Levante vs Real Madrid: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Spanish LaLiga Levante - Real Madrid
Result
1:4
23/09/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : LaLiga - Round 6
  • Referee: Diaz I. (Esp)
Levante - Real Madrid - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.583.53
Ball Possession
38%62%
Total shots
1124
Shots on target
210
Big Chances
26
Corner Kicks
16
Passes
88% (366/417)91% (631/693)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
1.583.53
xG on target (xGOT)
1.103.76
Total shots
1124
Shots on target
210
Shots off target
311
Blocked Shots
63
Shots inside the Box
816
Shots outside the Box
38
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
26
Corner Kicks
16
Touches in opposition box
1746
Accurate through passes
02
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
917
Passes
88% (366/417)91% (631/693)
Long passes
60% (33/55)45% (21/47)
Passes in final third
76% (56/74)81% (153/189)
Crosses
38% (3/8)10% (1/10)
Expected assists (xA)
0.601.38
Throw-ins
1312
Fouls
179
Tackles
39% (7/18)43% (10/23)
Duels won
3853
Clearances
187
Interceptions
85
Errors leading to shot
31
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
61
xGOT faced
3.761.10
Goals prevented
-0.240.10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 28', 0 - 1, Vinicius Junior , Valverde F. (A),
  • 38', 0 - 2, Mastantuono F. , Vinicius Junior (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 54', 1 - 2, Etta Eyong ,
  • 54', Carreras A. 🟨,
  • 58', Elgezabal U. 🟨,
  • 64', 1 - 3, Mbappe K. (Pen),
  • 65', Olasagasti J. A. , Brugue R. ,
  • 66', Vencedor U. , Arriaga K. ,
  • 66', 1 - 4, Mbappe K. , Guler A. (A),
  • 71', Mastantuono F. , Tchouameni A. ,
  • 71', Valverde F. , Bellingham J. ,
  • 74', Alvarez C. , Morales J. ,
  • 74', Etta Eyong , Losada I. ,
  • 74', Romero I. , Koyalipou G. ,
  • 82', Mbappe K. , Rodrygo ,
  • 82', Ceballos D. , Camavinga E. ,
  • 82', Carreras A. , Alaba D. ,

Chances of winning


Levante
11.6%
Draw
16.5%
Real Madrid
71.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
13.2% 17.6% 69.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.6% 16.8% 72.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Levante has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • Real Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Levante than the current prediction. (+1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madrid than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
  • Levante - Real Madrid Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    8.12
    (7)
    5.75
    (5.25)
    1.35
    (1.33)
    3.9%
    (8.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for Levante - Real Madrid?
  • Users Predictions: 58 users predict this event. Levante will win (votes: 4 - 6.9%). Real will win (votes: 53 - 91.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 1.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Real: 84.2%98.6%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 6 - 100%).
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Real Madrid will win (11 of 14 users predict this - 78.57%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Levante won 2.
    • Recent form of Levante has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Real is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Real may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Real is the obvious favorite.
    • There will not play in Real: Alexander-Arnold T. (Hamstring Injury) Mendy F. (Hamstring Injury) Rudiger A. (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in Levante: Matturro A. (Leg Injury)
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Levante won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 21:51. (average 1.1:2.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Levante won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:22. (average 1.2:2.4).
    Latest results of Levante
    20.09.2025 Girona - Levante 0:4
    14.09.2025 Levante - Betis 2:2
    29.08.2025 Elche - Levante 2:0
    23.08.2025 Levante - Barcelona 2:3
    Latest results of Real Madrid
    Spanish LaLiga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Real Madrid870119:91021
    2Barcelona861122:91319
    3Villarreal851214:8616
    4Betis843113:8515
    5Atl. Madrid834115:10513
    6Sevilla841315:11413
    7Elche834111:9213
    8Ath Bilbao84139:9013
    9Espanyol833211:11012
    10Alaves83239:8111
    11Getafe83239:11-211
    12Osasuna83147:8-110
    13Levante822413:14-18
    14Rayo Vallecano82248:10-28
    15Valencia822410:14-48
    16Celta Vigo80627:10-36
    17R. Oviedo82064:14-106
    18Girona81345:17-126
    19Real Sociedad81257:12-55
    20Mallorca81257:13-65

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ LaLiga2

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