Paraguay | Tigo Sports |
Usa | Fanatiz |