Leganés vs Valladolid: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

24/05/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Municipal de Butarque (Leganes).

: LaLiga - Round 38
Referee: Soto Grado C. (Esp)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.15	0.37
Ball Possession
55%	45%
Total shots
16	6
Shots on target
6	2
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
3	4
Passes
88% (406/462)	82% (319/388)
Yellow Cards
0	1
Expected Goals (xG)
2.15	0.37
xG on target (xGOT)
2.90	0.62
Total shots
16	6
Shots on target
6	2
Shots off target
7	3
Blocked Shots
3	1
Shots inside the Box
8	2
Shots outside the Box
8	4
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
3	4
Touches in opposition box
30	6
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	0
Free Kicks
16	11
Passes
88% (406/462)	82% (319/388)
Long passes
43% (17/40)	40% (19/47)
Passes in final third
80% (113/141)	55% (36/65)
Crosses
23% (3/13)	9% (1/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.68	0.62
Throw-ins
16	16
Fouls
11	16
Tackles
79% (11/14)	65% (13/20)
Duels won
46	51
Clearances
14	24
Interceptions
5	7
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	1
Goalkeeper Saves
2	3
xGOT faced
0.62	2.90
Goals prevented
0.62	-0.10

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (3 - 0)
13', Candela A. 🟨,
24', 1 - 0, Hernandez J. ⚽, Diomande Y. (A),
36', 2 - 0, Diomande Y. ⚽, Cisse S. (A),
40', 3 - 0, Cruz J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Anuar ↓, Maroto M. ↑,
46', Candela A. ↓, Perez L. ↑,
46', Aidoo J. ↓, Ozkacar C. ↑,
63', Munir El Haddadi ↓, Duk ↑,
63', Diomande Y. ↓, Garcia D. ↑,
73', Latasa J. ↓, Ndiaye A. ↑,
73', Sylla M. ↓, Arnuncio A. ↑,
74', Cisse S. ↓, Brasanac D. ↑,
75', Raba D. ↓, de la Fuente M. ↑,
83', Tapia R. ↓, Chicco J. ↑,

Chances of winning

Leganés
70.2%

Draw
18.7%

Valladolid
11.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72.2%

17.8%

10%

Our Initial ML Estimation

75.7%

17%

9.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leganés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Valladolid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leganés than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Leganés, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valladolid than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Leganés - Valladolid Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↑ (1.35)	5.13 ↓ (5.44)	8.73 ↓ (9.7)	3.7% (3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Leganés - Valladolid?

Users Predictions: 40 users predict this event. Leganés will win (votes: 37 - 92.5%). Valladolid will win (votes: 2 - 5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 2.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Leganés: 84.3% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Leganés will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.

Preview Facts

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2).
Valladolid is Relegated to LaLiga2
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leganés won 2.
Leganés has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Valladolid is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
In this match, Leganés is the obvious favorite.
There will not play in Leganés: Barisic B. (Knee Injury) Franquesa E. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Valladolid: Amallah S. (Injury) Aznou A. (Injury) Chuki (Muscle Injury) Sanchez J. (Muscle Injury) Torres D. (Groin Injury)
There are questionable in Leganés: Brasanac D. (Injury) Munir El Haddadi (Muscle Injury) Nastasic M. (Muscle Injury) Neyou Y. (Foot Injury) Rosier V. (Injury)
In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Leganés won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 25:17. (average 1.4:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Leganés won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:6. (average 1.7:0.7).

How many head-to-head matches has Leganés won against Valladolid?

Leganés has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Valladolid won against Leganés?

Valladolid has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Leganés - Valladolid were as follows:

10.10.2024 Leganés - Valladolid 3:1

28.08.2024 Valladolid - Leganés 0:0

03.02.2024 Leganés - Valladolid 0:0

17.11.2023 Valladolid - Leganés 1:1

22.07.2023 Leganés - Valladolid 4:1

Latest results of Leganés

18.05.2025 Las Palmas - Leganés 0:1 ✺

14.05.2025 Villarreal - Leganés 3:0 ✺

11.05.2025 Leganés - Espanyol 3:2 ✺

04.05.2025 Sevilla - Leganés 2:2 ✺

24.04.2025 Leganés - Girona 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Valladolid

18.05.2025 Valladolid - Deportivo Alavés 0:1 ✺

13.05.2025 Valladolid - Girona 0:1 ✺

10.05.2025 Mallorca - Valladolid 2:1 ✺

03.05.2025 Valladolid - Barcelona 1:2 ✺

24.04.2025 Betis - Valladolid 5:1 ✺

Spanish LaLiga Table

2024/25

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Barcelona	38	28	4	6	102:39	63	88
2	Real Madrid	38	26	6	6	78:38	40	84
3	Atl. Madrid	38	22	10	6	68:30	38	76
4	Ath Bilbao	38	19	13	6	54:29	25	70
5	Villarreal	38	20	10	8	71:51	20	70
6	Betis	38	16	12	10	57:50	7	60
7	Celta Vigo	38	16	7	15	59:57	2	55
8	Rayo Vallecano	38	13	13	12	41:45	-4	52
9	Osasuna	38	12	16	10	48:52	-4	52
10	Mallorca	38	13	9	16	35:44	-9	48
11	Real Sociedad	38	13	7	18	35:46	-11	46
12	Valencia	38	11	13	14	44:54	-10	46
13	Getafe	38	11	9	18	34:39	-5	42
14	Espanyol	38	11	9	18	40:51	-11	42
15	Alaves	38	10	12	16	38:48	-10	42
16	Girona	38	11	8	19	44:60	-16	41
17	Sevilla	38	10	11	17	42:55	-13	41
18	Leganes	38	9	13	16	39:56	-17	40
19	Las Palmas	38	8	8	22	40:61	-21	32
20	Valladolid	38	4	4	30	26:90	-64	16

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ LaLiga2

Which TV channels are streaming of Leganés - Valladolid?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Life, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Variety 1, ZAP
Albania	SuperSport 2
Angola	Z Sport 2
Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSPORTS+ Plus
Armenia	Fast Sports 2, Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 2
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3
Australia	beIN Connect
Austria	DAZN
Azerbaijan	Setanta Sports 2
Belarus	Okko Sport
Belgium	DAZN 1
Brazil	Disney+
Canada	TSN+
Chile	DirecTV Sports
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	Arena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 5
Denmark	TV2 Play
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports
Europe	Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Max
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports Start
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 3
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, RCTI+, Vidio
Iran	IRIB Varzesh
Israel	ONE Sport
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports 2
Kenya	Gotv
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 2
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Maldives	ICE Plus, Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 6
Mexico	Sky Sport
Moldova	Setanta Sports 2
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	Supersport Maximo 2
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte, SportsMax 2 Caribbean, SportsMax App Caribbean
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium
Peru	DirecTV Sports
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Poland	Eleven Sports 3
Portugal	DAZN 2
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 5
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Sport 9
Singapore	beIN Sports 3
Slovakia	Voyo
South-africa	SuperSport Action
South-america	DGO Latin America, ViX Latin America
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	LaLiga TV Bar 2, LaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga TV
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 2
Switzerland	Blue Sport 5, Blue Sport 5
Taiwan	DAZN
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 2
Tanzania	ZBC 2 Tanzania
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	S Sport+
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 2
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Sport
United-kingdom	LaLiga TV, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 2
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, Inter
Vietnam	SCTV 22, SCTV Online