Legia Warsaw vs Lugano: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

12/12/2024 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Stadion Wojska Polskiego (Warsaw).

EUROPE: Conference League - League phase - Round 5
Referee: Martinez J. (Esp)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.28	1.85
Ball Possession
34%	66%
Goal Attempts
12	16
Shots on Goal
2	11
Shots off Goal
6	3
Blocked Shots
4	2
Big Chances
1	2
Corner Kicks
1	2
Shots inside the Box
9	10
Shots outside the Box
3	6
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Goalkeeper Saves
9	1
Free Kicks
16	15
Offsides
1	0
Fouls
15	16
Yellow Cards
6	2
Red Cards
1	0
Throw-ins
20	13
Touches in the Opposition Box
24	19
Passes
80% (259/325)	88% (545/618)
Passes in the final third
75% (92/123)	79% (81/103)
Crosses
9% (1/11)	27% (3/11)
Tackles
50% (6/12)	79% (15/19)
Clearances Total
12	13
Interceptions
4	13

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
11', 1 - 0, Morishita R. ⚽, Gual M. (A),
23', Bislimi U. 🟨,
29', Wszolek P. 🟨,
40', 1 - 1, Bottani M. ⚽, Grgic A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
65', Mahou H. ↓, Przybylko K. ↑,
72', Celhaka J. ↓, Sergio Barcia ↑,
74', 1 - 2, Hajdari A. ⚽,
78', Bottani M. ↓, Cimignani Y. ↑,
78', Belhadj M. ↓, Doumbia O. ↑,
82', Chodyna K. ↓, Pekhart T. ↑,
84', Kapustka B. 🟨,
88', Bislimi U. ↓, Mai L. ↑,
90+1', Pankov R. 🟨,
90+2', Pankov R. 🟨,
90+2', Gual M. 🟨,
90+4', Zanotti M. 🟨,
90+4', Luquinhas 🟨,

Chances of winning

Legia Warsaw
51.8%

Draw
25%

Lugano
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.3%

29.1%

28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

27.6%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Legia Warsaw has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Legia Warsaw's performance.

Lugano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lugano might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Legia Warsaw than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Legia Warsaw that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Legia Warsaw - Lugano Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (2.1)	3.76 ↑ (3.05)	4.05 ↑ (3.1)	6.4% (12.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Legia Warsaw - Lugano?

Users Predictions: Legia Warsaw will win (34 of 38 users predict this - 89.47%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.71% – 99.23%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

Legia in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Lugano is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Lugano could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently Legia have a series of guest games.
Legia will have a mini benefit in this match.
There will not play in Legia: Augustyniak R. (Injury) Elitim J. (Knee Injury) Leszczynski J. (Knee Injury) Mustafaev R. (Knee Injury) Oyedele M. (Ankle Injury) Tobiasz K. (Arm Injury) Vinagre R. (Injury)
There will not play in Lugano: Aliseda I. (Muscle Injury)
There are questionable in Lugano: Babic B. (Injury) Ryter Y. (Injury) Saipi A. (Injury)
Recently, the teams did not play each other.

How many head-to-head matches has Legia Warsaw won against Lugano?

Legia Warsaw has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Lugano won against Legia Warsaw?

Lugano has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Legia Warsaw - Lugano were as follows:

Latest results of Legia Warsaw

08.12.2024 Zagłębie Lubin - Legia Warsaw 0:3 ✺

05.12.2024 ŁKS Łódź - Legia Warsaw 0:3 ✺

01.12.2024 Stal Mielec - Legia Warsaw 2:2 ✺

28.11.2024 Omonia - Legia Warsaw 0:3 ✺

23.11.2024 Legia Warsaw - Cracovia 3:2 ✺

Latest results of Lugano

07.12.2024 Luzern - Lugano 1:4 ✺

04.12.2024 Yverdon - Lugano 0:2 ✺

01.12.2024 Servette - Lugano 3:0 ✺

28.11.2024 Lugano - Gent 2:0 ✺

24.11.2024 Lugano - Zürich 4:1 ✺

Draw

2025/26

1/8-finals

1	Dundee Utd	Bye
2	Bye	UNA Strassen
3	Larne	Auda
5	Kosice	Bye
6	Urartu	Neman
7	Vaduz	Bye
8	Bye	Dungannon
9	Silkeborg	Bye
10	Bye	KA Akureyri
11	Rosenborg	Bye
12	Bye	Banga
13	Atletic Escaldes	Dudelange
14	Bye	Dinamo Tirana
15	Austria Vienna	Bye
16	Bye	Spaeri
17	FC Ballkani	Bye
18	Floriana	Haverfordwest
19	Viking	Bye
20	Zeljeznicar	Koper
21	AEK Athens FC	Bye
23	Tre Fiori	Pyunik Yerevan
24	Bye	Gyor
25	Riga FC	Bye
26	Racing Luxembourg	Dila Gori
27	Rakow	Bye
28	Bye	Zilina
29	Birkirkara	Petrocub
31	Ararat-Armenia	Bye
32	Bye	U. Cluj
33	Varazdin	Bye
34	Bye	Santa Clara
35	Kauno Zalgiris	Penybont
36	Valur	Flora
38	Bye	Maribor
39	Vllaznia	BFC Daugavpils
40	Malisheva	Vikingur Reykjavik
41	Hammarby	Bye
42	Bye	Charleroi
43	Radnicki 1923	Bye
44	SJK	Klaksvik
45	Novi Pazar	Bye
46	Bye	Jagiellonia
47	Polissya Zhytomyr	Bye
48	Borac Banja Luka	FC Santa Coloma
49	La Fiorita	Vardar
50	Bye	Lausanne
51	HB Torshavn	Bye
52	Bye	Brondby
53	Oleksandriya	Bye
55	Hibernians	Bye
57	St. Patricks	Hegelmann
58	Kalju	Partizani
59	AIK	Bye
60	Magpies	Paide
61	FK Sarajevo	Bye
62	Bye	Univ. Craiova
63	Aris	Bye
64	Bye	Puskas Academy
65	St Josephs	Cliftonville
66	Bye	Shamrock Rovers
68	Bye	AZ Alkmaar
69	Zira	Bye
70	Bye	Hajduk Split
71	Arda	Bye
72	NSI Runavik	HJK
74	Bye	Sparta Prague
75	Zimbru Chisinau	Bye
76	Bye	FC Astana
77	Decic	Sileks
78	Bye	SK Rapid
79	Zhodino	Rabotnicki
80	Bye	Maccabi Haifa
81	Araz	Bye
82	Bye	Aris
83	Omonia	Bye
84	Torpedo Kutaisi	Ordabasy
85	Cherno More	Bye
86	Bye	Basaksehir
87	Sutjeska	Dynamo Brest
88	Bye	Beitar Jerusalem

Quarter-finals

1	Dundee Utd	UNA Strassen
2	TBD #3	Bye
3	Kosice	TBD #6
4	Vaduz	Dungannon
5	Silkeborg	KA Akureyri
6	Rosenborg	Banga
7	TBD #13	Dinamo Tirana
8	Austria Vienna	Spaeri
9	FC Ballkani	TBD #18
10	Viking	TBD #20
11	AEK Athens FC	Bye
12	TBD #23	Gyor
13	Riga FC	TBD #26
14	Rakow	Zilina
15	TBD #29	Bye
16	Ararat-Armenia	U. Cluj
17	Varazdin	Santa Clara
18	TBD #35	TBD #36
19	Bye	Maribor
20	TBD #39	TBD #40
21	Hammarby	Charleroi
22	Radnicki 1923	TBD #44
23	Novi Pazar	Jagiellonia
24	Polissya Zhytomyr	TBD #48
25	TBD #49	Lausanne
26	HB Torshavn	Brondby
27	Oleksandriya	Bye
28	Hibernians	Bye
29	TBD #57	TBD #58
30	AIK	TBD #60
31	FK Sarajevo	Univ. Craiova
32	Aris	Puskas Academy
33	TBD #65	Shamrock Rovers
34	Bye	AZ Alkmaar
35	Zira	Hajduk Split
36	Arda	TBD #72
37	Bye	Sparta Prague
38	Zimbru Chisinau	FC Astana
39	TBD #77	SK Rapid
40	TBD #79	Maccabi Haifa
41	Araz	Aris
42	Omonia	TBD #84
43	Cherno More	Basaksehir
44	TBD #87	Beitar Jerusalem

Which TV channels are streaming of Legia Warsaw - Lugano?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Argentina	Disney+
Australia	Stan Sport
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Denmark	Disney+
Finland	Viaplay
France	Canal+ Live 13
Iceland	Viaplay
Indonesia	beIN Connect
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect
Myanmar	Canal+ Myanmar
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect
Poland	Polsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Premium 1
South-america	ViX Latin America
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 13
Sweden	Disney+
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport D1, Blue Sport D1, RSI La 2, RTS 2, RTS 2, RTS Sport Player, RTS Sport Player, SRF 2, SRF 2, SRF Play, SRF Play, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	beIN Connect
United-kingdom	Discovery+ UK
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	ON Plus
World	Disney+