Deportivo Recoleta vs Libertad Asuncion: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Paraguayan Primera Division Deportivo Recoleta - Libertad Asuncion
Result
1:1
14/04/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Copa de Primera - Apertura - Round 14
Deportivo Recoleta - Libertad Asuncion - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.542.08
Ball Possession
38%62%
Total shots
1320
Shots on target
47
Big Chances
05
Corner Kicks
25
Passes
78% (271/348)84% (465/555)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
0.542.08
xG on target (xGOT)
0.201.20
Total shots
1320
Shots on target
47
Shots off target
58
Blocked Shots
45
Shots inside the Box
614
Shots outside the Box
76
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
05
Corner Kicks
25
Touches in opposition box
1331
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
98
Passes
78% (271/348)84% (465/555)
Long passes
53% (29/55)59% (40/68)
Passes in final third
62% (61/98)63% (111/175)
Crosses
29% (4/14)39% (11/28)
Expected assists (xA)
0.291.39
Fouls
89
Tackles
86% (12/14)57% (12/21)
Duels won
4461
Clearances Total
5618
Interceptions
612
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
63
xGOT faced
1.200.20
Goals prevented
0.20-0.78

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 7', 1 - 0, Garay C. ,
  • 21', Ramirez I. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Sanabria L. , Cardozo O. ,
  • 52', Schupp M. , Piris I. ,
  • 52', Gonzalez A. , Cardozo L. ,
  • 54', Gimenez N. 🟨,
  • 65', Jacquet M. , Campuzano A. ,
  • 65', Franco I. , Fernandez M. ,
  • 65', Baez W. , Ferreira B. ,
  • 65', Garay C. , Silva A. ,
  • 71', Mendoza L. 🟨,
  • 75', Mendoza L. , Samudio M. ,
  • 76', Ferreira B. 🟨,
  • 88', 1 - 1, Fernandez M. , Campuzano A. (A),
  • 90', Aguilar G. , Alcaraz A. ,
  • 90+4', Melgarejo L. , Fretes A. ,

Chances of winning


Deportivo Recoleta
16.1%
Draw
24.6%
Libertad Asuncion
59.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
24.6% 26.4% 49%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.8% 26.6% 48.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Deportivo Recoleta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportivo Recoleta's form might have worsened.
  • Libertad Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Libertad Asuncion's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Recoleta than the current prediction. (+8.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo Recoleta, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Libertad Asuncion than the current prediction. (-10.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Libertad Asuncion, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Deportivo Recoleta - Libertad Asuncion Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.69
    (3.7)
    3.74
    (3.45)
    1.6
    (1.86)
    6.9%
    (9.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Deportivo Recoleta - Libertad Asuncion?
    The most likely score is 0:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 6 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
    • Recent matches Recoleta is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Libertad is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Libertad could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Recently Libertad have a series of home games.
    • In this match Libertad is a favorite.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Recoleta won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:5
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Recoleta - Libertad Asuncion were as follows:
    02.02.2025 Libertad Asuncion - Deportivo Recoleta 5:2
    Latest results of Libertad Asuncion
    Paraguayan Primera Division Table
    Apertura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Libertad Asuncion18106231:131836
    2Guarani18102621:17432
    3Cerro Porteno1894524:15931
    4Olimpia Asuncion1885525:20529
    5Sportivo Trinidense1859420:19124
    6Recoleta1866627:28-124
    7General Caballero JLM1856715:18-321
    8Ameliano1856718:19-121
    9Sp. Luqueno1848612:19-720
    10Nacional Asuncion18531014:23-918
    11Atl. Tembetary1838714:20-617
    122 de Mayo1829713:23-1015

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )

    Which TV channels are streaming of Deportivo Recoleta - Libertad Asuncion?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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