Monterey Bay vs Lexington: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

07/06/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Cardinale Stadium (Seaside, CA).

: USL Championship
Referee: Verso M. (Usa)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.39	0.46
Ball Possession
43%	57%
Total shots
10	13
Shots on target
5	3
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
3	12
Passes
76% (230/301)	83% (328/393)
Yellow Cards
3	4
Expected Goals (xG)
2.39	0.46
xG on target (xGOT)
2.07	0.41
Total shots
10	13
Shots on target
5	3
Shots off target
4	6
Blocked Shots
1	4
Shots inside the Box
6	6
Shots outside the Box
4	7
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
3	12
Touches in opposition box
19	24
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	1
Free Kicks
17	16
Passes
76% (230/301)	83% (328/393)
Long passes
40% (21/53)	63% (36/57)
Passes in final third
62% (53/85)	65% (71/109)
Crosses
29% (4/14)	11% (2/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.67	0.35
Throw-ins
17	34
Fouls
16	17
Tackles
67% (12/18)	58% (7/12)
Duels won
60	45
Clearances
35	18
Interceptions
5	5
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	3
xGOT faced
0.41	2.07
Goals prevented
-0.59	0.07

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
6', Muir J. 🟨,
7', 0 - 1, Nick Firmino ⚽,
14', Nick Firmino 🟨,
20', 1 - 1, Larsson A. ⚽, Dixon A. (A),
30', Djeffal S. 🟨,
37', Rebollar A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Zengue X. ↓, Adedokun M. ↑,
54', Epps M. 🟨,
67', Rebollar A. ↓, Malango M. ↑,
75', 2 - 1, Sojberg A. (Pen),
76', Sojberg A. ↓, Gnaulati X. ↑,
76', Dixon A. ↓, Ivanovic L. ↑,
85', Paul I. 🟨,
89', Paul I. ↓, Gallaway P. ↑,
89', Hafferty J. 🟨,

Official Live

Chances of winning

Monterey Bay
39.5%

Draw
27.2%

Lexington
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.8%

26%

21.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54%

25.4%

20.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Monterey Bay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Monterey Bay's form might have worsened.

Lexington has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lexington's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monterey Bay than the current prediction. (+14.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Monterey Bay, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lexington than the current prediction. (-12.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lexington, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Monterey Bay - Lexington Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↑ (1.75)	3.36 ↓ (3.56)	2.74 ↓ (4.36)	9.6% (8.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Monterey Bay - Lexington?

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Monterey Bay will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 12).
Monterey Bay has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Lexington is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Monterey Bay may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Monterey Bay won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

How many head-to-head matches has Monterey Bay won against Lexington?

Monterey Bay has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Lexington won against Monterey Bay?

Lexington has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Monterey Bay - Lexington were as follows:

19.04.2025 Lexington - Monterey Bay 0:0

Latest results of Monterey Bay

31.05.2025 Monterey Bay - Orange County SC 3:2 ✺

28.05.2025 Monterey Bay - Spokane Velocity 1:0 ✺

24.05.2025 Monterey Bay - Louisville City 0:2 ✺

17.05.2025 Phoenix Rising - Monterey Bay 2:0 ✺

10.05.2025 Rhode Island - Monterey Bay 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Lexington

31.05.2025 Charlotte Independence - Lexington 3:2 ✺

24.05.2025 Lexington - Tampa Bay Rowdies 1:1 ✺

18.05.2025 Lexington - Tulsa 0:2 ✺

10.05.2025 Loudoun United - Lexington 5:1 ✺

01.05.2025 Louisville City - Lexington 2:0 ✺

USL Championship Table

2025

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Louisville City	23	16	6	1	46:18	28	54
2	Charleston	23	16	2	5	47:24	23	50
3	Loudoun	23	11	4	8	37:35	2	37
4	North Carolina	22	10	3	9	34:32	2	33
5	Hartford Athletic	23	9	5	9	33:27	6	32
6	Detroit	23	8	8	7	29:26	3	32
7	Pittsburgh	22	7	7	8	21:21	0	28
8	Indy Eleven	23	7	5	11	36:42	-6	26
9	Rhode Island	23	6	6	11	16:24	-8	24
10	Birmingham	23	4	10	9	29:38	-9	22
11	Tampa Bay	22	6	3	13	24:34	-10	21
12	Miami FC	23	5	5	13	22:38	-16	20

Western Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	FC Tulsa	23	12	7	4	38:26	12	43
2	Sacramento Republic	22	10	7	5	33:17	16	37
3	El Paso	22	8	8	6	37:32	5	32
4	Lexington	23	8	7	8	25:29	-4	31
5	New Mexico	21	9	3	9	27:30	-3	30
6	Colorado Springs	22	8	6	8	29:30	-1	30
7	San Antonio	22	8	6	8	26:28	-2	30
8	Phoenix Rising	23	7	9	7	38:40	-2	30
9	Orange County SC	21	8	4	9	33:33	0	28
10	Oakland Roots	21	7	3	11	25:32	-7	24
11	Monterey Bay	24	6	6	12	24:32	-8	24
12	Las Vegas Lights	23	6	6	11	18:39	-21	24

Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )

Which TV channels are streaming of Monterey Bay - Lexington?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+