Loudoun United vs Lexington: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer USL Championship Loudoun United - Lexington
Result
5:1
10/05/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : USL Championship
  • Referee: Berna Rico S. (Usa)
Loudoun United - Lexington - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.200.41
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
146
Shots on target
91
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
52
Passes
86% (366/426)86% (309/360)
Yellow Cards
12
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
2.200.41
xG on target (xGOT)
2.670.77
Total shots
146
Shots on target
91
Shots off target
24
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
94
Shots outside the Box
52
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
52
Touches in opposition box
2512
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1612
Passes
86% (366/426)86% (309/360)
Long passes
55% (31/56)43% (17/40)
Passes in final third
72% (89/124)70% (42/60)
Crosses
36% (5/14)27% (3/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.580.27
Throw-ins
2215
Fouls
1216
Tackles
100% (16/16)76% (13/17)
Duels won
4138
Clearances
718
Interceptions
58
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
04
xGOT faced
0.772.67
Goals prevented
-0.23-2.33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 17', 0 - 1, Epps M. ,
  • 25', Mines B. 🟨,
  • 26', 1 - 1, Valot F. , Santos P. (A),
  • 42', Adedokun M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (4 - 0)
  • 46', Turner C. , Awuah K. ,
  • 48', 2 - 1, Tingey K. (Pen),
  • 56', Adedokun M. 🟨,
  • 59', 3 - 1, Aboukoura A. , Valot F. (A),
  • 63', Djeffal S. , Nick Firmino ,
  • 64', Goldthorp E. , Gilbert G. ,
  • 64', Bidois R. , Ryan Z. ,
  • 69', Mines B. , Skundrich D. ,
  • 73', Lancaster C. , Mbongue H. ,
  • 76', 4 - 1, Awuah K. , Ryan Z. (A),
  • 84', McCabe T. , Pendleton E. ,
  • 84', Leggett W. , Nagy A. ,
  • 87', 5 - 1, Ryan Z. , Nagy A. (A),

Official Live

Chances of winning


Loudoun United
53.8%
Draw
23.8%
Lexington
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.4% 26.4% 19.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.5% 25.9% 18.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Loudoun United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • Lexington has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Loudoun United than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lexington than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
  • Loudoun United - Lexington Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.72
    (1.7)
    3.9
    (3.5)
    4.14
    (4.81)
    7.9%
    (8.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 11).
    • Loudoun has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Lexington's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Loudoun may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Loudoun has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Loudoun is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Loudoun won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Loudoun United - Lexington were as follows:
    26.04.2025 Lexington - Loudoun United 0:1
    Latest results of Loudoun United
    Latest results of Lexington
    USL Championship Table
    2025

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Charleston18132338:162241
    2Louisville City17115130:131738
    3Loudoun1783626:24227
    4North Carolina1682625:20526
    5Pittsburgh1664614:14022
    6Detroit1756620:22-221
    7Indy Eleven1655626:28-220
    8Miami FC1653816:24-818
    9Birmingham1846819:25-618
    10Rhode Island1745814:18-417
    11Tampa Bay16421017:25-814
    12Hartford Athletic1534815:21-613


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Tulsa1685324:16829
    2San Antonio1683523:21227
    3New Mexico1581622:17525
    4Sacramento Republic1666422:121024
    5Phoenix Rising1665526:26023
    6El Paso1665524:25-123
    7Monterey Bay1864819:23-422
    8Orange County SC1562722:22020
    9Oakland Roots1762919:25-620
    10Lexington1747617:23-619
    11Las Vegas Lights1753913:28-1518
    12Colorado Springs1646619:22-318

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )

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