Leinster vs Toulon: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Result
29:25
02/05/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : European Rugby Champions Cup - Play Offs - Semi-finals
Leinster - Toulon - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
Advertisement
Watch and bet Leinster - Toulon live
  1. Sign in or Register (it's free) to watch and bet Live Stream*
  2. To place a bet while streaming, go to Live In-Play
  3. Prior to joining Bet365.com and funding your account in order to view this event, or any other particular event via Bet365.com live stream, you are strongly advised to check with Bet365.com if, depending on your place of residence, it is possible to view this live stream.

Match Stats

Tries
43
Conversion goals
32
Conversion goal attempts
00
Penalty goals
12
Penalty goal attempts
00
Goals %
00
Dropped goals
00
Total runs
00
Metres run with ball
00
Yellow cards
22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (14 - 11)
  • 13', Conan J. (Try),
  • 14', Byrne H. (Conversion Goal),
  • 16', Jaminet M. (Penalty Goal),
  • 26', Jaminet M. (Penalty Goal),
  • 33', van der Flier J. (Try),
  • 33', Byrne H. (Conversion Goal),
  • 36', Porter A. 🟨,
  • 37', Tuicuvu S. (Try),
  • 37', Byrne H. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (15 - 14)
  • 43', 🟨,
  • 44', Baubigny T. 🟨,
  • 44', Ringrose G. (Try),
  • 49', Byrne H. (Penalty Goal),
  • 67', Sweetman-Doris C. (Try),
  • 67', Byrne H. (Conversion Goal),
  • 69', Serin B. (Try),
  • 70', Jaminet M. (Conversion Goal),
  • 76', Drean G. (Try),
  • 77', Jaminet M. (Conversion Goal),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Leinster
76.3%
Draw
3.3%
Toulon
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
74.5% 4% 21.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Leinster has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • Toulon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • Leinster - Toulon Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.2
    (1.24)
    28.31
    (23.08)
    4.71
    (4.28)
    8.3%
    (8.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 51.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-12)
    Preview Facts
    • At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
    • Toulon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Leinster is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leinster won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 54:98. (average 10.8:19.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Leinster won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:20. (average 8:10).
    Latest results of Leinster
    25.04.2026 Benetton Treviso - Leinster 29:26
    17.04.2026 Ulster - Leinster 21:29
    11.04.2026 Leinster - Sale Sharks 43:13
    05.04.2026 Leinster - Edinburgh 49:31
    27.03.2026 Leinster - Llanelli Scarlets 36:19
    Latest results of Toulon
    25.04.2026 Toulon - Aviron Bayonnais 52:26
    18.04.2026 Montauban - Toulon 22:47
    11.04.2026 Glasgow Warriors - Toulon 19:22
    04.04.2026 Toulon - Stormers 28:27
    28.03.2026 Perpignan - Toulon 34:20
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Bordeaux BeglesLeicester Tigers64 : 14
    2Stade ToulousainBristol59 : 26
    3BathSaracens31 : 22
    4Northampton SaintsCastres Olympique49 : 41
    5LeinsterEdinburgh49 : 31
    6HarlequinsSale Sharks17 : 26
    7Glasgow WarriorsBulls25 : 21
    8RC ToulonnaisStormers28 : 27

    Quarter-finals
    1Bordeaux BeglesStade Toulousain30 : 15
    2BathNorthampton Saints43 : 41
    3LeinsterSale Sharks43 : 13
    4Glasgow WarriorsRC Toulonnais19 : 22

    Semi-finals
    1Bordeaux BeglesBath38 : 26
    2LeinsterRC Toulonnais29 : 25

    Final
    1Bordeaux BeglesLeinster
    Which TV channels are streaming of Leinster - Toulon?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    africaAfricaSuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport Rugby
    asiaAsiaPremier Sports Rugby Asia
    europeEuropeTV5 Monde Europe
    franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, France 2
    maltaMaltaTSN Malta 1
    nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport Rugby
    peruPeruMovistar Deportes
    portugalPortugalSport TV7
    south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport Rugby
    spainSpainM+ Deportes
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomFloSports app, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
    worldWorldEPCR Rugby TV
    X
    bet365
    advertisement
    LiveStream.Fan