Lexington vs New Mexico United: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer USL Championship Lexington - New Mexico United
Result
2:1
14/06/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : USL Championship
Lexington - New Mexico United - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.471.32
Ball Possession
31%69%
Total shots
1613
Shots on target
64
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
43
Passes
79% (213/271)91% (589/648)
Yellow Cards
43
Expected Goals (xG)
1.471.32
xG on target (xGOT)
1.321.28
Total shots
1613
Shots on target
64
Shots off target
56
Blocked Shots
53
Shots inside the Box
136
Shots outside the Box
37
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
43
Touches in opposition box
2123
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
24
Free Kicks
1212
Passes
79% (213/271)91% (589/648)
Long passes
42% (22/53)69% (45/65)
Passes in final third
63% (40/63)74% (101/137)
Crosses
53% (9/17)30% (3/10)
Expected assists (xA)
0.711.03
Throw-ins
208
Fouls
1212
Tackles
62% (8/13)70% (7/10)
Duels won
3729
Clearances
1314
Interceptions
68
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
1.281.32
Goals prevented
0.28-0.68

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 3', Midence A. 🟨,
  • 24', Burks K. 🟨,
  • 25', Seymore W. 🟨,
  • 35', Zelalem G. 🟨,
  • 42', Zengue X. 🟨,
  • 45+6', 0 - 1, Luiz Fernando , Akale M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 48', Gloster C. 🟨,
  • 65', Gaines M. , Bruce D. ,
  • 65', Ryden K. , Rivas S. ,
  • 66', 1 - 1, Djeffal S. , Hafferty J. (A),
  • 73', 2 - 1, Zengue X. ,
  • 77', Seymore W. , Lindsey J. ,
  • 82', Luiz Fernando , Pondeca T. ,
  • 83', Sargeant K. , Gilbert G. ,
  • 83', Midence A. , Williams D. ,
  • 83', Nick Firmino , Greene J. ,
  • 86', Adedokun M. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Ajago F. , Mbongue H. ,
  • 90+9', Epps M. , Barbir D. ,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Lexington
36.1%
Draw
27.6%
New Mexico United
36.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33% 27.8% 39.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1% 27.9% 39.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lexington has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
  • New Mexico United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lexington than the current prediction. (-3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for New Mexico United than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
  • Lexington - New Mexico United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.53
    (2.8)
    3.3
    (3.32)
    2.51
    (2.36)
    9.7%
    (8.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Lexington - New Mexico United?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Lexington (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 12 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
    • Lexington has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • New Mexico's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Lexington
    USL Championship Table
    2025

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Louisville City23166146:182854
    2Charleston23162547:242350
    3Loudoun23114837:35237
    4North Carolina22103934:32233
    5Hartford Athletic2395933:27632
    6Detroit2388729:26332
    7Pittsburgh2277821:21028
    8Indy Eleven23751136:42-626
    9Rhode Island23661116:24-824
    10Birmingham23410929:38-922
    11Tampa Bay22631324:34-1021
    12Miami FC23551322:38-1620


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Tulsa23127438:261243
    2Sacramento Republic22107533:171637
    3El Paso2288637:32532
    4Lexington2387825:29-431
    5New Mexico2193927:30-330
    6Colorado Springs2286829:30-130
    7San Antonio2286826:28-230
    8Phoenix Rising2379738:40-230
    9Orange County SC2184933:33028
    10Oakland Roots21731125:32-724
    11Monterey Bay24661224:32-824
    12Las Vegas Lights23661118:39-2124

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )

    Which TV channels are streaming of Lexington - New Mexico United?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    argentinaArgentinaDisney+
    brazilBrazilDisney+
    chileChileDisney+
    colombiaColombiaDisney+
    mexicoMexicoDisney+
    peruPeruDisney+
    uruguayUruguayDisney+
    usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+, KASY TV
    venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
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