Leones del Norte vs Emelec: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Ecuadorian Copa Leones del Norte - Emelec
08/10/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Copa Ecuador - 1/8-finals
Leones del Norte - Emelec - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • Penalties (2 - 4)
  • 1, (Pen),
  • 1, (Pen),
  • 2, (Pen),
  • 2, (Pen),
  • 3, (Pen),
  • 3, (Pen),
  • 4, (Pen),
  • 4, (Pen),
  • 5, (Pen),

Chances of winning


Leones del Norte
32.3%
Draw
32.9%
Emelec
34.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.5% 28.2% 42.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.2% 27.9% 42.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Leones del Norte has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
  • Emelec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Emelec might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leones del Norte than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Emelec than the current prediction. (+8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Emelec could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Leones del Norte - Emelec Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.89
    (3.03)
    2.83
    (3.17)
    2.67
    (2.11)
    7.4%
    (11.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Leones del Norte - Emelec?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Emelec will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Emelec (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Leones del Norte has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Emelec has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Emelec might have a minor edge in this game.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Leones del Norte
    Latest results of Emelec
    04.10.2025 Emelec - Deportivo Cuenca 3:1
    28.09.2025 Orense - Emelec 0:0
    21.09.2025 Emelec - El Nacional 4:0
    30.08.2025 SD Aucas - Emelec 1:2
    Draw
    2025

    1/32-finals
    1Club Deportivo IbarraSan Antonio0 : 1
    2MantaBye
    3Liga De MacasOlmedo2 : 3
    4LDU QuitoBye
    5EcuageneraCumbaya2 : 1
    6AucasBye
    7BanosHuaquillas FC3 : 2
    8Dep. CuencaBye
    9Leones del NorteSembrando Buenos Campeones4 : 0
    10OrenseBye
    11Miguel IturraldePatria2 : 1
    12EmelecBye
    13Luz ValdiviaDep. Santo Domingo1 : 2
    14DelfinBye
    15San CamiloGuayaquil City0 : 1
    16Mushuc RunaBye
    17GualaceoMineros2 : 0
    18VinotintoBye
    19La TroncalImbabura1 : 2
    20Ind. del ValleBye
    21Ind. JuniorsLDU Portoviejo1 : 2
    22MacaraBye
    23Rio AguaricoLoja2 : 1
    24U. CatolicaBye
    25Atletico VinotintoCuenca Juniors2 : 3
    26Barcelona SCBye
    27La CanteraMontufar4 : 1
    28LibertadBye
    29Club Deportivo PanamericanaNueve de Octubre0 : 1
    30Tecnico U.Bye
    31Deportivo Coca22 de Julio0 : 3
    32EL NacionalBye

    1/16-finals
    1San AntonioManta1 : 0
    2OlmedoLDU Quito1 : 2
    3EcuageneraAucas0 : 1
    4BanosDep. Cuenca0 : 2
    5Leones del NorteOrense1 : 0
    6Miguel IturraldeEmelec1 : 2
    7Dep. Santo DomingoDelfin3 : 2
    8Guayaquil CityMushuc Runa3 : 1
    9GualaceoVinotinto2 : 1
    10ImbaburaInd. del Valle0 : 1
    11LDU PortoviejoMacara1 : 0
    12Rio AguaricoU. Catolica0 : 1
    13Cuenca JuniorsBarcelona SC2 : 0
    14La CanteraLibertad1 : 0
    15Nueve de OctubreTecnico U.1 : 0
    1622 de JulioEL Nacional0 : 3

    1/8-finals
    1San AntonioLDU Quito
    2AucasDep. Cuenca1 : 2
    3Leones del NorteEmelec0 : 1
    4Dep. Santo DomingoGuayaquil City2 : 3
    5GualaceoInd. del Valle
    6LDU PortoviejoU. Catolica1 : 3
    7Cuenca JuniorsLa Cantera6 : 1
    8Nueve de OctubreEL Nacional2 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1Dep. Cuenca
    2EmelecGuayaquil City
    3TBD #5U. Catolica
    4Cuenca JuniorsNueve de Octubre
    Which TV channels are streaming of Leones del Norte - Emelec?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    argentinaArgentinaDSports 4
    ecuadorEcuadorTeleamazonas
    south-americaSouth-americaDGO Latin America
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