Qingdao Red Lions vs Liaoning Tieren: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

26/04/2025 at 03:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Qingdao Tiantai Stadium (Qingdao).

: Jia League - Round 6

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.18	1.94
Ball Possession
53%	47%
Total shots
10	11
Shots on target
2	7
Big Chances
1	3
Corner Kicks
2	1
Passes
83% (428/518)	82% (385/472)
Yellow Cards
1	0
Expected Goals (xG)
1.18	1.94
xG on target (xGOT)
1.00	3.49
Total shots
10	11
Shots on target
2	7
Shots off target
7	3
Blocked Shots
1	1
Shots inside the Box
4	8
Shots outside the Box
6	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
1	3
Corner Kicks
2	1
Touches in opposition box
12	18
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	1
Free Kicks
20	10
Passes
83% (428/518)	82% (385/472)
Long passes
36% (21/58)	43% (27/63)
Passes in final third
60% (78/129)	64% (67/105)
Crosses
19% (3/16)	38% (3/8)
Expected assists (xA)
0.77	1.17
Throw-ins
29	17
Fouls
10	20
Tackles
86% (6/7)	80% (12/15)
Duels won
32	42
Clearances
13	30
Interceptions
6	9
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
4	1
xGOT faced
3.49	1.00
Goals prevented
-0.14	0.00

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 3)
8', Song Runtong ↓, Pi Ziyang ↑,
9', 0 - 1, Mbenza G. ⚽, Kunimoto T. (A),
12', 0 - 2, Zang Yifeng ⚽, Samuel A. (A),
20', 1 - 2, Nie Aoshuang ⚽, Nobrega J. (A),
45', 1 - 3, Mbenza G. ⚽, Kunimoto T. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
52', Hao Yucheng 🟨,
65', Chen Hao-Wei ↓, Tao Yuan ↑,
65', Hao Yucheng ↓, Wu Junhao ↑,
71', Tian Yinong ↓, Gao Jiarun ↑,
78', Nie Aoshuang ↓, Zheng Haokun ↑,
78', Jia Xiaochen ↓, Iskandar B. ↑,
82', Kunimoto T. ↓, Zhao Jianbo ↑,
90+2', Zang Yifeng ↓, Sun Weijia ↑,
90+2', Samuel A. ↓, Gao Haisheng ↑,

Chances of winning

Qingdao Red Lions
10.5%

Draw
20.9%

Liaoning Tieren
68.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.9%

27.6%

51.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.4%

26.9%

52.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Qingdao Red Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Qingdao Red Lions's form might have worsened.

Liaoning Tieren has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Liaoning Tieren's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Qingdao Red Lions than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Qingdao Red Lions, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Liaoning Tieren than the current prediction. (-15.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Liaoning Tieren, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Qingdao Red Lions - Liaoning Tieren Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.9 ↑ (4.38)	4.46 ↑ (3.32)	1.36 ↓ (1.77)	7.3% (9.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

Preview Facts

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Yi League and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League).
Recent matches Qingdao Red Lions is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Liaoning Tieren is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Liaoning Tieren could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Liaoning Tieren is a favorite.
Last 4 head-to-head matches Qingdao Red Lions won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3:9 (average 0.8:2.3).
Including matches at home between the teams Qingdao Red Lions won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0:5 (average 0:2.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Qingdao Red Lions won against Liaoning Tieren?

Qingdao Red Lions has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Liaoning Tieren won against Qingdao Red Lions?

Liaoning Tieren has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Qingdao Red Lions - Liaoning Tieren were as follows:

12.10.2024 Qingdao Red Lions - Liaoning Tieren 0:1

01.06.2024 Liaoning Tieren - Qingdao Red Lions 2:2

Latest results of Qingdao Red Lions

22.04.2025 Shanghai Jiading Huilong - Qingdao Red Lions 2:0 ✺

19.04.2025 Jiangxi Lushan - Qingdao Red Lions 0:1 ✺

12.04.2025 Dingnan United - Qingdao Red Lions 1:0 ✺

05.04.2025 Qingdao Red Lions - Dalian Kun City 0:0 ✺

29.03.2025 Qingdao Red Lions - Yanbian Longding 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Liaoning Tieren

22.04.2025 Liaoning Tieren - Shenzhen Juniors 7:1 ✺

18.04.2025 Lanzhou Longyuan - Liaoning Tieren 0:2 ✺

12.04.2025 Guangdong GZ-Power - Liaoning Tieren 0:2 ✺

06.04.2025 Liaoning Tieren - Yanbian Longding 2:1 ✺

29.03.2025 Chongqing Tongliang Long - Liaoning Tieren 2:1 ✺

Chinese Jia League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Liaoning Tieren	17	12	4	1	40:16	24	40
2	Chongqing Tonglianglong	17	11	4	2	37:20	17	37
3	Yanbian Longding	17	9	4	4	21:16	5	31
4	Guangdong GZ-Power	16	9	3	4	28:20	8	30
5	Shijiazhuang Gongfu	17	8	4	5	27:21	6	28
6	Dalian K'un City	16	6	5	5	21:21	0	23
7	Shanghai Jiading Huilong	17	7	2	8	18:24	-6	23
8	Nantong Zhiyun	17	6	4	7	21:21	0	22
9	Suzhou Dongwu	17	5	6	6	18:17	1	21
10	Dingnan Ganlian	16	4	8	4	21:22	-1	20
11	Nanjing City	17	5	5	7	22:25	-3	20
12	Shenzhen Juniors	17	6	2	9	24:33	-9	20
13	Shaanxi Union	16	5	4	7	21:24	-3	19
14	Foshan Nanshi	17	4	5	8	15:24	-9	17
15	Qingdao Red Lions	17	1	6	10	10:22	-12	9
16	Guangxi Pingguo Haliao	17	1	4	12	9:27	-18	7

Promotion ~ Super League
Relegation ~ Yi League

Which TV channels are streaming of Qingdao Red Lions - Liaoning Tieren?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8