Leek Town vs Ilkeston: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English NPL Premier Division Leek Town - Ilkeston
Result
1:2
20/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : NPL Premier Division - Round 11
Leek Town - Ilkeston - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 7', 0 - 1, Kirby-Moore H. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', 1 - 1, Weir L. ,
  • 59', 1 - 2, Walker J. ,

Chances of winning


Leek Town
25.7%
Draw
28.3%
Ilkeston
46%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.5% 27.8% 34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3% 26.5% 33.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Leek Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Leek Town's form might have worsened.
  • Ilkeston has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ilkeston's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leek Town than the current prediction. (+13.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Leek Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilkeston than the current prediction. (-12.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ilkeston, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Leek Town - Ilkeston Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.87
    (2.4)
    3.52
    (3.24)
    2.16
    (2.59)
    0.5%
    (11.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 10 and 17).
    • In recent matches, Leek has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Ilkeston's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Leek won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Leek won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Leek Town - Ilkeston were as follows:
    04.01.2025 Ilkeston - Leek Town 0:2
    21.09.2024 Leek Town - Ilkeston 1:3
    Latest results of Leek Town
    09.09.2025 Hyde United - Leek Town 1:2
    06.09.2025 Leek Town - Guiseley 4:0
    Latest results of Ilkeston
    13.09.2025 Lancaster City - Ilkeston 3:1
    09.09.2025 Hednesford Town - Ilkeston 2:1
    06.09.2025 Ilkeston - Whitby Town 0:1
    25.08.2025 Ilkeston - Hyde United 3:0
    English NPL Premier Division Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lancaster1071217:9822
    2Hednesford1062214:9520
    3Stockton1054120:101019
    4Gainsborough1061311:9219
    5FC United852112:4817
    6Warrington Rylands1045115:11417
    7Cleethorpes1042415:10514
    8Hebburn Town942314:15-114
    9Ashton Utd934211:8313
    10Rushall934211:9213
    11Guiseley1041513:14-113
    12Leek1141614:18-413
    13Bamber Bridge833212:9312
    14Prescot1026210:10012
    15Ilkeston1140711:15-412
    16Whitby932411:13-211
    17Hyde1032517:21-411
    18Warrington81344:12-86
    19Workington101366:18-126
    20Morpeth91265:12-75
    21Stocksbridge90457:14-74

          Promotion ~ National League North
          Promotion ~ NPL Premier Division (Play Offs: )
          Relegation

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