Cambridge United vs Leyton Orient: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League One Cambridge United - Leyton Orient
Result
1:2
21/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : League One - Round 44
  • Referee: Backhouse A. (Eng)
Cambridge United - Leyton Orient - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.110.85
Ball Possession
29%71%
Total shots
1215
Shots on target
64
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
32
Passes
45% (96/211)81% (429/529)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
1.110.85
xG on target (xGOT)
1.711.29
Total shots
1215
Shots on target
64
Shots off target
56
Blocked Shots
15
Shots inside the Box
96
Shots outside the Box
29
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
32
Touches in opposition box
2122
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
95
Passes
45% (96/211)81% (429/529)
Long passes
27% (17/64)34% (24/70)
Passes in final third
38% (32/85)71% (146/206)
Crosses
36% (4/11)17% (4/23)
Expected assists (xA)
0.660.86
Fouls
59
Tackles
59% (13/22)83% (10/12)
Duels won
7556
Clearances Total
3634
Interceptions
64
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
25
xGOT faced
1.291.71
Goals prevented
-0.710.71

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 19', 1 - 0, Stokes J. , Loft R. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Markanday D. , Agyei D. ,
  • 46', Williams R. , Jaiyesimi D. ,
  • 64', Clare S. , Abdulai A. ,
  • 67', 1 - 1, Kelman C. ,
  • 70', Brophy J. 🟨,
  • 70', Abdulai A. 🟨,
  • 75', Andrew D. , Bennett L. ,
  • 75', Kaikai S. , Lavery S. ,
  • 78', 1 - 2, Donley J. , Currie J. (A),
  • 81', Gibbons J. , Kachunga E. ,
  • 81', Digby P. , Ballard D. ,
  • 83', Loft R. 🟨,
  • 85', Kelman C. , Cooper B. ,
  • 90', Currie J. , O'Neill O. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Cambridge United
24.4%
Draw
26.5%
Leyton Orient
49%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.9% 28.3% 41.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.4% 27.8% 42.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cambridge United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cambridge United's form might have worsened.
  • Leyton Orient has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Leyton Orient's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cambridge United than the current prediction. (+5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leyton Orient than the current prediction. (-6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Leyton Orient, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Cambridge United - Leyton Orient Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.84
    (3.17)
    3.57
    (3.34)
    1.94
    (2.26)
    5.7%
    (5.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Cambridge United - Leyton Orient?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Cambridge (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Leyton Orient (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • Users Predictions: Leyton Orient will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 76.03%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Cambridge won 2.
    • Recent matches Cambridge is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Leyton Orient is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Leyton Orient could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Leyton Orient will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • There will not play in Cambridge: Gardner G. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Jobe M. (Knee Injury) Lavery S. (Inactive) Malone S. (Inactive) Marosi M. (Hamstring Injury) Smith K. (Inactive) Thomas G. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Leyton Orient: Archibald T. (Knee Injury) Graham J. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Cambridge: Bishop N. (Inactive) Ibsen Rossi Z. (Inactive) N'Lundulu D. (Inactive) Okedina J. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Leyton Orient: Agyei D. (Injury) O'Neill O. (Inactive)
    • Last 11 head-to-head matches Cambridge won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 17:17 (average 1.5:1.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Cambridge won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8:7 (average 1.6:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cambridge United - Leyton Orient were as follows:
    29.12.2024 Leyton Orient - Cambridge United 2:0
    01.01.2024 Cambridge United - Leyton Orient 0:2
    26.08.2023 Leyton Orient - Cambridge United 2:0
    Latest results of Cambridge United
    Latest results of Leyton Orient
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cardiff651011:11016
    2Stevenage65019:4515
    3Bradford City642010:6414
    4Barnsley641111:7413
    5Doncaster64116:4213
    6Huddersfield640211:6512
    7Luton64028:3512
    8Stockport County632110:7311
    9Lincoln63218:6211
    10Mansfield631211:7410
    11Exeter63039:639
    12AFC Wimbledon63038:629
    13Wigan62228:718
    14Bolton61416:607
    15Northampton62134:6-27
    16Leyton Orient62136:10-47
    17Reading61235:9-45
    18Burton51135:9-44
    19Rotherham51134:8-44
    20Blackpool61147:13-64
    21Plymouth61054:13-93
    22Wycombe60245:9-42
    23Port Vale60242:6-42
    24Peterborough60152:11-91

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two

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