Legia Warsaw vs Lugano: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer UEFA Europa Conference League Legia Warsaw - Lugano
Result
1:2
12/12/2024 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Conference League - League phase - Round 5
  • Referee: Martinez J. (Esp)
Legia Warsaw - Lugano - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
Advertisement
Watch and bet Legia Warsaw - Lugano live
  1. Sign in or Register (it's free) to watch and bet Live Stream*
  2. To place a bet while streaming, go to Live In-Play
  3. Prior to joining Bet365.com and funding your account in order to view this event, or any other particular event via Bet365.com live stream, you are strongly advised to check with Bet365.com if, depending on your place of residence, it is possible to view this live stream.

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.281.85
Ball Possession
34%66%
Goal Attempts
1216
Shots on Goal
211
Shots off Goal
63
Blocked Shots
42
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
12
Shots inside the Box
910
Shots outside the Box
36
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Goalkeeper Saves
91
Free Kicks
1615
Offsides
10
Fouls
1516
Yellow Cards
62
Red Cards
10
Throw-ins
2013
Touches in the Opposition Box
2419
Passes
80% (259/325)88% (545/618)
Passes in the final third
75% (92/123)79% (81/103)
Crosses
9% (1/11)27% (3/11)
Tackles
50% (6/12)79% (15/19)
Clearances Total
1213
Interceptions
413

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 11', 1 - 0, Morishita R. , Gual M. (A),
  • 23', Bislimi U. 🟨,
  • 29', Wszolek P. 🟨,
  • 40', 1 - 1, Bottani M. , Grgic A. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 65', Mahou H. , Przybylko K. ,
  • 72', Celhaka J. , Sergio Barcia ,
  • 74', 1 - 2, Hajdari A. ,
  • 78', Bottani M. , Cimignani Y. ,
  • 78', Belhadj M. , Doumbia O. ,
  • 82', Chodyna K. , Pekhart T. ,
  • 84', Kapustka B. 🟨,
  • 88', Bislimi U. , Mai L. ,
  • 90+1', Pankov R. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Pankov R. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Gual M. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Zanotti M. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Luquinhas 🟨,

Chances of winning


Legia Warsaw
51.8%
Draw
25%
Lugano
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.3% 29.1% 28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6% 27.6% 27.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Legia Warsaw has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Legia Warsaw's performance.
  • Lugano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lugano might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Legia Warsaw than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Legia Warsaw that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
  • Legia Warsaw - Lugano Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.82
    (2.1)
    3.76
    (3.05)
    4.05
    (3.1)
    6.4%
    (12.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Legia Warsaw - Lugano?
  • Users Predictions: Legia Warsaw will win (34 of 38 users predict this - 89.47%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 79.71%99.23%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Legia in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Lugano is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Lugano could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently Legia have a series of guest games.
    • Legia will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • There will not play in Legia: Augustyniak R. (Injury) Elitim J. (Knee Injury) Leszczynski J. (Knee Injury) Mustafaev R. (Knee Injury) Oyedele M. (Ankle Injury) Tobiasz K. (Arm Injury) Vinagre R. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Lugano: Aliseda I. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Lugano: Babic B. (Injury) Ryter Y. (Injury) Saipi A. (Injury)
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Legia Warsaw
    Latest results of Lugano
    07.12.2024 Luzern - Lugano 1:4
    04.12.2024 Yverdon - Lugano 0:2
    01.12.2024 Servette - Lugano 3:0
    28.11.2024 Lugano - Gent 2:0
    24.11.2024 Lugano - Zürich 4:1
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    1BuducnostBye
    2ByeMilsami
    4ByeVirtus
    5VikingurBye
    7ZalgirisBye
    8ByeLinfield
    9TNSBye
    10ByeDifferdange
    11LevadiaBye
    12ByeIberia 1999
    13O. LjubljanaBye
    14ByeInter Escaldes
    15Din. MinskBye
    16ByeEgnatia
    17DecicSileks1 : 2, 2 : 0
    18ByeSK Rapid
    19Dundee UtdBye
    20ByeUNA Strassen
    21AktobeBye
    22ByeSparta Prague
    23Ararat-ArmeniaBye
    24ByeU. Cluj
    25IlvesBye
    26ByeAZ Alkmaar
    27VaduzBye
    28ByeDungannon
    33Radnicki 1923Bye
    34SJKKlaksvik0 : 2, 1 : 2
    35KosiceBye
    36UrartuNeman0 : 4, 1 : 2
    37Riga FCBye
    38Racing LuxembourgDila Gori0 : 1, 1 : 2
    39SutjeskaDynamo Brest2 : 0, 1 : 2
    40ByeBeitar Jerusalem
    41VllazniaBFC Daugavpils4 : 2, 0 : 1
    42MalishevaVikingur Reykjavik0 : 8, 0 : 1
    43HB TorshavnBye
    44ByeBrondby
    45ZiraBye
    46ByeHajduk Split
    47Atletic EscaldesDudelange3 : 2, 2 : 0
    48ByeDinamo Tirana
    53La FioritaVardar2 : 2, 0 : 3
    54ByeLausanne
    55Zimbru ChisinauBye
    56ByeFC Astana
    57LarneAuda3 : 2, 0 : 0
    58ByePrishtina
    59VarazdinBye
    60ByeSanta Clara
    61ArisBye
    62ByePuskas Academy
    63AEK Athens FCBye
    64ByeH. Beer Sheva
    65VikingBye
    66ZeljeznicarKoper1 : 3, 1 : 1
    67Cherno MoreBye
    68ByeBasaksehir
    69ArazBye
    70ByeAris
    71OmoniaBye
    72Torpedo KutaisiOrdabasy1 : 1, 4 : 3
    73FC BallkaniBye
    74FlorianaHaverfordwest3 : 2, 2 : 1
    75St JosephsCliftonville3 : 2, 2 : 2
    76ByeShamrock Rovers
    77RakowBye
    78ByeZilina
    79ZhodinoRabotnicki1 : 0, 3 : 0
    80ByeMaccabi Haifa
    81AIKBye
    82MagpiesPaide1 : 4, 2 : 3
    83Tre FioriPyunik Yerevan0 : 5, 1 : 0
    84ByeGyor
    85FK SarajevoBye
    86ByeUniv. Craiova
    87HiberniansBye
    88ByeTrnava
    89Polissya ZhytomyrBye
    90Borac Banja LukaFC Santa Coloma2 : 0, 1 : 4
    91PaksBye
    92ByeMaribor
    95BirkirkaraPetrocub0 : 3, 1 : 0
    96ByeSabah Baku
    97SilkeborgBye
    98ByeKA Akureyri
    99Novi PazarBye
    100ByeJagiellonia
    101OleksandriyaBye
    102ByePartizan
    107Austria ViennaBye
    108ByeSpaeri
    109RosenborgBye
    110ByeBanga
    111HammarbyBye
    112ByeCharleroi
    113St. PatricksHegelmann2 : 0, 1 : 0
    114KaljuPartizani1 : 0, 1 : 1
    117Kauno ZalgirisPenybont1 : 1, 3 : 0
    118ValurFlora2 : 1, 3 : 0
    119ArdaBye
    120NSI RunavikHJK0 : 5, 4 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1BuducnostMilsami0 : 0
    2ByeVirtus
    3VikingurBye
    4ZalgirisLinfield0 : 0
    5TNSDifferdange0 : 1
    6LevadiaIberia 19991 : 0
    7O. LjubljanaInter Escaldes4 : 2
    8Din. MinskEgnatia0 : 2
    9DecicSK Rapid0 : 2
    10Dundee UtdUNA Strassen1 : 0
    11AktobeSparta Prague2 : 1
    12Ararat-ArmeniaU. Cluj0 : 0
    13IlvesAZ Alkmaar4 : 3
    14VaduzDungannon0 : 1
    17Radnicki 1923Klaksvik0 : 0
    18KosiceNeman2 : 3
    19Riga FCDila Gori2 : 1
    20SutjeskaBeitar Jerusalem1 : 2
    21VllazniaVikingur Reykjavik2 : 1
    22HB TorshavnBrondby1 : 1
    23ZiraHajduk Split1 : 1
    24Atletic EscaldesDinamo Tirana1 : 2
    27VardarLausanne2 : 1
    28Zimbru ChisinauFC Astana1 : 1
    29LarnePrishtina0 : 0
    30VarazdinSanta Clara2 : 1
    31ArisPuskas Academy3 : 2
    32AEK Athens FCH. Beer Sheva1 : 0
    33VikingKoper7 : 0
    34Cherno MoreBasaksehir0 : 1
    35ArazAris2 : 1
    36OmoniaTorpedo Kutaisi1 : 0
    37FC BallkaniFloriana4 : 2
    38St JosephsShamrock Rovers0 : 4
    39RakowZilina3 : 0
    40ZhodinoMaccabi Haifa1 : 1
    41AIKPaide2 : 0
    42Pyunik YerevanGyor2 : 1
    43FK SarajevoUniv. Craiova2 : 1
    44HiberniansTrnava1 : 2
    45Polissya ZhytomyrFC Santa Coloma1 : 2
    46PaksMaribor1 : 0
    48PetrocubSabah Baku0 : 2
    49SilkeborgKA Akureyri1 : 1
    50Novi PazarJagiellonia1 : 2
    51OleksandriyaPartizan0 : 2
    54Austria ViennaSpaeri2 : 0
    55RosenborgBanga5 : 0
    56HammarbyCharleroi0 : 0
    57St. PatricksKalju1 : 0
    59Kauno ZalgirisValur1 : 1
    60ArdaHJK0 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1Virtus
    2VikingurTBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    9TBD #17TBD #18
    10TBD #19TBD #20
    11TBD #21TBD #22
    12TBD #23TBD #24
    14TBD #27TBD #28
    15TBD #29TBD #30
    16TBD #31TBD #32
    17TBD #33TBD #34
    18TBD #35TBD #36
    19TBD #37TBD #38
    20TBD #39TBD #40
    21TBD #41TBD #42
    22TBD #43TBD #44
    23TBD #45TBD #46
    24ByeTBD #48
    25TBD #49TBD #50
    26TBD #51Bye
    27ByeTBD #54
    28TBD #55TBD #56
    29TBD #57Bye
    30TBD #59TBD #60
    Which TV channels are streaming of Legia Warsaw - Lugano?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    argentinaArgentinaDisney+
    australiaAustraliaStan Sport
    chileChileDisney+
    colombiaColombiaDisney+
    denmarkDenmarkDisney+
    finlandFinlandViaplay
    franceFranceCanal+ Live 13
    icelandIcelandViaplay
    indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect
    laosLaosbeIN Connect
    malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect
    myanmarMyanmarCanal+ Myanmar
    norwayNorwayViaplay
    peruPeruDisney+
    philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect
    polandPolandPolsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Premium 1
    south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
    spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 13
    swedenSwedenDisney+
    switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport D1, Blue Sport D1, RSI La 2, RTS 2, RTS 2, RTS Sport Player, RTS Sport Player, SRF 2, SRF 2, SRF Play, SRF Play, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
    thailandThailandbeIN Connect
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ UK
    uruguayUruguayDisney+
    usaUsaParamount+
    venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
    vietnamVietnamON Plus
    worldWorldDisney+
    X
    bet365
    advertisement
    LiveStream.Fan