Leyton Orient vs Northampton Town: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League One Leyton Orient - Northampton Town
Result
0:1
30/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : League One - Round 6
  • Referee: Miles J. (Eng)
Leyton Orient - Northampton Town - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.361.28
Ball Possession
66%34%
Total shots
78
Shots on target
44
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
66
Passes
77% (351/458)59% (132/222)
Yellow Cards
50
Expected Goals (xG)
0.361.28
xG on target (xGOT)
0.411.42
Total shots
78
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
23
Blocked Shots
11
Shots inside the Box
57
Shots outside the Box
21
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
66
Touches in opposition box
1616
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
813
Passes
77% (351/458)59% (132/222)
Long passes
36% (24/66)29% (21/73)
Passes in final third
56% (62/110)40% (32/80)
Crosses
17% (4/23)25% (6/24)
Expected assists (xA)
0.520.64
Throw-ins
2626
Fouls
169
Tackles
60% (12/20)56% (10/18)
Duels won
6364
Clearances
3736
Interceptions
612
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
1.420.41
Goals prevented
0.420.41

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 40', Adaramola T. 🟨,
  • 45+2', James T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Guinness-Walker N. , Thorniley J. ,
  • 54', Koroma J. 🟨,
  • 58', 0 - 1, Hoskins S. , Fornah T. (A),
  • 59', Jaiyesimi D. , Moorhouse J. ,
  • 71', Fornah T. , List E. ,
  • 72', Perkins J. , Forbes M. ,
  • 72', Adaramola T. , Craig M. ,
  • 72', O'Neill O. , Mitchell D. ,
  • 78', Bakinson T. , Wellens C. ,
  • 80', Wheatley E. , Eaves T. ,
  • 90+5', Beckles O. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Connolly A. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Leyton Orient
54.3%
Draw
26%
Northampton Town
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.6% 24.8% 21.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.7% 24.3% 21.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Leyton Orient has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
  • Northampton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leyton Orient than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Northampton Town than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
  • Leyton Orient - Northampton Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.74
    (1.75)
    3.57
    (3.78)
    4.77
    (4.34)
    6.5%
    (6.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Leyton Orient - Northampton Town?
  • Users Predictions: Leyton Orient will win (14 of 15 users predict this - 93.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 80.7%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Leyton Orient will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leyton Orient won 1.
    • Leyton Orient has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Northampton is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Recently, Northampton has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Leyton Orient is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Leyton Orient: Archibald T. (Knee Injury) El Mizouni I. (Red Card) Graham J. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Northampton: Guthrie J. (Knee Injury) Shaw L. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Leyton Orient: Koroma J. (Injury) Obiero Z. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Northampton: Jacobs M. (Knock) Swyer K. (Knock) Thorniley J. (Muscle Injury) Wheatley E. (Injury)
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Leyton Orient won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 17:21. (average 1.1:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Leyton Orient won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:14. (average 1.4:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Leyton Orient - Northampton Town were as follows:
    08.03.2025 Leyton Orient - Northampton Town 1:2
    19.10.2024 Northampton Town - Leyton Orient 1:0
    13.02.2024 Leyton Orient - Northampton Town 4:3
    24.10.2023 Northampton Town - Leyton Orient 2:2
    02.01.2023 Northampton Town - Leyton Orient 1:0
    Latest results of Leyton Orient
    Latest results of Northampton Town
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cardiff651011:11016
    2Stevenage65019:4515
    3Bradford City642010:6414
    4Barnsley641111:7413
    5Doncaster64116:4213
    6Huddersfield640211:6512
    7Luton64028:3512
    8Stockport County632110:7311
    9Lincoln63218:6211
    10Mansfield631211:7410
    11Exeter63039:639
    12AFC Wimbledon63038:629
    13Wigan62228:718
    14Bolton61416:607
    15Northampton62134:6-27
    16Leyton Orient62136:10-47
    17Reading61235:9-45
    18Burton51135:9-44
    19Rotherham51134:8-44
    20Blackpool61147:13-64
    21Plymouth61054:13-93
    22Wycombe60245:9-42
    23Port Vale60242:6-42
    24Peterborough60152:11-91

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two

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