Metz vs Lens: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer French Ligue 1 Metz - Lens
Result
2:1
12/04/2024 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • FRANCE: Ligue 1 - Round 29
  • Referee: Lissorgue R. (Fra)
Metz - Lens - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.761.51
Ball Possession
29%71%
Goal Attempts
1117
Shots on Goal
52
Shots off Goal
311
Blocked Shots
34
Free Kicks
1812
Corner Kicks
52
Offsides
02
Throw-ins
1217
Goalkeeper Saves
13
Fouls
1117
Yellow Cards
25
Total Passes
276649
Completed Passes
185572
Tackles
811
Attacks
85138
Dangerous Attacks
2857
Clearances Completed
3410
Crosses Completed
89
Interceptions
67

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 13', 0 - 1, Sotoca F. (Pen),
  • 21', Van Den Kerkhof K. 🟨,
  • 34', 1 - 1, Mikautadze G. , Atta A. (A),
  • 44', Traore I. 🟨,
  • 44', Gradit J. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Diouf A. 🟨,
  • 45+2', 2 - 1, Mikautadze G. , N'Doram K. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Machado D. 🟨,
  • 59', Machado D. , Jhoanner Chavez ,
  • 60', Diouf A. , Fulgini A. ,
  • 60', Gradit J. , Thomasson A. ,
  • 60', Said W. , Wahi E. ,
  • 72', El Aynaoui N. , Guilavogui M. ,
  • 74', Jhoanner Chavez 🟨,
  • 78', Frankowski P. 🟨,
  • 83', Traore I. , Lo A. ,
  • 87', N'Doram K. , Cande F. ,
  • 90+1', Jean Jacques D. , Camara L. ,

Chances of winning


Metz
16%
Draw
23.4%
Lens
60.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
22.7% 26.2% 51%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.3% 25.5% 49.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Metz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Metz's form might have worsened.
  • Lens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lens's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metz than the current prediction. (+7.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Metz, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lens than the current prediction. (-10.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lens, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Metz - Lens Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.97
    (4.18)
    4.09
    (3.63)
    1.58
    (1.86)
    4.5%
    (5.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Metz - Lens?
  • Users Predictions: 42 users predict this event. Metz will win (votes: 3 - 7.1%). Lens will win (votes: 33 - 78.6%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 14.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Lens: 66.2%91%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa Conference League (Qualification: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Metz won 2.
    • One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
    • In this match Lens is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Lens: Abdul Samed S. (Ankle Injury) Cabot J. (Knee Injury)
    • Last 15 head-to-head matches Metz won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 15-17.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Metz won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Metz - Lens were as follows:
    16.09.2023 Lens - Metz 0:1
    Latest results of Metz
    07.04.2024 Brest - Metz 4:3
    30.03.2024 Metz - Monaco 2:5
    17.03.2024 Reims - Metz 2:1
    10.03.2024 Metz - Clermont 1:0
    03.03.2024 Nantes - Metz 0:2
    Latest results of Lens
    06.04.2024 Lens - Le Havre 1:1
    29.03.2024 Lille - Lens 2:1
    16.03.2024 Lens - Nice 1:3
    09.03.2024 Lens - Brest 1:0
    03.03.2024 Lyon - Lens 0:3
    Draw
    Relegation - Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1ReimsBye
    3MetzBye
    4DunkerqueGuingamp1 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1ReimsBye
    2MetzDunkerque1 : 0

    Final
    1ReimsMetz1 : 3, 1 : 1
    Which TV channels are streaming of Metz - Lens?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport
    croatiaCroatiaArena Sport
    czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 1, Voyo
    franceFranceAmazon Prime Video
    greeceGreeceNova Sports
    polandPolandCanal+ Sport 5
    serbiaSerbiaArena Sport
    slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
    sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomTNT Sports
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