Leganés vs Valladolid: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Spanish LaLiga Leganés - Valladolid
Result
3:0
24/05/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : LaLiga - Round 38
  • Referee: Soto Grado C. (Esp)
Leganés - Valladolid - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.150.37
Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
166
Shots on target
62
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
34
Passes
88% (406/462)82% (319/388)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
2.150.37
xG on target (xGOT)
2.900.62
Total shots
166
Shots on target
62
Shots off target
73
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
82
Shots outside the Box
84
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
34
Touches in opposition box
306
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1611
Passes
88% (406/462)82% (319/388)
Long passes
43% (17/40)40% (19/47)
Passes in final third
80% (113/141)55% (36/65)
Crosses
23% (3/13)9% (1/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.680.62
Throw-ins
1616
Fouls
1116
Tackles
79% (11/14)65% (13/20)
Duels won
4651
Clearances
1424
Interceptions
57
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
0.622.90
Goals prevented
0.62-0.10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 13', Candela A. 🟨,
  • 24', 1 - 0, Hernandez J. , Diomande Y. (A),
  • 36', 2 - 0, Diomande Y. , Cisse S. (A),
  • 40', 3 - 0, Cruz J. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Anuar , Maroto M. ,
  • 46', Candela A. , Perez L. ,
  • 46', Aidoo J. , Ozkacar C. ,
  • 63', Munir El Haddadi , Duk ,
  • 63', Diomande Y. , Garcia D. ,
  • 73', Latasa J. , Ndiaye A. ,
  • 73', Sylla M. , Arnuncio A. ,
  • 74', Cisse S. , Brasanac D. ,
  • 75', Raba D. , de la Fuente M. ,
  • 83', Tapia R. , Chicco J. ,

Chances of winning


Leganés
70.2%
Draw
18.7%
Valladolid
11.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
72.2% 17.8% 10%

Our Initial ML Estimation

75.7% 17% 9.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Leganés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • Valladolid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leganés than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Leganés, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valladolid than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
  • Leganés - Valladolid Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.37
    (1.35)
    5.13
    (5.44)
    8.73
    (9.7)
    3.7%
    (3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Leganés - Valladolid?
  • Users Predictions: 40 users predict this event. Leganés will win (votes: 37 - 92.5%). Valladolid will win (votes: 2 - 5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 2.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Leganés: 84.3%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Leganés will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2).
    • Valladolid is Relegated to LaLiga2
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leganés won 2.
    • Leganés has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Valladolid is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, Leganés is the obvious favorite.
    • There will not play in Leganés: Barisic B. (Knee Injury) Franquesa E. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Valladolid: Amallah S. (Injury) Aznou A. (Injury) Chuki (Muscle Injury) Sanchez J. (Muscle Injury) Torres D. (Groin Injury)
    • There are questionable in Leganés: Brasanac D. (Injury) Munir El Haddadi (Muscle Injury) Nastasic M. (Muscle Injury) Neyou Y. (Foot Injury) Rosier V. (Injury)
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Leganés won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 25:17. (average 1.4:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Leganés won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:6. (average 1.7:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Leganés - Valladolid were as follows:
    10.10.2024 Leganés - Valladolid 3:1
    28.08.2024 Valladolid - Leganés 0:0
    03.02.2024 Leganés - Valladolid 0:0
    17.11.2023 Valladolid - Leganés 1:1
    22.07.2023 Leganés - Valladolid 4:1
    Latest results of Leganés
    18.05.2025 Las Palmas - Leganés 0:1
    14.05.2025 Villarreal - Leganés 3:0
    11.05.2025 Leganés - Espanyol 3:2
    04.05.2025 Sevilla - Leganés 2:2
    24.04.2025 Leganés - Girona 1:1
    Latest results of Valladolid
    13.05.2025 Valladolid - Girona 0:1
    10.05.2025 Mallorca - Valladolid 2:1
    03.05.2025 Valladolid - Barcelona 1:2
    24.04.2025 Betis - Valladolid 5:1
    Spanish LaLiga Table
    2024/25
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Barcelona382846102:396388
    2Real Madrid38266678:384084
    3Atl. Madrid382210668:303876
    4Ath Bilbao381913654:292570
    5Villarreal382010871:512070
    6Betis3816121057:50760
    7Celta Vigo381671559:57255
    8Rayo Vallecano3813131241:45-452
    9Osasuna3812161048:52-452
    10Mallorca381391635:44-948
    11Real Sociedad381371835:46-1146
    12Valencia3811131444:54-1046
    13Getafe381191834:39-542
    14Espanyol381191840:51-1142
    15Alaves3810121638:48-1042
    16Girona381181944:60-1641
    17Sevilla3810111742:55-1341
    18Leganes389131639:56-1740
    19Las Palmas38882240:61-2132
    20Valladolid38443026:90-6416

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ LaLiga2

    Which TV channels are streaming of Leganés - Valladolid?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    africaAfricaDStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Life, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Variety 1, ZAP
    albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 2
    angolaAngolaZ Sport 2
    argentinaArgentinaDirecTV Sports, DSPORTS+ Plus
    armeniaArmeniaFast Sports 2, Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 2
    asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3
    australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
    austriaAustriaDAZN
    azerbaijanAzerbaijanSetanta Sports 2
    belarusBelarusOkko Sport
    belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1
    brazilBrazilDisney+
    canadaCanadaTSN+
    chileChileDirecTV Sports
    chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
    croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go
    czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 5
    denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
    ecuadorEcuadorDirecTV Sports
    europeEuropeSetanta Sports 2 Baltic
    finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Max
    franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free
    georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 2
    germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Deutsch
    greeceGreeceNova Sports Start
    hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 3
    indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
    indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, RCTI+, Vidio
    iranIranIRIB Varzesh
    israelIsraelONE Sport
    italyItalyDAZN Italia
    japanJapanDAZN Japan, U-NEXT
    kazakhstanKazakhstanSetanta Sports 2
    kenyaKenyaGotv
    kyrgyzstanKyrgyzstanSetanta Sports 2
    laosLaosbeIN Connect
    malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
    maldivesMaldivesICE Plus, Medianet
    maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 6
    mexicoMexicoSky Sport
    moldovaMoldovaSetanta Sports 2
    new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
    nigeriaNigeriaSupersport Maximo 2
    north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte, SportsMax 2 Caribbean, SportsMax App Caribbean
    norwayNorwayTV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium
    peruPeruDirecTV Sports
    philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
    polandPolandEleven Sports 3
    portugalPortugalDAZN 2
    romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 5
    russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
    serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 9
    singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 3
    slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
    south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Action
    south-americaSouth-americaDGO Latin America, ViX Latin America
    south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
    spainSpainLaLiga TV Bar 2, LaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga TV
    swedenSwedenTV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 2
    switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 5, Blue Sport 5
    taiwanTaiwanDAZN
    tajikistanTajikistanSetanta Sports 2
    tanzaniaTanzaniaZBC 2 Tanzania
    thailandThailandAIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
    turkeyTurkeyS Sport+
    turkmenistanTurkmenistanSetanta Sports 2
    ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Sport
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLaLiga TV, Premier Sports Player
    uruguayUruguayDirecTV Sports
    usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
    uzbekistanUzbekistanSetanta Sports 2
    venezuelaVenezuelaDirecTV Sports, Inter
    vietnamVietnamSCTV 22, SCTV Online
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