Result
0:1
11/08/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Champions League - Qualification - Semi-finals
- Referee: Siebert D. (Ger)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.17 | 1.06 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (424/499) | 82% (343/416) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.17 | 1.06 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.16 | 0.19 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (424/499) | 82% (343/416) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 65% (36/55) | 50% (33/66) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (110/159) | 55% (46/83) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (7/29) | 0% (0/2) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.92 | 0.42 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 19 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 72% (13/18) | 71% (10/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 11 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.19 | 1.16 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.81 | 1.16 |
| Goal kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 7', Everton Bala 🟨,
- 13', 0 - 1, Reinaldo ⚽, Everton Bala (A),
- 45+6', Baybek O. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Baybek O. ↓, Bekbolat I. ↑,
- 60', Kasabulat D. 🟨,
- 64', Kasabulat D. ↓, Edmilson ↑,
- 74', Neves A. 🟨,
- 79', Neves A. ↓, Soula M. ↑,
- 79', Everton Bala ↓, Maicon ↑,
- 79', Oko-Flex A. ↓, Hevertton S. ↑,
- 83', Reinaldo ↓, Perea J. ↑,
- 84', Gual M. ↓, Birkurmanov M. ↑,
- 88', Serafimov N. 🟨,
- 90', Perea J. 🟨,
- 90+2', Serginho ↓, Mitkov A. ↑,
- 90+5', Mendonsa G. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Kairat 28.7% | Draw 31.2% | Levski Sofia 40% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kairat has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kairat's form might have worsened.Levski Sofia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Levski Sofia's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kairat than the current prediction. (+17.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kairat, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Levski Sofia than the current prediction. (-13.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Levski Sofia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Kairat - Levski Sofia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.3 ↑ (2.13) |
3.04 ↓ (3.46) |
2.39 ↓ (3.46) |
5% (4.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Kairat - Levski Sofia?
- Users Predictions:
27 users predict this event. Kairat will win (votes: 6 - 22.2%). Levski will win (votes: 13 - 48.1%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 29.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Levski: 29.3% – 66.9%. - Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).
- The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- First leg result: 0-1. Playing home matches at a different stadium - Turkestan Arena.
- In recent matches, Kairat has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Levski is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Kairat may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Kairat won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Kairat won against Levski Sofia?
Kairat has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Levski Sofia won against Kairat?
Levski Sofia has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kairat - Levski Sofia were as follows:
04.08.2026
Levski Sofia
-
Kairat
1:0
Latest results of Levski Sofia
UEFA Champions League Table
League phase | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSG | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 3 |
| 2 | Bayern Munich | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 5 | 3 |
| 3 | Barcelona | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 4 | 3 |
| 4 | Manchester Utd | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 3 |
| 5 | Como | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 3 |
| 6 | Stuttgart | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 7 | Sporting CP | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 8 | Manchester City | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 9 | Aston Villa | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
| 10 | Lens | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
| 11 | Betis | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
| 12 | Dortmund | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
| 13 | Liverpool | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 14 | Real Madrid | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 15 | Arsenal | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 16 | AEK Athens | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 17 | AS Roma | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 18 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 19 | PSV | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 20 | Fenerbahce | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 21 | Villarreal | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 0 |
| 22 | Lille | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 0 |
| 23 | Slavia Prague | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 0 |
| 24 | Club Brugge KV | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 0 |
| 25 | Inter | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 26 | Atl. Madrid | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 27 | Napoli | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 28 | LASK | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 29 | Viking | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
| 30 | Galatasaray | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
| 31 | FC Porto | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 32 | RB Leipzig | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 0 |
| 33 | Feyenoord | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
| 34 | Sabah Baku | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
| 35 | Slovan Bratislava | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:6 | -5 | 0 |
| 36 | Bodo/Glimt | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:5 | -5 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Champions League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
Which TV channels are streaming of Kairat - Levski Sofia?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
Bulgaria | Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra |
Kazakhstan | Qazsport |
Usa | SportsEngine Play |