Result
1:2
28/07/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: Toronto, hard - 1/64-finals
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 54% | 50% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 74% (34/46) | 76% (32/42) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 54% (21/39) | 50% (21/42) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 50% (3/6) | 57% (4/7) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 24% (10/42) | 39% (18/46) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 50% (21/42) | 46% (18/39) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 43% (3/7) | 50% (3/6) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 35 | 16 |
| Unforced Errors |
|---|
| 54 | 31 |
| Net Points Won |
|---|
| 79% (11/14) | 50% (3/6) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 65% (55/84) | 63% (53/84) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 37% (31/84) | 35% (29/84) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 51% (86/168) | 49% (82/168) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 79% (11/14) | 79% (11/14) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 21% (3/14) | 21% (3/14) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 50% (14/28) | 50% (14/28) |
Chances of winning
Liam Draxl
61.1% | Pablo Carreno-Busta
38.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Liam Draxl has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)Pablo Carreno-Busta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liam Draxl than the current prediction. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pablo Carreno-Busta than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
Liam Draxl - Pablo Carreno-Busta Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.56 ↓
(1.62) |
|
2.43 ↑
(2.3) |
5.3%
(5.2%) | |
What is the prediction for Liam Draxl - Pablo Carreno-Busta?
Users Predictions:
Liam Draxl will win
(28 of 35 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 66.75% – 93.25%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Liam Draxl will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Draxl is ranked ATP: 115. Carreno Busta is ranked ATP: 92.
- Draxl is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Carreno Busta has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Draxl may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Draxl is seen as the favorite.
- Recently, the players have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Liam Draxl won against Pablo Carreno-Busta?
Liam Draxl has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pablo Carreno-Busta won against Liam Draxl?
Pablo Carreno-Busta has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Liam Draxl - Pablo Carreno-Busta were as follows:
Latest results of Liam Draxl
Latest results of Pablo Carreno-Busta
Draw
Singles - Main1/64-finals| 1 | Zverev A. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Walton A. | Bonzi B. | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Schoolkate T. (Q) | Fonseca J. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Bye | Arnaldi M. (32) | |
| 5 | Griekspoor T. (24) | Bye | |
| 6 | Herbert P. (Q) | Etcheverry T. M. | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Martin D. (Q) | Munar J. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Bye | Cerundolo F. (14) | |
| 9 | Medvedev D. (10) | Bye | |
| 10 | Blockx A. (Q) | Svrcina D. (LL) | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Arseneault N. (WC) | Royer V. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 12 | Bye | Popyrin A. (18) | |
| 13 | Muller A. (29) | Bye | |
| 14 | Kecmanovic M. | Halys Q. | 2 : 1 |
| 15 | Mochizuki S. (Q) | Mpetshi Perricard G. | 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Bye | Rune H. (5) | |
| 17 | Musetti L. (3) | Bye | |
| 18 | Shang J. | Duckworth J. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 19 | Monfils G. | Barrios Vera T. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 20 | Bye | Michelsen A. (26) | |
| 21 | Shapovalov D. (22) | Bye | |
| 22 | Smith C. (Q) | Tien L. | 0 : 2 |
| 23 | Ofner S. (PR) | Opelka R. | 0 : 2 |
| 24 | Bye | Machac T. (16) | |
| 25 | Khachanov K. (11) | Bye | |
| 26 | Fearnley J. | Ficovich J. P. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 27 | Nava E. (Q) | Bergs Z. | 2 : 0 |
| 28 | Bye | Atmane T. (LL) | |
| 29 | Borges N. (30) | Bye | |
| 30 | Bagnis F. (Q) | Pospisil V. (WC) | 2 : 1 |
| 31 | Safiullin R. | Blanchet U. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 32 | Bye | Ruud C. (8) | |
| 33 | Tiafoe F. (7) | Bye | |
| 34 | Watanuki Y. (Q) | Altmaier D. | 2 : 1 |
| 35 | Vukic A. | Martinez P. | 2 : 0 |
| 36 | Bye | Norrie C. (31) | |
| 37 | Tsitsipas S. (23) | Bye | |
| 38 | O'Connell C. | Tseng C. H. (LL) | 2 : 0 |
| 39 | Comesana F. | Dzumhur D. | 2 : 0 |
| 40 | Bye | De Minaur A. (9) | |
| 41 | Cobolli F. (13) | Bye | |
| 42 | Rinderknech A. | Galarneau A. (WC) | 0 : 2 |
| 43 | Marozsan F. | Dellien H. | 2 : 0 |
| 44 | Bye | Auger-Aliassime F. (21) | |
| 45 | Nakashima B. (25) | Bye | |
| 46 | Quinn E. | Nishioka Y. | 2 : 0 |
| 47 | Giron M. | Mannarino A. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 48 | Bye | Shelton B. (4) | |
| 49 | Rublev A. (6) | Bye | |
| 50 | Bellucci M. (RET.) | Gaston H. | 1 : 1 |
| 51 | Kopriva V. | Bu Y. | 0 : 2 |
| 52 | Bye | Sonego L. (28) | |
| 53 | Davidovich Fokina A. (20) | Bye | |
| 54 | Moutet C. | Brooksby J. (PR) | 2 : 0 |
| 55 | Boyer T. (Q) | Kovacevic A. | 2 : 0 |
| 56 | Bye | Mensik J. (12) | |
| 57 | Fils A. (15) | Bye | |
| 58 | Draxl L. (WC) | Carreno-Busta P. | 1 : 2 |
| 59 | McDonald M. | Goffin D. | 2 : 0 |
| 60 | Bye | Lehecka J. (19) | |
| 61 | Diallo G. (27) | Bye | |
| 62 | Coric B. | Gigante M. (WC) | 1 : 2 |
| 63 | Carballes Baena R. | Ugo Carabelli C. (RET.) | 1 : 0 |
| 64 | Bye | Fritz T. (2) | |
1/32-finals| 1 | Zverev A. (1) | Walton A. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Schoolkate T. | Arnaldi M. (32) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Griekspoor T. (24) | Etcheverry T. M. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Munar J. | Cerundolo F. (14) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Medvedev D. (10) | Svrcina D. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Arseneault N. | Popyrin A. (18) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Muller A. (29) | Kecmanovic M. | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Mpetshi Perricard G. | Rune H. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Musetti L. (3) | Duckworth J. | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Barrios Vera T. | Michelsen A. (26) | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Shapovalov D. (22) | Tien L. | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Opelka R. | Machac T. (16) | 2 : 1 |
| 13 | Khachanov K. (11) | Ficovich J. P. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Nava E. | Atmane T. | 2 : 0 |
| 15 | Borges N. (30) | Bagnis F. | 2 : 1 |
| 16 | Safiullin R. | Ruud C. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 17 | Tiafoe F. (7) | Watanuki Y. | 2 : 1 |
| 18 | Vukic A. | Norrie C. (31) | 2 : 1 |
| 19 | Tsitsipas S. (23) | O'Connell C. | 1 : 2 |
| 20 | Comesana F. | De Minaur A. (9) | 0 : 2 |
| 21 | Cobolli F. (13) | Galarneau A. | 2 : 1 |
| 22 | Marozsan F. | Auger-Aliassime F. (21) | 2 : 0 |
| 23 | Nakashima B. (25) | Quinn E. | 2 : 0 |
| 24 | Mannarino A. | Shelton B. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 25 | Rublev A. (6) | Gaston H. | 2 : 0 |
| 26 | Bu Y. | Sonego L. (28) | 0 : 2 |
| 27 | Davidovich Fokina A. (20) | Moutet C. | 2 : 0 |
| 28 | Boyer T. | Mensik J. (12) | 0 : 2 |
| 29 | Fils A. (15) | Carreno-Busta P. | 2 : 0 |
| 30 | McDonald M. | Lehecka J. (19) | 0 : 2 |
| 31 | Diallo G. (27) | Gigante M. | 2 : 0 |
| 32 | Carballes Baena R. | Fritz T. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/16-finals| 1 | Zverev A. (1) | Arnaldi M. (32) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Etcheverry T. M. | Cerundolo F. (14) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Medvedev D. (10) | Popyrin A. (18) | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Muller A. (29) | Rune H. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Musetti L. (3) | Michelsen A. (26) | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Tien L. | Opelka R. | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Khachanov K. (11) | Nava E. | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Borges N. (30) | Ruud C. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Tiafoe F. (7) | Vukic A. | 2 : 1 |
| 10 | O'Connell C. | De Minaur A. (WO.) (9) | |
| 11 | Cobolli F. (13) | Marozsan F. | 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Nakashima B. (25) | Shelton B. (4) | 1 : 2 |
| 13 | Rublev A. (6) | Sonego L. (28) | 2 : 1 |
| 14 | Davidovich Fokina A. (20) | Mensik J. (12) | 2 : 0 |
| 15 | Fils A. (15) | Lehecka J. (19) | 1 : 2 |
| 16 | Diallo G. (27) | Fritz T. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Zverev A. (1) | Cerundolo F. (RET.) (14) | 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Popyrin A. (18) | Rune H. (5) | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Michelsen A. (26) | Tien L. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Khachanov K. (11) | Ruud C. (8) | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Tiafoe F. (7) | De Minaur A. (9) | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Cobolli F. (13) | Shelton B. (4) | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Rublev A. (6) | Davidovich Fokina A. (RET.) (20) | 1 : 1 |
| 8 | Lehecka J. (19) | Fritz T. (2) | 1 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Zverev A. (1) | Popyrin A. (18) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Michelsen A. (26) | Khachanov K. (11) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | De Minaur A. (9) | Shelton B. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Rublev A. (6) | Fritz T. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Zverev A. (1) | Khachanov K. (11) | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Shelton B. (4) | Fritz T. (2) | 2 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Khachanov K. (11) | Shelton B. (4) | 1 : 2 |
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