Result
2:2
27/05/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 6
- Referee: Ostojich E. (Uru)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.78 | 1.24 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (419/518) | 71% (225/317) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.78 | 1.24 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.34 | 1.99 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (419/518) | 71% (225/317) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (24/61) | 38% (23/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (83/140) | 60% (45/75) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (8/28) | 27% (3/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 0.37 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (9/14) | 36% (5/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 36 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 36 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.99 | 1.34 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.01 | -0.66 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 28', 0 - 1, Paolo Guerrero ⚽, Castillo J. (A),
- 40', Jacquet M. 🟨,
- 42', 0 - 2, Castillo E. ⚽, Cari P. (A),
- 45+3', Garces R. 🟨,
- 45+5', 1 - 2, Cardozo O. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Caballero H. ↓, Campuzano A. ↑,
- 62', Cari P. ↓, Aguirre G. ↑,
- 63', 2 - 2, Ramirez I. ⚽,
- 68', Paolo Guerrero ↓, Barcos H. ↑,
- 68', Trauco M. ↓, Lagos R. ↑,
- 77', Quevedo K. ↓, Velasquez J. ↑,
- 81', Lagos R. 🟨,
- 82', Cardozo O. 🟨,
- 83', Alcaraz A. ↓, Villalba R. ↑,
- 89', Cardozo Lucena A. ↓, Sanabria L. ↑,
- 89', Fernandez M. ↓, Villalba P. ↑,
- 89', Aguilar G. ↓, Santa C. R. ↑,
Chances of winning
Libertad Asuncion
38% | Draw
31.2% | Alianza Lima
30.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Libertad Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Libertad Asuncion's form might have worsened.Alianza Lima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alianza Lima's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Libertad Asuncion than the current prediction. (+11.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Libertad Asuncion, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Lima than the current prediction. (-9.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alianza Lima, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Libertad Asuncion - Alianza Lima Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.46 ↑
(1.76) |
3.07 ↓
(3.45) |
3.12 ↓
(4.75) |
5.2%
(6.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Libertad Asuncion - Alianza Lima?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Libertad will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). Alianza Lima will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Libertad: 35% – 88%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Alianza Lima (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Libertad is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Libertad may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Libertad is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Alianza Lima: Archimbaud J.
(Injury)
Cantero A.
(Muscle Injury)
Ceppelini P.
(Suspended)
Lavandeira Hernandez P.
(Tendon Injury)
Zambrano C.
(Red Card)
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Libertad won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1.5:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Libertad won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Libertad Asuncion won against Alianza Lima?
Libertad Asuncion has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alianza Lima won against Libertad Asuncion?
Alianza Lima has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Libertad Asuncion - Alianza Lima were as follows:
01.04.2025
Alianza Lima
-
Libertad Asuncion
0:1
23.05.2023
Alianza Lima
-
Libertad Asuncion
1:2
20.04.2023
Libertad Asuncion
-
Alianza Lima
1:2
Latest results of Libertad Asuncion
Latest results of Alianza Lima
Copa Libertadores Table
Group StageGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Estudiantes L.P | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11:5 | 6 | 12 |
| 2 | Botafogo RJ | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 8:5 | 3 | 12 |
| 3 | U. De Chile | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 10 |
| 4 | Carabobo | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2:13 | -11 | 1 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | River Plate | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 13:7 | 6 | 12 |
| 2 | U. de Deportes | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 8 |
| 3 | Ind. del Valle | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:11 | -3 | 8 |
| 4 | Barcelona SC | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:7 | -3 | 4 |
Group C | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | LDU Quito | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 11 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 11 |
| 3 | Central Cordoba | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 11 |
| 4 | Dep. Tachira | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4:11 | -7 | 0 |
Group D | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sao Paulo | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 10:4 | 6 | 14 |
| 2 | Libertad Asuncion | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 9 |
| 3 | Alianza Lima | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 5 |
| 4 | Talleres Cordoba | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:8 | -3 | 4 |
Group E | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Racing Club | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14:3 | 11 | 13 |
| 2 | Fortaleza | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:5 | 3 | 8 |
| 3 | Bucaramanga | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6:10 | -4 | 6 |
| 4 | Colo Colo | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:15 | -10 | 5 |
Group F | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Internacional | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12:8 | 4 | 11 |
| 2 | Atl. Nacional | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7:6 | 1 | 9 |
| 3 | Bahia | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 7 |
| 4 | Nacional | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 7 |
Group G | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 17:4 | 13 | 18 |
| 2 | Cerro Porteno | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 7 |
| 3 | Bolivar | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 12:11 | 1 | 6 |
| 4 | Sporting Cristal | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6:16 | -10 | 4 |
Group H | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Velez Sarsfield | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11:4 | 7 | 11 |
| 2 | Penarol | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:4 | 5 | 11 |
| 3 | SA Bulo Bulo | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5:15 | -10 | 6 |
| 4 | Olimpia Asuncion | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
Which TV channels are streaming of Libertad Asuncion - Alianza Lima?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Africa | StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium |
 Argentina | Disney+, FOX Sports 3 |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD |
 Australia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 Belarus | Okko Sport |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 2 |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 Chile | ESPN Premium |
 Colombia | ESPN 5 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go |
 Germany | Sportdigital+ |
 Indonesia | Mola TV |
 Israel | Sport 3 |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 Peru | Disney+, Fox Sports 2 |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 2 |
 South-america | ESPN 5 South |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
