Legia Warsaw vs Lugano: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer UEFA Europa Conference League Legia Warsaw - Lugano
Result
1:2
12/12/2024 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Conference League - League phase - Round 5
  • Referee: Martinez J. (Esp)
Legia Warsaw - Lugano - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.281.85
Ball Possession
34%66%
Goal Attempts
1216
Shots on Goal
211
Shots off Goal
63
Blocked Shots
42
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
12
Shots inside the Box
910
Shots outside the Box
36
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Goalkeeper Saves
91
Free Kicks
1615
Offsides
10
Fouls
1516
Yellow Cards
62
Red Cards
10
Throw-ins
2013
Touches in the Opposition Box
2419
Passes
80% (259/325)88% (545/618)
Passes in the final third
75% (92/123)79% (81/103)
Crosses
9% (1/11)27% (3/11)
Tackles
50% (6/12)79% (15/19)
Clearances Total
1213
Interceptions
413

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 11', 1 - 0, Morishita R. , Gual M. (A),
  • 23', Bislimi U. 🟨,
  • 29', Wszolek P. 🟨,
  • 40', 1 - 1, Bottani M. , Grgic A. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 65', Mahou H. , Przybylko K. ,
  • 72', Celhaka J. , Sergio Barcia ,
  • 74', 1 - 2, Hajdari A. ,
  • 78', Bottani M. , Cimignani Y. ,
  • 78', Belhadj M. , Doumbia O. ,
  • 82', Chodyna K. , Pekhart T. ,
  • 84', Kapustka B. 🟨,
  • 88', Bislimi U. , Mai L. ,
  • 90+1', Pankov R. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Pankov R. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Gual M. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Zanotti M. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Luquinhas 🟨,

Chances of winning


Legia Warsaw
51.8%
Draw
25%
Lugano
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.3% 29.1% 28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6% 27.6% 27.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Legia Warsaw has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Legia Warsaw's performance.
  • Lugano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lugano might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Legia Warsaw than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Legia Warsaw that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
  • Legia Warsaw - Lugano Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.82
    (2.1)
    3.76
    (3.05)
    4.05
    (3.1)
    6.4%
    (12.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Legia Warsaw - Lugano?
  • Users Predictions: Legia Warsaw will win (34 of 38 users predict this - 89.47%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 79.71%99.23%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Legia in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Lugano is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Lugano could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently Legia have a series of guest games.
    • Legia will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • There will not play in Legia: Augustyniak R. (Injury) Elitim J. (Knee Injury) Leszczynski J. (Knee Injury) Mustafaev R. (Knee Injury) Oyedele M. (Ankle Injury) Tobiasz K. (Arm Injury) Vinagre R. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Lugano: Aliseda I. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Lugano: Babic B. (Injury) Ryter Y. (Injury) Saipi A. (Injury)
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Legia Warsaw
    Latest results of Lugano
    07.12.2024 Luzern - Lugano 1:4
    04.12.2024 Yverdon - Lugano 0:2
    01.12.2024 Servette - Lugano 3:0
    28.11.2024 Lugano - Gent 2:0
    24.11.2024 Lugano - Zürich 4:1
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    1HamrunBye
    8ByeRFS
    9ShelbourneBye
    13VikingurBye
    15ZalgirisBye
    16ByeLinfield
    17BreidablikBye
    21BuducnostBye
    22ByeMilsami
    24ByeVirtus
    25DritaBye
    29TNSBye
    30ByeDifferdange
    31LevadiaBye
    32ByeIberia 1999
    33O. LjubljanaBye
    34ByeInter Escaldes
    35Din. MinskBye
    36ByeEgnatia
    40ByeNoah
    41StrasbourgBye
    45VllazniaBFC Daugavpils4 : 2, 0 : 1
    46MalishevaVikingur Reykjavik0 : 8, 0 : 1
    47HB TorshavnBye
    48ByeBrondby
    49SilkeborgBye
    50ByeKA Akureyri
    51Novi PazarBye
    52ByeJagiellonia
    53ZiraBye
    54ByeHajduk Split
    55Atletic EscaldesDudelange3 : 2, 2 : 0
    56ByeDinamo Tirana
    57Shakhtar DonetskBye
    64ByeServette
    65AnderlechtBye
    68ByeSheriff Tiraspol
    69ArisBye
    70ByePuskas Academy
    71AEK Athens FCBye
    72ByeH. Beer Sheva
    73VikingBye
    74ZeljeznicarKoper1 : 3, 1 : 1
    75Cherno MoreBye
    76ByeBasaksehir
    77FK SarajevoBye
    78ByeUniv. Craiova
    79HiberniansBye
    80ByeTrnava
    81Crystal PalaceBye
    88ByeFredrikstad
    89LuganoBye
    92ByeCelje
    93OstravaBye
    95Austria ViennaBye
    96ByeSpaeri
    97RakowBye
    98ByeZilina
    99ZhodinoRabotnicki1 : 0, 3 : 0
    100ByeMaccabi Haifa
    101Kauno ZalgirisPenybont1 : 1, 3 : 0
    102ValurFlora2 : 1, 3 : 0
    103ArdaBye
    104NSI RunavikHJK0 : 5, 4 : 0
    105OleksandriyaBye
    106ByePartizan
    108ByeHibernian
    112ByeLegia
    113Levski SofiaBye
    115BirkirkaraPetrocub0 : 3, 1 : 0
    116ByeSabah Baku
    117IlvesBye
    118ByeAZ Alkmaar
    119VaduzBye
    120ByeDungannon
    121Polissya ZhytomyrBye
    122Borac Banja LukaFC Santa Coloma2 : 0, 1 : 4
    123PaksBye
    124ByeMaribor
    128ByeFiorentina
    129AIKBye
    130MagpiesPaide1 : 4, 2 : 3
    131Tre FioriPyunik Yerevan0 : 5, 1 : 0
    132ByeGyor
    133DecicSileks1 : 2, 2 : 0
    134ByeSK Rapid
    135Dundee UtdBye
    136ByeUNA Strassen
    137Radnicki 1923Bye
    138SJKKlaksvik0 : 2, 1 : 2
    139KosiceBye
    140UrartuNeman0 : 4, 1 : 2
    144ByeRayo Vallecano
    145La FioritaVardar2 : 2, 0 : 3
    146ByeLausanne
    147Zimbru ChisinauBye
    148ByeFC Astana
    149St. PatricksHegelmann2 : 0, 1 : 0
    150KaljuPartizani1 : 0, 1 : 1
    152ByeBesiktas
    153LarneAuda3 : 2, 0 : 0
    154ByePrishtina
    155VarazdinBye
    156ByeSanta Clara
    157FC BallkaniBye
    158FlorianaHaverfordwest3 : 2, 2 : 1
    159St JosephsCliftonville3 : 2, 2 : 2
    160ByeShamrock Rovers
    161RosenborgBye
    162ByeBanga
    163HammarbyBye
    164ByeCharleroi
    168ByeMainz
    169AktobeBye
    170ByeSparta Prague
    171Ararat-ArmeniaBye
    172ByeU. Cluj
    173Riga FCBye
    174Racing LuxembourgDila Gori0 : 1, 1 : 2
    175SutjeskaDynamo Brest2 : 0, 1 : 2
    176ByeBeitar Jerusalem
    177HackenBye
    184ByeCFR Cluj
    185Wolfsberger ACBye
    189ArazBye
    190ByeAris
    191OmoniaBye
    192Torpedo KutaisiOrdabasy1 : 1, 4 : 3

    Quarter-finals
    1HamrunBye
    4ByeRFS
    5ShelbourneBye
    7VikingurBye
    8ZalgirisLinfield0 : 2, 0 : 0
    9BreidablikBye
    11BuducnostMilsami1 : 2, 0 : 0
    12ByeVirtus
    13DritaBye
    15TNSDifferdange0 : 1, 0 : 1
    16LevadiaIberia 19992 : 2, 1 : 0
    17O. LjubljanaInter Escaldes1 : 1, 4 : 2
    18Din. MinskEgnatia0 : 1, 0 : 2
    20ByeNoah
    21StrasbourgBye
    23VllazniaVikingur Reykjavik2 : 4, 2 : 1
    24HB TorshavnBrondby0 : 1, 1 : 1
    25SilkeborgKA Akureyri3 : 2, 1 : 1
    26Novi PazarJagiellonia1 : 3, 1 : 2
    27ZiraHajduk Split1 : 2, 1 : 1
    28Atletic EscaldesDinamo Tirana1 : 1, 1 : 2
    29Shakhtar DonetskBye
    32ByeServette
    33AnderlechtBye
    34ByeSheriff Tiraspol
    35ArisPuskas Academy2 : 0, 3 : 2
    36AEK Athens FCH. Beer Sheva0 : 0, 1 : 0
    37VikingKoper5 : 3, 7 : 0
    38Cherno MoreBasaksehir0 : 4, 0 : 1
    39FK SarajevoUniv. Craiova0 : 4, 2 : 1
    40HiberniansTrnava1 : 5, 1 : 2
    41Crystal PalaceBye
    44ByeFredrikstad
    45LuganoBye
    46ByeCelje
    47OstravaBye
    48Austria ViennaSpaeri5 : 0, 2 : 0
    49RakowZilina3 : 1, 3 : 0
    50ZhodinoMaccabi Haifa0 : 3, 1 : 1
    51Kauno ZalgirisValur2 : 1, 1 : 1
    52ArdaHJK3 : 2, 0 : 0
    53OleksandriyaPartizan0 : 4, 0 : 2
    54ByeHibernian
    56ByeLegia
    57Levski SofiaBye
    58PetrocubSabah Baku1 : 4, 0 : 2
    59IlvesAZ Alkmaar0 : 5, 4 : 3
    60VaduzDungannon3 : 0, 0 : 1
    61Polissya ZhytomyrFC Santa Coloma4 : 1, 1 : 2
    62PaksMaribor1 : 1, 1 : 0
    64ByeFiorentina
    65AIKPaide6 : 0, 2 : 0
    66Pyunik YerevanGyor1 : 3, 2 : 1
    67DecicSK Rapid2 : 4, 0 : 2
    68Dundee UtdUNA Strassen1 : 0, 1 : 0
    69Radnicki 1923Klaksvik0 : 1, 0 : 0
    70KosiceNeman1 : 1, 2 : 3
    72ByeRayo Vallecano
    73VardarLausanne0 : 5, 2 : 1
    74Zimbru ChisinauFC Astana0 : 2, 1 : 1
    75St. PatricksKalju2 : 2, 1 : 0
    76ByeBesiktas
    77LarnePrishtina2 : 1, 0 : 0
    78VarazdinSanta Clara0 : 2, 2 : 1
    79FC BallkaniFloriana1 : 1, 4 : 2
    80St JosephsShamrock Rovers0 : 0, 0 : 4
    81RosenborgBanga2 : 0, 5 : 0
    82HammarbyCharleroi2 : 1, 0 : 0
    84ByeMainz
    85AktobeSparta Prague0 : 4, 2 : 1
    86Ararat-ArmeniaU. Cluj2 : 1, 0 : 0
    87Riga FCDila Gori3 : 3, 2 : 1
    88SutjeskaBeitar Jerusalem2 : 5, 1 : 2
    89HackenBye
    92ByeCFR Cluj
    93Wolfsberger ACBye
    95ArazAris2 : 2, 2 : 1
    96OmoniaTorpedo Kutaisi4 : 0, 1 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1HamrunBye
    2ByeRFS
    3ShelbourneBye
    4VikingurLinfield0 : 2, 2 : 1
    5BreidablikBye
    6MilsamiVirtus0 : 3, 3 : 2
    7DritaBye
    8DifferdangeLevadia3 : 1, 2 : 3
    9O. LjubljanaEgnatia4 : 2, 0 : 0
    10ByeNoah
    11StrasbourgBye
    12Vikingur ReykjavikBrondby0 : 4, 3 : 0
    13SilkeborgJagiellonia2 : 2, 0 : 1
    14Hajduk SplitDinamo Tirana1 : 3, 2 : 1
    15Shakhtar DonetskBye
    16ByeServette
    17AnderlechtSheriff Tiraspol1 : 1, 3 : 0
    18ArisAEK Athens FC1 : 3, 2 : 2
    19VikingBasaksehir1 : 1, 1 : 3
    20Univ. CraiovaTrnava3 : 4, 3 : 0
    21Crystal PalaceBye
    22ByeFredrikstad
    23LuganoCelje4 : 2, 0 : 5
    24OstravaAustria Vienna1 : 1, 4 : 3
    25RakowMaccabi Haifa2 : 0, 0 : 1
    26Kauno ZalgirisArda0 : 2, 0 : 1
    27PartizanHibernian3 : 2, 0 : 2
    28ByeLegia
    29Levski SofiaSabah Baku2 : 0, 1 : 0
    30AZ AlkmaarVaduz1 : 0, 3 : 0
    31Polissya ZhytomyrPaks1 : 2, 3 : 0
    32ByeFiorentina
    33AIKGyor0 : 2, 2 : 1
    34SK RapidDundee Utd3 : 2, 2 : 2
    35KlaksvikNeman0 : 3, 2 : 0
    36ByeRayo Vallecano
    37LausanneFC Astana2 : 0, 3 : 1
    38St. PatricksBesiktas2 : 3, 1 : 4
    39LarneSanta Clara0 : 0, 0 : 3
    40FC BallkaniShamrock Rovers0 : 4, 1 : 0
    41RosenborgHammarby1 : 0, 0 : 0
    42ByeMainz
    43Sparta PragueArarat-Armenia2 : 1, 4 : 1
    44Riga FCBeitar Jerusalem1 : 3, 3 : 0
    45HackenBye
    46ByeCFR Cluj
    47Wolfsberger ACBye
    48ArazOmonia0 : 5, 0 : 4

    Final
    1HamrunRFS
    2ShelbourneLinfield
    3BreidablikVirtus
    4DritaDifferdange
    5O. LjubljanaNoah
    6StrasbourgBrondby
    7JagielloniaDinamo Tirana
    8Shakhtar DonetskServette
    9AnderlechtAEK Athens FC
    10BasaksehirUniv. Craiova
    11Crystal PalaceFredrikstad
    12CeljeOstrava
    13RakowArda
    14HibernianLegia
    15Levski SofiaAZ Alkmaar
    16Polissya ZhytomyrFiorentina
    17GyorSK Rapid
    18NemanRayo Vallecano
    19LausanneBesiktas
    20Santa ClaraShamrock Rovers
    21RosenborgMainz
    22Sparta PragueRiga FC
    23HackenCFR Cluj
    24Wolfsberger ACOmonia
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