Lyon vs Lens: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer French Ligue 1 Lyon - Lens
Result
1:2
04/05/2025 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Ligue 1 - Round 32
  • Referee: Stinat J. (Fra)
Lyon - Lens - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.950.72
Ball Possession
69%31%
Total shots
188
Shots on target
43
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
82
Passes
88% (563/637)80% (241/302)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
0.950.72
xG on target (xGOT)
0.291.05
Total shots
188
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
93
Blocked Shots
52
Shots inside the Box
143
Shots outside the Box
45
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
82
Touches in opposition box
7510
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
128
Passes
88% (563/637)80% (241/302)
Long passes
48% (11/23)36% (16/45)
Passes in final third
81% (228/282)62% (26/42)
Crosses
22% (8/36)33% (1/3)
Expected assists (xA)
2.460.19
Throw-ins
2613
Fouls
812
Tackles
73% (8/11)64% (7/11)
Duels won
4437
Clearances
952
Interceptions
818
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
1.050.29
Goals prevented
-0.95-0.71

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 13', Niakhate M. 🟨,
  • 21', 0 - 1, Koyalipou G. , Thomasson A. (A),
  • 45+2', Fofana M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 54', Mendy N. 🟨,
  • 64', Machado D. 🟨,
  • 70', Pouilly T. , Ojediran H. ,
  • 70', Koyalipou G. , Satriano M. ,
  • 71', Diouf A. , Zaroury A. ,
  • 71', Matic N. , Gomes Rodriguez A. ,
  • 79', 1 - 1, Mikautadze G. , Clinton Mata (A),
  • 85', 1 - 2, Zaroury A. , Thomasson A. (A),
  • 88', Tolisso C. , Tessmann T. ,
  • 89', Medina F. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Mendy N. , Sarr M. ,

Chances of winning


Lyon
65.3%
Draw
19%
Lens
15.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.3% 23.9% 25.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.5% 24.5% 25.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lyon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lyon's performance.
  • Lens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lens might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lyon than the current prediction. (-13.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lyon that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lens than the current prediction. (+9.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lens could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Lyon - Lens Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.46
    (1.9)
    4.99
    (3.99)
    6.08
    (3.71)
    4.9%
    (4.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for Lyon - Lens?
    The most likely score is 2:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 and 8).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lyon won 1.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Lyon may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Lyon is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Lyon: Lacazette A. (Yellow Cards) Nuamah E. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Lens: Aguilar R. (Hamstring Injury) Jhoanner Chavez (Ankle Injury) Labeau Lascary R. (Knee Injury) Petric D. (Back Injury) Sotoca F. (Red Card)
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Lyon won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 17:18. (average 1.3:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Lyon won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 1.3:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lyon - Lens were as follows:
    15.09.2024 Lens - Lyon 0:0
    03.03.2024 Lyon - Lens 0:3
    02.12.2023 Lens - Lyon 3:2
    12.02.2023 Lyon - Lens 2:1
    02.10.2022 Lens - Lyon 1:0
    Latest results of Lyon
    26.04.2025 Lyon - Rennes 4:1
    20.04.2025 Saint-Étienne - Lyon 2:1
    17.04.2025 Manchester United - Lyon 5:4
    13.04.2025 Auxerre - Lyon 1:3
    10.04.2025 Lyon - Manchester United 2:2
    Latest results of Lens
    27.04.2025 Lens - Auxerre 0:4
    20.04.2025 Brest - Lens 1:3
    11.04.2025 Lens - Reims 0:2
    06.04.2025 Lens - Saint-Étienne 1:0
    30.03.2025 Lille - Lens 1:0
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2024/25
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSG ✔ 32246285:335278
    2Marseille32185967:442359
    3Monaco32177861:372458
    4Nice32169760:392157
    5Lille32169750:331757
    6Strasbourg32169753:391457
    7Lyon321661063:441954
    8Lens321461237:38-148
    9Brest321451350:53-347
    10Auxerre321181346:47-141
    11Rennes321221847:46138
    12Toulouse321081440:40038
    13Reims32891532:43-1133
    14Angers32961730:50-2033
    15Nantes327111435:51-1632
    16Le Havre32941936:66-3031
    17St Etienne32761935:74-3927
    18Montpellier ✔ 32442422:72-5016

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ Ligue 2

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    PSG is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (League phase )
    Montpellier is Relegated to Ligue 2
    Which TV channels are streaming of Lyon - Lens?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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