Legia Warsaw vs Lechia Gdańsk: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

21/04/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Stadion Wojska Polskiego (Warsaw).

: Ekstraklasa - Round 29
Referee: Gryckiewicz P. (Pol)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.79	1.14
Ball Possession
55%	45%
Total shots
15	11
Shots on target
4	3
Big Chances
3	1
Corner Kicks
9	2
Passes
86% (326/381)	78% (257/330)
Yellow Cards
1	2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.79	1.14
xG on target (xGOT)
2.30	1.27
Total shots
15	11
Shots on target
4	3
Shots off target
7	6
Blocked Shots
4	2
Shots inside the Box
12	7
Shots outside the Box
3	4
Hit the Woodwork
2	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
3	1
Corner Kicks
9	2
Touches in opposition box
45	12
Offsides
2	0
Free Kicks
8	7
Passes
86% (326/381)	78% (257/330)
Long passes
59% (20/34)	45% (28/62)
Passes in final third
77% (120/156)	61% (40/66)
Crosses
26% (8/31)	56% (5/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.69	0.89
Fouls
7	8
Tackles
71% (12/17)	61% (17/28)
Duels won
44	51
Clearances Total
25	33
Interceptions
4	7
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	1
Goalkeeper Saves
2	2
xGOT faced
1.27	2.30
Goals prevented
0.27	0.30

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
22', Khlan M. 🟨,
30', 0 - 1, Kapic R. ⚽,
45+2', 1 - 1, Luquinhas ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', Olsson E. 🟨,
53', Shkurin I. (Pen),
56', Khlan M. ↓, Tsarenko A. ↑,
70', Luquinhas ↓, Urbanski W. ↑,
70', Shkurin I. ↓, Pekhart T. ↑,
82', Goncalves C. ↓, Szczepaniak M. ↑,
82', Chodyna K. ↓, Bichakhchyan V. ↑,
88', Oyedele M. 🟨,
90+3', Bobcek T. ↓, Neugebauer T. ↑,
90+6', 2 - 1, Ziolkowski J. ⚽, Bichakhchyan V. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning

Legia Warsaw
60.4%

Draw
21.6%

Lechia Gdańsk
18%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.2%

23.5%

16.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62%

22.8%

15.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Legia Warsaw has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Lechia Gdańsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Legia Warsaw than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lechia Gdańsk than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Legia Warsaw - Lechia Gdańsk Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.55)	4.37 ↑ (3.98)	5.25 ↓ (5.71)	6.5% (7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for Legia Warsaw - Lechia Gdańsk?

The most likely score is 2:1.

Preview Facts

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 5 and 15).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Legia won 3.
Two teams are playing changeable.
Lechia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Legia is a favorite.
There will not play in Legia: Gual M. (Muscle Injury) Kapustka B. (Knee Injury) Kobylak G. (Injury) Leszczynski J. (Knee Injury) Pankov R. (Yellow Cards) Sergio Barcia (Injury) Shkurin I. (Injury) Wszolek P. (Muscle Injury)
Last 20 head-to-head matches Legia won 12 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 30:16 (average 1.5:0.8).
Including matches at home between the teams Legia won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 15:8 (average 1.5:0.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Legia Warsaw won against Lechia Gdańsk?

Legia Warsaw has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Lechia Gdańsk won against Legia Warsaw?

Lechia Gdańsk has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Legia Warsaw - Lechia Gdańsk were as follows:

18.10.2024 Lechia Gdańsk - Legia Warsaw 0:2

06.07.2024 Legia Warsaw - Lechia Gdańsk 1:1

24.06.2023 Legia Warsaw - Lechia Gdańsk 3:1

20.05.2023 Lechia Gdańsk - Legia Warsaw 1:0

08.11.2022 Lechia Gdańsk - Legia Warsaw 2:3

Latest results of Legia Warsaw

17.04.2025 Chelsea - Legia Warsaw 1:2 ✺

13.04.2025 Legia Warsaw - Jagiellonia Białystok 0:1 ✺

10.04.2025 Legia Warsaw - Chelsea 0:3 ✺

06.04.2025 Górnik Zabrze - Legia Warsaw 1:2 ✺

02.04.2025 Ruch Chorzów - Legia Warsaw 0:5 ✺

Latest results of Lechia Gdańsk

14.04.2025 Lechia Gdańsk - Stal Mielec 3:2 ✺

04.04.2025 Widzew Łódź - Lechia Gdańsk 2:0 ✺

29.03.2025 Lechia Gdańsk - Jagiellonia Białystok 1:0 ✺

14.03.2025 Radomiak Radom - Lechia Gdańsk 2:1 ✺

09.03.2025 Lechia Gdańsk - Górnik Zabrze 1:2 ✺

Polish Ekstraklasa Table

2024/25

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Lech Poznan	33	21	4	8	67:31	36	67
2	Rakow	33	19	9	5	49:22	27	66
3	Jagiellonia	33	17	9	7	55:41	14	60
4	Pogon Szczecin	33	17	6	10	58:39	19	57
5	Legia	33	15	8	10	58:43	15	53
6	Cracovia	33	13	9	11	56:52	4	48
7	Motor Lublin	33	13	7	13	45:57	-12	46
8	Gornik Zabrze	33	13	7	13	42:38	4	46
9	GKS Katowice	33	13	7	13	46:45	1	46
10	Piast Gliwice	33	11	12	10	37:35	2	45
11	Korona Kielce	33	11	11	11	36:44	-8	44
12	Radomiak Radom	33	11	8	14	46:49	-3	41
13	Widzew Lodz	32	10	7	15	35:47	-12	37
14	Lechia Gdansk	33	10	7	16	42:56	-14	37
15	Zaglebie	33	10	6	17	32:49	-17	36
16	Stal Mielec ✔	33	7	9	17	37:54	-17	30
17	Slask Wroclaw ✔	33	6	11	16	37:52	-15	29
18	Puszcza ✔	32	6	9	17	36:60	-24	27

      Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ Division 1

Clinched Spots for Teams

Stal Mielec is Relegated to Division 1
Slask Wroclaw is Relegated to Division 1
Puszcza is Relegated to Division 1

Which TV channels are streaming of Legia Warsaw - Lechia Gdańsk?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Croatia	Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
Finland	Veikkaus TV
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV, sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport 4
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV
World	Onefootball