Loudoun United vs Lexington: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer USL Championship Loudoun United - Lexington
Result
5:1
10/05/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : USL Championship
  • Referee: Berna Rico S. (Usa)
Loudoun United - Lexington - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.200.41
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
146
Shots on target
91
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
52
Passes
86% (366/426)86% (309/360)
Yellow Cards
12
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
2.200.41
xG on target (xGOT)
2.670.77
Total shots
146
Shots on target
91
Shots off target
24
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
94
Shots outside the Box
52
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
52
Touches in opposition box
2512
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1612
Passes
86% (366/426)86% (309/360)
Long passes
55% (31/56)43% (17/40)
Passes in final third
72% (89/124)70% (42/60)
Crosses
36% (5/14)27% (3/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.580.27
Throw-ins
2215
Fouls
1216
Tackles
100% (16/16)76% (13/17)
Duels won
4138
Clearances
718
Interceptions
58
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
04
xGOT faced
0.772.67
Goals prevented
-0.23-2.33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 17', 0 - 1, Epps M. ,
  • 25', Mines B. 🟨,
  • 26', 1 - 1, Valot F. , Santos P. (A),
  • 42', Adedokun M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (4 - 0)
  • 46', Turner C. , Awuah K. ,
  • 48', 2 - 1, Tingey K. (Pen),
  • 56', Adedokun M. 🟨,
  • 59', 3 - 1, Aboukoura A. , Valot F. (A),
  • 63', Djeffal S. , Nick Firmino ,
  • 64', Goldthorp E. , Gilbert G. ,
  • 64', Bidois R. , Ryan Z. ,
  • 69', Mines B. , Skundrich D. ,
  • 73', Lancaster C. , Mbongue H. ,
  • 76', 4 - 1, Awuah K. , Ryan Z. (A),
  • 84', McCabe T. , Pendleton E. ,
  • 84', Leggett W. , Nagy A. ,
  • 87', 5 - 1, Ryan Z. , Nagy A. (A),

Official Live

Chances of winning


Loudoun United
53.8%
Draw
23.8%
Lexington
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.4% 26.4% 19.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.5% 25.9% 18.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Loudoun United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • Lexington has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Loudoun United than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lexington than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
  • Loudoun United - Lexington Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.72
    (1.7)
    3.9
    (3.5)
    4.14
    (4.81)
    7.9%
    (8.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 11).
    • Loudoun has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Lexington's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Loudoun may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Loudoun has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Loudoun is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Loudoun won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Loudoun United - Lexington were as follows:
    26.04.2025 Lexington - Loudoun United 0:1
    Latest results of Loudoun United
    Latest results of Lexington
    USL Championship Table
    2025

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Louisville City ✔ 28216155:193669
    2Charleston ✔ 27184559:293058
    3Hartford Athletic ✔ 281351046:321444
    4Loudoun ✔ 281261044:45-142
    5North Carolina ✔ 281251139:39041
    6Pittsburgh ✔ 281171029:28140
    7Rhode Island281071128:27137
    8Detroit28981131:33-235
    9Indy Eleven28951441:49-832
    10Tampa Bay28861439:47-830
    11Birmingham285121133:45-1227
    12Miami FC28661625:42-1724


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Tulsa ✔ 28158546:291753
    2Sacramento Republic ✔ 28129743:261745
    3New Mexico ✔ 281351040:37344
    4El Paso281010844:39540
    5San Antonio281071134:35-137
    6Lexington29991131:39-836
    7Phoenix Rising28812847:48-136
    8Orange County SC28981142:44-235
    9Colorado Springs28971234:44-1034
    10Oakland Roots28771436:49-1328
    11Monterey Bay28771426:41-1528
    12Las Vegas Lights28681422:48-2626

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Louisville City is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    Charleston is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    Hartford Athletic is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    Loudoun is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    North Carolina is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    Pittsburgh is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    FC Tulsa is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    Sacramento Republic is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    New Mexico is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    Which TV channels are streaming of Loudoun United - Lexington?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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