AZ Alkmaar vs Levski Sofia: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer UEFA Europa Conference League AZ Alkmaar - Levski Sofia
Result
4:1
28/08/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Conference League - Qualification - Final
  • Referee: Sylwestrzak D. (Pol)
AZ Alkmaar - Levski Sofia - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.270.53
Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
137
Shots on target
84
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
34
Passes
87% (402/461)86% (453/528)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
2.270.53
xG on target (xGOT)
4.170.61
Total shots
137
Shots on target
84
Shots off target
31
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
61
Shots outside the Box
76
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
34
Touches in opposition box
147
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
40
Free Kicks
135
Passes
87% (402/461)86% (453/528)
Long passes
51% (18/35)54% (27/50)
Passes in final third
67% (78/116)66% (67/101)
Crosses
25% (1/4)18% (2/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.910.38
Throw-ins
1516
Fouls
514
Tackles
67% (18/27)71% (12/17)
Duels won
5135
Clearances
197
Interceptions
1210
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
0.614.17
Goals prevented
-0.390.17

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 3', 1 - 0, Sadiq I. ,
  • 6', 2 - 0, Meerdink M. , de Wit M. (A),
  • 9', Clasie J. 🟨,
  • 45+1', 3 - 0, Sadiq I. , Meerdink M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Clasie J. , Kwakman D. ,
  • 46', 3 - 1, Everton Bala , Maicon (A),
  • 60', Rupanov B. 🟨,
  • 63', Sadiq I. , Jensen I. ,
  • 63', Smit K. , Mijnans S. ,
  • 66', Mitkov A. 🟨,
  • 66', Rupanov B. , Sangare M. ,
  • 66', Petkov M. , Soula M. ,
  • 69', Sangare M. 🟨,
  • 77', Kirilov R. , Rildo ,
  • 77', Everton Bala , Fabien K. ,
  • 78', Daal R. , Buurmeester Z. ,
  • 78', Meerdink M. , Zeefuik L. ,
  • 84', Maicon , Fabio Lima ,
  • 86', 4 - 1, Zeefuik L. , Jensen I. (A),

Chances of winning


AZ Alkmaar
73.4%
Draw
16.6%
Levski Sofia
10%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
69.9% 19.8% 10.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.5% 18.8% 9.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • AZ Alkmaar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
  • Levski Sofia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Levski Sofia than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • AZ Alkmaar - Levski Sofia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.33
    (1.3)
    6.13
    (4.6)
    10.5
    (8.8)
    0.9%
    (10%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for AZ Alkmaar - Levski Sofia?
  • Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. AZ will win (votes: 22 - 78.6%). Levski will win (votes: 3 - 10.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 10.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for AZ: 63.4%93.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. AZ (votes: 3 - 60%). Levski (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 7 - 100%).
    • AH -1.5 - AZ (votes: 6 - 100%).
    • AH -1.25 - AZ (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 2-0. 2nd leg.
    • AZ is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Levski is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, AZ is the clear favorite.
    • We predict that AZ will win today's game, with odds of 1.38.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, AZ won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between AZ Alkmaar - Levski Sofia were as follows:
    21.08.2025 Levski Sofia - AZ Alkmaar 0:2
    Latest results of AZ Alkmaar
    21.08.2025 Levski Sofia - AZ Alkmaar 0:2
    17.08.2025 Volendam - AZ Alkmaar 2:2
    14.08.2025 Vaduz - AZ Alkmaar 0:1
    10.08.2025 AZ Alkmaar - Groningen 4:1
    07.08.2025 AZ Alkmaar - Vaduz 3:0
    Latest results of Levski Sofia
    21.08.2025 Levski Sofia - AZ Alkmaar 0:2
    14.08.2025 Sabah - Levski Sofia 0:2
    07.08.2025 Levski Sofia - Sabah 1:0
    UEFA Europa Conference League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Zrinjski11005:053
    2AEK Larnaca11004:043
    3Sparta Prague11004:133
    4Lech Poznan11004:133
    5Lausanne11003:033
    6Celje11003:123
    7Crystal Palace11002:023
    8Rayo Vallecano11002:023
    9Fiorentina11002:023
    10Rakow11002:023
    11Shakhtar Donetsk11003:213
    12Strasbourg11002:113
    13Mainz11001:013
    14Samsunspor11001:013
    15Jagiellonia11001:013
    16Noah11001:013
    17Drita10101:101
    18KuPS10101:101
    19Hacken10100:001
    20Shelbourne10100:001
    21Aberdeen10012:3-10
    22Slovan Bratislava10011:2-10
    23Rijeka10010:1-10
    24Omonia10010:1-10
    25Legia10010:1-10
    26Hamrun10010:1-10
    27AEK Athens FC10011:3-20
    28Sigma Olomouc10010:2-20
    29Dyn. Kyiv10010:2-20
    30Shkendija10010:2-20
    31Univ. Craiova10010:2-20
    32SK Rapid10011:4-30
    33Shamrock Rovers10011:4-30
    34Breidablik10010:3-30
    35AZ Alkmaar10010:4-40
    36Lincoln Red Imps10010:5-50

          Promotion ~ Conference League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Which TV channels are streaming of AZ Alkmaar - Levski Sofia?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
    croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 3
    netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 2
    serbiaSerbiaSportKlub 3
    sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 4
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