Lens vs Auxerre: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer French Ligue 1
Soccer French Ligue 1 Lens - Auxerre
Result
0:4
27/04/2025 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Ligue 1 - Round 31
  • Referee: Vernice M. (Fra)
Lens - Auxerre - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.732.64
Ball Possession
66%34%
Total shots
1612
Shots on target
58
Big Chances
43
Corner Kicks
81
Passes
85% (557/652)78% (266/339)
Yellow Cards
44
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.732.64
xG on target (xGOT)
1.612.93
Total shots
1612
Shots on target
58
Shots off target
93
Blocked Shots
21
Shots inside the Box
1112
Shots outside the Box
50
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
43
Corner Kicks
81
Touches in opposition box
3217
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1312
Passes
85% (557/652)78% (266/339)
Long passes
44% (17/39)52% (27/52)
Passes in final third
75% (129/173)61% (47/77)
Crosses
20% (6/30)50% (4/8)
Expected assists (xA)
1.670.58
Throw-ins
2117
Fouls
1213
Tackles
39% (9/23)64% (9/14)
Duels won
4746
Clearances
838
Interceptions
418
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
45
xGOT faced
2.931.61
Goals prevented
-1.071.61

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 3)
  • 33', 0 - 1, Onaiwu A. ⚽, Sinayoko L. (A),
  • 40', 0 - 2, Perrin G. ⚽, Sinayoko L. (A),
  • 43', Juma Bah A. 🟨,
  • 44', 0 - 3, Onaiwu A. ⚽, Sinayoko L. (A),
  • 45', Onaiwu A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Diouf A. ↓, Fulgini A. ↑,
  • 46', Sarr M. ↓, Agbonifo J. ↑,
  • 50', Massengo H. 🟨,
  • 52', Leon D. 🟨,
  • 55', Agbonifo J. 🟨,
  • 56', El Aynaoui N. ↓, Sotoca F. ↑,
  • 73', 0 - 4, Hoever K. ⚽, Perrin G. (A),
  • 73', Koyalipou G. ↓, Said W. ↑,
  • 74', Sinayoko L. ↓, Aye F. ↑,
  • 74', Onaiwu A. ↓, Bair T. ↑,
  • 76', Thomasson A. 🟨,
  • 77', Massengo H. ↓, Matondo R. ↑,
  • 81', Aguilar R. 🟨,
  • 84', Jubal Junior ↓, Maddy E. ↑,
  • 85', Hoever K. ↓, Joly P. ↑,
  • 85', Sotoca F. 🟥,
  • 88', Zaroury A. ↓, Pouilly T. ↑,
  • 90+1', Maddy E. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Lens
61.1%		Draw
22%		Auxerre
16.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.5% 23.9% 20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.2% 26.3% 18.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lens's performance.
  • Auxerre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lens than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Auxerre than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
    •

    Lens - Auxerre Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.56 ↓
    (1.72)    		 4.34 ↑
    (4)    		 5.6 ↑
    (4.66)    		 5.2%
    (4.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    •
    What is the prediction for Lens - Auxerre?
  • Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Lens will win (votes: 12 - 42.9%). Auxerre will win (votes: 7 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 32.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Lens: 24.6% – 61.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Lens (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Auxerre (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Tie (votes: 5 - 71.4%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1 - Lens (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 8 and 11).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Lens won 3.
    • One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
    • Lens could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Lens is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Lens: Jhoanner Chavez (Ankle Injury) Labeau Lascary R. (Knee Injury) Medina F. (Yellow Cards) Petric D. (Back Injury) Satriano M. (Knee Injury) Sotoca F. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There will not play in Auxerre: Buayi-Kiala N. (Knee Injury) Coulibaly L. (Knee Injury) Danois K. (Injury) Osho G. (Injury) Owusu E. (Inactive) Traore H. J. (Injury)
    • Last 17 head-to-head matches Lens won 11 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 27:12 (average 1.6:0.7).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Lens won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13:3 (average 1.6:0.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lens - Auxerre were as follows:
    14.12.2024 Auxerre - Lens 2:2
    03.06.2023 Auxerre - Lens 1:3
    14.01.2023 Lens - Auxerre 1:0
    Latest results of Lens
    20.04.2025 Brest - Lens 1:3 ✺
    11.04.2025 Lens - Reims 0:2 ✺
    06.04.2025 Lens - Saint-Étienne 1:0 ✺
    30.03.2025 Lille - Lens 1:0 ✺
    15.03.2025 Lens - Rennes 1:0 ✺
    Latest results of Auxerre
    20.04.2025 Lille - Auxerre 3:1 ✺
    13.04.2025 Auxerre - Lyon 1:3 ✺
    06.04.2025 Rennes - Auxerre 0:1 ✺
    30.03.2025 Auxerre - Montpellier 1:0 ✺
    14.03.2025 Nice - Auxerre 1:1 ✺
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Auxerre00000:000
    2Le Havre00000:000
    3Lille00000:000
    4Lorient00000:000
    5Metz00000:000
    6Monaco00000:000
    7Nantes00000:000
    8Nice00000:000
    9PSG00000:000
    10Strasbourg00000:000
    11Angers00000:000
    12Brest00000:000
    13Paris FC00000:000
    14Marseille00000:000
    15Toulouse00000:000
    16Lens00000:000
    17Rennes00000:000
    18Lyon00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ Ligue 2

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