Leonesa vs Almería: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Spanish LaLiga2 Leonesa - Almería
Result
0:1
24/08/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : LaLiga2 - Round 2
Leonesa - Almería - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.701.04
Ball Possession
41%59%
Total shots
1013
Shots on target
63
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
35
Passes
74% (236/319)82% (383/469)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
0.701.04
xG on target (xGOT)
1.080.90
Total shots
1013
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
47
Blocked Shots
03
Shots inside the Box
79
Shots outside the Box
34
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
35
Touches in opposition box
1427
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
159
Passes
74% (236/319)82% (383/469)
Long passes
30% (18/60)40% (18/45)
Passes in final third
54% (53/98)69% (103/149)
Crosses
20% (3/15)25% (5/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.651.20
Throw-ins
1718
Fouls
915
Tackles
71% (12/17)75% (9/12)
Duels won
4739
Clearances
2615
Interceptions
114
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
26
xGOT faced
0.901.08
Goals prevented
-0.101.08

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 45+5', Lopy D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 54', Tresaco R. 🟨,
  • 58', 0 - 1, Leo Baptistao , Munoz A. (A),
  • 65', Collado D. , Justo M. ,
  • 66', Fornos Q. , Garcia V. ,
  • 66', Tresaco R. , Pibe ,
  • 66', Leo Baptistao , Puigmal A. ,
  • 76', Lazaro , Soko P. ,
  • 76', Lopy D. , Clua S. ,
  • 77', Barzic M. , Toca N. ,
  • 85', Arribas S. , Melamed N. ,
  • 90+3', Embarba A. , Centelles A. ,
  • 90+3', Gui Guedes , Dzodic S. ,
  • 90+11', Puigmal A. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/3mdta3yb

Chances of winning


Leonesa
28.9%
Draw
27%
Almería
44.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.8% 26.9% 41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.3% 25.7% 43.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Leonesa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • Almería has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leonesa than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Almería than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
  • Leonesa - Almería Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.25
    (2.92)
    3.46
    (3.46)
    2.14
    (2.25)
    6.4%
    (7.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Leonesa - Almería?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Leonesa will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Almería will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Almería: 23.1%88.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Leonesa (votes: 1 - 50%). Almería (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Leonesa is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • In recent matches, Almería has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Leonesa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Leonesa has had a series of away games.
    • Almería is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Leonesa: Diallo Selu M. (Red Card)
    • There will not play in Almería: Monte N. (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Almería: Baba I. (Inactive)
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Leonesa won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Leonesa won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Leonesa - Almería were as follows:
    04.12.2024 Leonesa - Almería 1:2
    Latest results of Leonesa
    15.08.2025 Burgos - Leonesa 5:1
    09.08.2025 Lugo - Leonesa 1:0
    06.08.2025 Real Avilés - Leonesa 2:2
    03.08.2025 Real Oviedo - Leonesa 1:0
    Latest results of Almería
    10.08.2025 Almería - Al-Nassr Riyadh 3:2
    08.08.2025 Elche - Almería 1:0
    31.07.2025 Marbella - Almería 0:0
    27.07.2025 Almería - Al-Jazira 1:0
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Santander540115:10512
    2Dep. La Coruna532011:4711
    3Valladolid53208:2611
    4Cadiz CF53208:5311
    5Andorra53119:6310
    6Huesca53116:4210
    7Gijon53026:519
    8Burgos CF52219:548
    9Las Palmas52216:428
    10Malaga52215:418
    11Eibar52127:437
    12Leganes51406:427
    13Mirandes52037:9-26
    14Real Sociedad B51227:8-15
    15Almeria512210:12-25
    16Cordoba51135:9-44
    17Cultural Leonesa51135:9-44
    18Ceuta51136:12-64
    19Zaragoza50323:6-33
    20Castellon50236:10-42
    21Albacete50238:13-52
    22Granada CF50144:12-81

          Promotion ~ LaLiga
          Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation

    Which TV channels are streaming of Leonesa - Almería?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    argentinaArgentinaDirecTV Sports, Dsports 9
    asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6
    chileChileDirecTV Sports
    ecuadorEcuadorDirecTV Sports, DSports 9
    mexicoMexicoSky Sport
    north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
    peruPeruDirecTV Sports, DSports 9
    south-americaSouth-americaDGO Latin America
    spainSpainDAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar 3
    uruguayUruguayDirecTV Sports
    venezuelaVenezuelaDirecTV Sports
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