Legia Warsaw vs Lugano: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

12/12/2024 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Stadion Wojska Polskiego (Warsaw).

EUROPE: Conference League - League phase - Round 5
Referee: Martinez J. (Esp)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.28	1.85
Ball Possession
34%	66%
Goal Attempts
12	16
Shots on Goal
2	11
Shots off Goal
6	3
Blocked Shots
4	2
Big Chances
1	2
Corner Kicks
1	2
Shots inside the Box
9	10
Shots outside the Box
3	6
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Goalkeeper Saves
9	1
Free Kicks
16	15
Offsides
1	0
Fouls
15	16
Yellow Cards
6	2
Red Cards
1	0
Throw-ins
20	13
Touches in the Opposition Box
24	19
Passes
80% (259/325)	88% (545/618)
Passes in the final third
75% (92/123)	79% (81/103)
Crosses
9% (1/11)	27% (3/11)
Tackles
50% (6/12)	79% (15/19)
Clearances Total
12	13
Interceptions
4	13

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
11', 1 - 0, Morishita R. ⚽, Gual M. (A),
23', Bislimi U. 🟨,
29', Wszolek P. 🟨,
40', 1 - 1, Bottani M. ⚽, Grgic A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
65', Mahou H. ↓, Przybylko K. ↑,
72', Celhaka J. ↓, Sergio Barcia ↑,
74', 1 - 2, Hajdari A. ⚽,
78', Bottani M. ↓, Cimignani Y. ↑,
78', Belhadj M. ↓, Doumbia O. ↑,
82', Chodyna K. ↓, Pekhart T. ↑,
84', Kapustka B. 🟨,
88', Bislimi U. ↓, Mai L. ↑,
90+1', Pankov R. 🟨,
90+2', Pankov R. 🟨,
90+2', Gual M. 🟨,
90+4', Zanotti M. 🟨,
90+4', Luquinhas 🟨,

Chances of winning

Legia Warsaw
51.8%

Draw
25%

Lugano
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.3%

29.1%

28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

27.6%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Legia Warsaw has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Legia Warsaw's performance.

Lugano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lugano might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Legia Warsaw than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Legia Warsaw that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Legia Warsaw - Lugano Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (2.1)	3.76 ↑ (3.05)	4.05 ↑ (3.1)	6.4% (12.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Legia Warsaw - Lugano?

Users Predictions: Legia Warsaw will win (34 of 38 users predict this - 89.47%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.71% – 99.23%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

Legia in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Lugano is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Lugano could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently Legia have a series of guest games.
Legia will have a mini benefit in this match.
There will not play in Legia: Augustyniak R. (Injury) Elitim J. (Knee Injury) Leszczynski J. (Knee Injury) Mustafaev R. (Knee Injury) Oyedele M. (Ankle Injury) Tobiasz K. (Arm Injury) Vinagre R. (Injury)
There will not play in Lugano: Aliseda I. (Muscle Injury)
There are questionable in Lugano: Babic B. (Injury) Ryter Y. (Injury) Saipi A. (Injury)
Recently, the teams did not play each other.

How many head-to-head matches has Legia Warsaw won against Lugano?

Legia Warsaw has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Lugano won against Legia Warsaw?

Lugano has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Legia Warsaw - Lugano were as follows:

Latest results of Legia Warsaw

08.12.2024 Zagłębie Lubin - Legia Warsaw 0:3 ✺

05.12.2024 ŁKS Łódź - Legia Warsaw 0:3 ✺

01.12.2024 Stal Mielec - Legia Warsaw 2:2 ✺

28.11.2024 Omonia - Legia Warsaw 0:3 ✺

23.11.2024 Legia Warsaw - Cracovia 3:2 ✺

Latest results of Lugano

07.12.2024 Luzern - Lugano 1:4 ✺

04.12.2024 Yverdon - Lugano 0:2 ✺

01.12.2024 Servette - Lugano 3:0 ✺

28.11.2024 Lugano - Gent 2:0 ✺

24.11.2024 Lugano - Zürich 4:1 ✺

Draw

2025/26

1/8-finals

1	Buducnost	Bye
2	Bye	Milsami
4	Bye	Virtus
5	Vikingur	Bye
7	Zalgiris	Bye
8	Bye	Linfield
9	TNS	Bye
10	Bye	Differdange
11	Levadia	Bye
12	Bye	Iberia 1999
13	O. Ljubljana	Bye
14	Bye	Inter Escaldes
15	Din. Minsk	Bye
16	Bye	Egnatia
17	Decic	Sileks	1 : 2, 2 : 0
18	Bye	SK Rapid
19	Dundee Utd	Bye
20	Bye	UNA Strassen
21	Aktobe	Bye
22	Bye	Sparta Prague
23	Ararat-Armenia	Bye
24	Bye	U. Cluj
25	Ilves	Bye
26	Bye	AZ Alkmaar
27	Vaduz	Bye
28	Bye	Dungannon
33	Radnicki 1923	Bye
34	SJK	Klaksvik	0 : 2, 1 : 2
35	Kosice	Bye
36	Urartu	Neman	0 : 4, 1 : 2
37	Riga FC	Bye
38	Racing Luxembourg	Dila Gori	0 : 1, 1 : 2
39	Sutjeska	Dynamo Brest	2 : 0, 1 : 2
40	Bye	Beitar Jerusalem
41	Vllaznia	BFC Daugavpils	4 : 2, 0 : 1
42	Malisheva	Vikingur Reykjavik	0 : 8, 0 : 1
43	HB Torshavn	Bye
44	Bye	Brondby
45	Zira	Bye
46	Bye	Hajduk Split
47	Atletic Escaldes	Dudelange	3 : 2, 2 : 0
48	Bye	Dinamo Tirana
53	La Fiorita	Vardar	2 : 2, 0 : 3
54	Bye	Lausanne
55	Zimbru Chisinau	Bye
56	Bye	FC Astana
57	Larne	Auda	3 : 2, 0 : 0
58	Bye	Prishtina
59	Varazdin	Bye
60	Bye	Santa Clara
61	Aris	Bye
62	Bye	Puskas Academy
63	AEK Athens FC	Bye
64	Bye	H. Beer Sheva
65	Viking	Bye
66	Zeljeznicar	Koper	1 : 3, 1 : 1
67	Cherno More	Bye
68	Bye	Basaksehir
69	Araz	Bye
70	Bye	Aris
71	Omonia	Bye
72	Torpedo Kutaisi	Ordabasy	1 : 1, 4 : 3
73	FC Ballkani	Bye
74	Floriana	Haverfordwest	3 : 2, 2 : 1
75	St Josephs	Cliftonville	3 : 2, 2 : 2
76	Bye	Shamrock Rovers
77	Rakow	Bye
78	Bye	Zilina
79	Zhodino	Rabotnicki	1 : 0, 3 : 0
80	Bye	Maccabi Haifa
81	AIK	Bye
82	Magpies	Paide	1 : 4, 2 : 3
83	Tre Fiori	Pyunik Yerevan	0 : 5, 1 : 0
84	Bye	Gyor
85	FK Sarajevo	Bye
86	Bye	Univ. Craiova
87	Hibernians	Bye
88	Bye	Trnava
89	Polissya Zhytomyr	Bye
90	Borac Banja Luka	FC Santa Coloma	2 : 0, 1 : 4
91	Paks	Bye
92	Bye	Maribor
95	Birkirkara	Petrocub	0 : 3, 1 : 0
96	Bye	Sabah Baku
97	Silkeborg	Bye
98	Bye	KA Akureyri
99	Novi Pazar	Bye
100	Bye	Jagiellonia
101	Oleksandriya	Bye
102	Bye	Partizan
107	Austria Vienna	Bye
108	Bye	Spaeri
109	Rosenborg	Bye
110	Bye	Banga
111	Hammarby	Bye
112	Bye	Charleroi
113	St. Patricks	Hegelmann	2 : 0, 1 : 0
114	Kalju	Partizani	1 : 0, 1 : 1
117	Kauno Zalgiris	Penybont	1 : 1, 3 : 0
118	Valur	Flora	2 : 1, 3 : 0
119	Arda	Bye
120	NSI Runavik	HJK	0 : 5, 4 : 0

Quarter-finals

1	Buducnost	Milsami	0 : 0
2	Bye	Virtus
3	Vikingur	Bye
4	Zalgiris	Linfield	0 : 0
5	TNS	Differdange	0 : 1
6	Levadia	Iberia 1999	1 : 0
7	O. Ljubljana	Inter Escaldes	4 : 2
8	Din. Minsk	Egnatia	0 : 2
9	Decic	SK Rapid	0 : 2
10	Dundee Utd	UNA Strassen	1 : 0
11	Aktobe	Sparta Prague	2 : 1
12	Ararat-Armenia	U. Cluj	0 : 0
13	Ilves	AZ Alkmaar	4 : 3
14	Vaduz	Dungannon	0 : 1
17	Radnicki 1923	Klaksvik	0 : 0
18	Kosice	Neman	2 : 3
19	Riga FC	Dila Gori	2 : 1
20	Sutjeska	Beitar Jerusalem	1 : 2
21	Vllaznia	Vikingur Reykjavik	2 : 1
22	HB Torshavn	Brondby	1 : 1
23	Zira	Hajduk Split	1 : 1
24	Atletic Escaldes	Dinamo Tirana	1 : 2
27	Vardar	Lausanne	2 : 1
28	Zimbru Chisinau	FC Astana	1 : 1
29	Larne	Prishtina	0 : 0
30	Varazdin	Santa Clara	2 : 1
31	Aris	Puskas Academy	3 : 2
32	AEK Athens FC	H. Beer Sheva	1 : 0
33	Viking	Koper	7 : 0
34	Cherno More	Basaksehir	0 : 1
35	Araz	Aris	2 : 1
36	Omonia	Torpedo Kutaisi	1 : 0
37	FC Ballkani	Floriana	4 : 2
38	St Josephs	Shamrock Rovers	0 : 4
39	Rakow	Zilina	3 : 0
40	Zhodino	Maccabi Haifa	1 : 1
41	AIK	Paide	2 : 0
42	Pyunik Yerevan	Gyor	2 : 1
43	FK Sarajevo	Univ. Craiova	2 : 1
44	Hibernians	Trnava	1 : 2
45	Polissya Zhytomyr	FC Santa Coloma	1 : 2
46	Paks	Maribor	1 : 0
48	Petrocub	Sabah Baku	0 : 2
49	Silkeborg	KA Akureyri	1 : 1
50	Novi Pazar	Jagiellonia	1 : 2
51	Oleksandriya	Partizan	0 : 2
54	Austria Vienna	Spaeri	2 : 0
55	Rosenborg	Banga	5 : 0
56	Hammarby	Charleroi	0 : 0
57	St. Patricks	Kalju	1 : 0
59	Kauno Zalgiris	Valur	1 : 1
60	Arda	HJK	0 : 0

Semi-finals

1	TBD #1	Virtus
2	Vikingur	TBD #4
3	TBD #5	TBD #6
4	TBD #7	TBD #8
5	TBD #9	TBD #10
6	TBD #11	TBD #12
7	TBD #13	TBD #14
9	TBD #17	TBD #18
10	TBD #19	TBD #20
11	TBD #21	TBD #22
12	TBD #23	TBD #24
14	TBD #27	TBD #28
15	TBD #29	TBD #30
16	TBD #31	TBD #32
17	TBD #33	TBD #34
18	TBD #35	TBD #36
19	TBD #37	TBD #38
20	TBD #39	TBD #40
21	TBD #41	TBD #42
22	TBD #43	TBD #44
23	TBD #45	TBD #46
24	Bye	TBD #48
25	TBD #49	TBD #50
26	TBD #51	Bye
27	Bye	TBD #54
28	TBD #55	TBD #56
29	TBD #57	Bye
30	TBD #59	TBD #60

Which TV channels are streaming of Legia Warsaw - Lugano?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Argentina	Disney+
Australia	Stan Sport
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Denmark	Disney+
Finland	Viaplay
France	Canal+ Live 13
Iceland	Viaplay
Indonesia	beIN Connect
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect
Myanmar	Canal+ Myanmar
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect
Poland	Polsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Premium 1
South-america	ViX Latin America
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 13
Sweden	Disney+
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport D1, Blue Sport D1, RSI La 2, RTS 2, RTS 2, RTS Sport Player, RTS Sport Player, SRF 2, SRF 2, SRF Play, SRF Play, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	beIN Connect
United-kingdom	Discovery+ UK
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	ON Plus
World	Disney+