Middlesbrough vs Leeds United: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer English League Championship Middlesbrough - Leeds United
Result
0:1
08/04/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Championship - Round 41
  • Referee: Kitchen A. (Eng)
Middlesbrough - Leeds United - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.191.01
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
175
Shots on target
23
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
44
Passes
86% (480/557)84% (417/496)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
1.191.01
xG on target (xGOT)
0.301.28
Total shots
175
Shots on target
23
Shots off target
92
Blocked Shots
60
Shots inside the Box
94
Shots outside the Box
81
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
44
Touches in opposition box
2423
Through passes
0% (0/1)0% (0/2)
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
1111
Passes
86% (480/557)84% (417/496)
Long passes
46% (19/41)45% (23/51)
Passes in final third
73% (122/168)63% (61/97)
Crosses
13% (2/15)29% (2/7)
Expected assists (xA)
0.920.88
Fouls
1111
Tackles
43% (6/14)69% (11/16)
Duels won
4239
Clearances Total
1529
Interceptions
99
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
1.280.30
Goals prevented
0.280.30

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 2', 0 - 1, James D. , Solomon M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 66', Iheanacho K. , Whittaker M. ,
  • 68', Solomon M. , Gnonto W. ,
  • 68', Firpo J. , Byram S. ,
  • 73', Piroe J. , Bamford P. ,
  • 73', James D. , Schmidt I. ,
  • 74', Morris A. 🟨,
  • 75', Byram S. 🟨,
  • 80', Burgzorg D. , Forss M. ,
  • 90+1', Aaronson B. , Guilavogui J. ,
  • 90+1', Morris A. , Fry D. ,

Chances of winning


Middlesbrough 22%Draw 24.2%Leeds United 53.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
Middlesbrough 20.4%Draw 24.1%Leeds United 55.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

Middlesbrough 19%Draw 25.9%Leeds United 59.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Middlesbrough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • Leeds United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Middlesbrough than the current prediction. (-3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leeds United than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Leeds United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Middlesbrough - Leeds United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.34
    (4.63)
    3.92
    (3.93)
    1.77
    (1.7)
    5%
    (5.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Middlesbrough - Leeds United?
    The most likely score is 1:2. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Middlesbrough won 1.
    • Middlesbrough is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recent matches Leeds is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Leeds could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Leeds is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Middlesbrough: Bangura A. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Dieng S. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Doak B. (Thigh Injury) Edmundson G. (Ankle Injury) Fry D. (Calf Injury) Lenihan D. (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Middlesbrough: Neto Borges (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Leeds: Struijk P. (Injury)
    • Last 19 head-to-head matches Middlesbrough won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 20:26 (average 1.1:1.4).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Middlesbrough won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 11:9 (average 1.2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Middlesbrough - Leeds United were as follows:
    10.12.2024 Leeds United - Middlesbrough 3:1
    14.08.2024 Leeds United - Middlesbrough 0:3
    22.04.2024 Middlesbrough - Leeds United 3:4
    02.12.2023 Leeds United - Middlesbrough 3:2
    Latest results of Middlesbrough
    Latest results of Leeds United
    English League Championship Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Leeds ✔ 462913495:3065100
    2Burnley ✔ 462816269:1653100
    3Sheffield Utd ✔ 462881063:362790
    4Sunderland ✔ 4621131258:441476
    5Coventry462091764:58669
    6Bristol City4617171259:55468
    7Blackburn461991853:48566
    8Millwall4618121647:49-266
    9West Brom4615191257:471064
    10Middlesbrough4618101864:56864
    11Swansea4617101951:56-561
    12Sheffield Wed4615131860:69-958
    13Norwich4614151771:68357
    14Watford461692153:61-857
    15QPR4614141853:63-1056
    16Portsmouth4614122058:71-1354
    17Oxford Utd4613141949:65-1653
    18Stoke4612151945:62-1751
    19Derby4613112248:56-850
    20Preston4610201648:59-1150
    21Hull4612132144:54-1049
    22Luton4613102345:69-2449
    23Plymouth4611132251:88-3746
    24Cardiff ✔ 469172048:73-2544

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Leeds is Qualified for Premier League
    Burnley is Qualified for Premier League
    Sheffield Utd is Qualified for Championship (Play Offs Semi~finals)
    Sunderland is Qualified for Championship (Play Offs Semi~finals)
    Cardiff is Relegated to League One
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