Leioa vs Derio: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4 Leioa - Derio
Result
2:1
22/03/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 27
Leioa - Derio - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 1', 0 - 1, Mikel ,
  • 30', 1 - 1, Lete ,
  • 33', 2 - 1, Garcia I. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


Leioa
60%
Draw
24.5%
Derio
15.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.4% 24.6% 14.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.4% 23.8% 14.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Leioa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • Derio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leioa than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derio than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • Leioa - Derio Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.52
    (1.51)
    3.72
    (3.69)
    5.88
    (6.1)
    9.8%
    (9.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: ) and 8).
    • The game of competitors is shaky now.
    • In this match Leioa is the unquestionable favorite.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Leioa won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1 (average 1:0.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Leioa won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Leioa - Derio were as follows:
    09.11.2024 Derio - Leioa 0:1
    16.12.2023 Leioa - Derio 1:1
    Latest results of Leioa
    16.03.2025 Santurtzi - Leioa 1:0
    08.03.2025 Leioa - Beasain 1:1
    22.02.2025 Leioa - San Ignacio 3:0
    16.02.2025 Basconia - Leioa 3:0
    09.02.2025 Padura - Leioa 1:2
    Latest results of Derio
    15.03.2025 Derio - Aretxabaleta 2:0
    09.03.2025 San Viator - Derio 0:0
    01.03.2025 Derio - Portugalete 1:1
    23.02.2025 Eibar C - Derio 0:0
    15.02.2025 Derio - Touring KE 0:2
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Aurrera de Vitoria22004:136
    2Portugalete22005:326
    3Zamudio21104:134
    4Santurtzi21103:124
    5Lagun Onak21015:323
    6Touring KE21014:223
    7Derio21013:303
    8Leioa21011:103
    9Pasaia21011:103
    10San Ignacio21011:103
    11Zarautz KE21011:103
    12Eibar C21012:3-13
    13Alaves C21012:4-23
    14Durango20202:202
    15UD Aretxabaleta20111:2-11
    16Anorga20111:4-31
    17Real Sociedad C20021:3-20
    18SD Deusto20020:5-50

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: )
          Relegation

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