Sporting de Gijón vs Leonesa: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Spanish LaLiga2 Sporting de Gijón - Leonesa
Result
1:0
29/08/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : LaLiga2 - Round 3
  • Referee: Palencia D. (Esp)
Sporting de Gijón - Leonesa - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.530.31
Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
179
Shots on target
62
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
103
Passes
88% (456/519)85% (330/387)
Yellow Cards
41
Expected Goals (xG)
1.530.31
xG on target (xGOT)
1.850.24
Total shots
179
Shots on target
62
Shots off target
55
Blocked Shots
62
Shots inside the Box
113
Shots outside the Box
66
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
103
Touches in opposition box
296
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
1111
Passes
88% (456/519)85% (330/387)
Long passes
53% (20/38)40% (18/45)
Passes in final third
78% (126/162)84% (52/62)
Crosses
26% (7/27)9% (1/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.670.20
Throw-ins
1913
Fouls
1212
Tackles
77% (10/13)59% (10/17)
Duels won
4539
Clearances
1231
Interceptions
45
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
25
xGOT faced
0.241.85
Goals prevented
0.240.85

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 45+1', Gelabert Pina C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 55', 1 - 0, Perrin L. , Otero J. (A),
  • 58', Paraschiv D. , Pibe ,
  • 58', Collado D. , Justo M. ,
  • 61', Corredera A. 🟨,
  • 63', Coundoul A. , Campos G. ,
  • 68', Dubasin J. 🟨,
  • 73', Fornos Q. , Gonzalez Y. ,
  • 73', Bicho , Diallo Selu M. ,
  • 75', Gelabert Pina C. , Queipo D. ,
  • 75', Dubasin J. , Smith J. ,
  • 82', Garcia V. , Ortega G. ,
  • 83', Martin N. , Loum M. ,
  • 83', Otero J. , Caicedo J. ,
  • 86', Ojeda T. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Campos G. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/bdnyjpnf

Chances of winning


Sporting de Gijón
56.9%
Draw
26.2%
Leonesa
16.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.6% 26.3% 17.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.9% 24.9% 16.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sporting de Gijón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • Leonesa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting de Gijón than the current prediction. (+3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leonesa than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
  • Sporting de Gijón - Leonesa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.65
    (1.66)
    3.58
    (3.57)
    5.51
    (5.47)
    6.9%
    (6.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Sporting de Gijón - Leonesa?
  • Users Predictions: Sporting de Gijón will win (32 of 35 users predict this - 91.43%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 82.16%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Sporting de Gijón will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Sporting de Gijón has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Leonesa has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Recently, Sporting de Gijón has had a series of home games.
    • Recently, Leonesa has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Sporting de Gijón is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Sporting de Gijón: Bernal J. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Sporting de Gijón: Vazquez K. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Leonesa: Satrustegui E. (Knee Injury) Tresaco R. (Muscle Injury)
    • We predict that Sporting de Gijón will win today's game, with odds of 1.64.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sporting de Gijón won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:3. (average 2:0.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sporting de Gijón won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 3.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sporting de Gijón - Leonesa were as follows:
    06.08.2025 Sporting de Gijón - Leonesa 3:2
    05.08.2023 Leonesa - Sporting de Gijón 1:0
    Latest results of Sporting de Gijón
    Latest results of Leonesa
    24.08.2025 Leonesa - Almería 0:1
    15.08.2025 Burgos - Leonesa 5:1
    09.08.2025 Lugo - Leonesa 1:0
    06.08.2025 Real Avilés - Leonesa 2:2
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Santander330010:469
    2Gijon33004:139
    3Valladolid32104:047
    4Andorra32106:337
    5Cadiz CF32104:227
    6Almeria31207:615
    7Burgos CF31116:334
    8Eibar21104:134
    9Las Palmas21104:224
    10Dep. La Coruna21103:124
    11Malaga21102:114
    12Huesca21102:114
    13Real Sociedad B31113:304
    14Leganes20202:202
    15Albacete30127:9-21
    16Cordoba30122:5-31
    17Castellon30122:5-31
    18Zaragoza30122:5-31
    19Mirandes20020:2-20
    20Granada CF20021:6-50
    21Cultural Leonesa30031:7-60
    22Ceuta30031:8-70

          Promotion ~ LaLiga
          Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation

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