Lexington vs Tulsa: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer USL Championship Lexington - Tulsa
Result
0:2
18/05/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : USL Championship
  • Referee: Ndiaye A. (Usa)
Lexington - Tulsa - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.052.37
Ball Possession
65%35%
Total shots
211
Shots on target
04
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
46
Passes
85% (399/471)66% (163/247)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
0.052.37
xG on target (xGOT)
0.002.26
Total shots
211
Shots on target
04
Shots off target
12
Blocked Shots
15
Shots inside the Box
15
Shots outside the Box
16
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
46
Touches in opposition box
815
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
1619
Passes
85% (399/471)66% (163/247)
Long passes
45% (24/53)35% (22/62)
Passes in final third
66% (65/98)49% (46/94)
Crosses
13% (2/15)25% (4/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.651.64
Throw-ins
2615
Fouls
1916
Tackles
82% (9/11)75% (18/24)
Duels won
5563
Clearances
3120
Interceptions
414
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
20
xGOT faced
2.260.00
Goals prevented
0.260.00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 29', Pierre D. 🟨,
  • 40', 0 - 1, Calheira T. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Toure A. , Elmedkhar K. ,
  • 55', Hafferty J. 🟨,
  • 69', Greene J. 🟨,
  • 72', Goldthorp E. , Rodrigues B. P. ,
  • 72', Burke C. , Lancaster C. ,
  • 73', Lancaster C. 🟨,
  • 74', Dalou A. , Lukic S. ,
  • 82', Williams D. , Barbir D. ,
  • 89', Colli G. 🟨,
  • 90', Greene J. , Mbongue H. ,
  • 90+5', 0 - 2, Batista L. , Damm O. (A),

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Lexington
43.7%
Draw
27.1%
Tulsa
29.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36% 30.6% 33.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9% 29.9% 32.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lexington has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lexington's performance.
  • Tulsa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lexington than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lexington that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tulsa than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
  • Lexington - Tulsa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.11
    (2.55)
    3.4
    (3)
    3.15
    (2.75)
    8.7%
    (8.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Lexington - Tulsa?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Lexington will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Lexington (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
    • Recent form of Lexington has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Tulsa has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Lexington could have a small edge in this match.
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Lexington
    Latest results of Tulsa
    10.05.2025 Tulsa - El Paso Locomotive 1:1
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    26.04.2025 One Knoxville - Tulsa 2:2
    19.04.2025 Las Vegas Lights - Tulsa 1:4
    16.04.2025 Tulsa - Phoenix Rising 1:2
    USL Championship Table
    2025

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Louisville City15104128:121634
    2Charleston15102332:151732
    3Loudoun1582524:20426
    4North Carolina1372419:14523
    5Detroit1455419:18120
    6Pittsburgh1352611:12-117
    7Miami FC1351713:18-516
    8Rhode Island1443713:16-315
    9Indy Eleven1335520:24-414
    10Birmingham1535715:21-614
    11Tampa Bay1432916:24-811
    12Hartford Athletic1223713:19-69


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1New Mexico1381421:14725
    2El Paso1465323:20323
    3FC Tulsa1263315:9621
    4San Antonio1463520:20021
    5Phoenix Rising1455424:24020
    6Monterey Bay1554616:17-119
    7Las Vegas Lights1453610:18-818
    8Orange County SC1352617:20-317
    9Sacramento Republic1345417:12517
    10Colorado Springs1436518:21-315
    11Oakland Roots1442814:23-914
    12Lexington1435615:22-714

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )

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