Belenenses vs Leixões: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Portuguese Liga 2 Belenenses - Leixões
Result
1:2
11/03/2024 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL 2 - ROUND 25
  • Referee: Narciso A. (Por)
Belenenses - Leixões - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Belenenses
29.8%
Draw
30.2%
Leixões
40%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.9% 29.9% 34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38% 31.7% 32.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Belenenses has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Belenenses's form might have worsened.
  • Leixões has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Leixões's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Belenenses than the current prediction. (+8.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Belenenses, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leixões than the current prediction. (-7.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Leixões, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Belenenses - Leixões Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.11
    (2.5)
    3.1
    (3)
    2.32
    (2.63)
    7.5%
    (11.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Belenenses - Leixões?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Belenenses will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Leixões will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Leixões: 11.9%76.9%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Belenenses is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Leixões is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Belenenses could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Belenenses won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Belenenses - Leixões were as follows:
    28.10.2023 Leixões - Belenenses 1:0
    Latest results of Belenenses
    05.03.2024 Marítimo - Belenenses 1:1
    25.02.2024 Belenenses - Torreense 0:2
    17.02.2024 Leiria - Belenenses 4:2
    11.02.2024 Belenenses - Tondela 0:0
    02.02.2024 Mafra - Belenenses 1:1
    Latest results of Leixões
    03.03.2024 Leixões - Tondela 1:1
    28.02.2024 Leixões - Nacional 1:1
    24.02.2024 Porto B - Leixões 0:2
    10.02.2024 Benfica B - Leixões 1:1
    Portuguese Liga 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vizela43108:2610
    2Sporting CP B43015:149
    3Maritimo43014:139
    4Feirense42116:247
    5Leiria42114:317
    6Leixoes42117:527
    7Portimonense42116:7-17
    8Torreense42025:326
    9Chaves41306:426
    10Oliveirense41212:205
    11Lusitania FC41215:6-15
    12Academico Viseu41125:504
    13Felgueiras41124:6-24
    14SC Farense41123:6-34
    15Benfica B40314:5-13
    16Pacos Ferreira40221:5-42
    17Penafiel40133:7-41
    18FC Porto B40130:8-81

          Promotion ~ Liga Portugal
          Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )
          Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Liga 3

    Which TV channels are streaming of Belenenses - Leixões?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    portugalPortugalSport TV3, Sport TV+
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