Lechia Gdańsk vs Lech Poznań: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Polish Ekstraklasa Lechia Gdańsk - Lech Poznań
Result
3:4
26/07/2025 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Ekstraklasa - Round 2
  • Referee: Frankowski B. (Pol)
Lechia Gdańsk - Lech Poznań - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.422.43
Ball Possession
40%60%
Total shots
1621
Shots on target
711
Big Chances
34
Corner Kicks
910
Passes
76% (212/278)83% (356/427)
Yellow Cards
33
Expected Goals (xG)
1.422.43
xG on target (xGOT)
2.432.93
Total shots
1621
Shots on target
711
Shots off target
35
Blocked Shots
65
Shots inside the Box
1217
Shots outside the Box
44
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
34
Corner Kicks
910
Touches in opposition box
2532
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
1113
Passes
76% (212/278)83% (356/427)
Long passes
46% (22/48)63% (37/59)
Passes in final third
69% (66/96)76% (91/119)
Crosses
32% (7/22)35% (7/20)
Expected assists (xA)
1.501.36
Throw-ins
1523
Fouls
1311
Tackles
83% (15/18)57% (8/14)
Duels won
4548
Clearances
2831
Interceptions
63
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
74
xGOT faced
2.932.43
Goals prevented
-1.07-0.57

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 12', Zhelizko I. 🟨,
  • 13', Ishak M. (Pen),
  • 22', 1 - 0, Bobcek T. ,
  • 25', Ouma T. 🟨,
  • 30', 2 - 0, Bobcek T. , Sezonienko K. (A),
  • 31', Ouma T. , Thordarson G. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 4)
  • 46', Gurgul M. , Moutinho J. ,
  • 48', 2 - 1, Thordarson G. ,
  • 53', Mena C. 🟨,
  • 55', 2 - 2, Weirauch S. (Own goal),
  • 57', Sezonienko K. , Neugebauer T. ,
  • 57', Szymczak F. 🟨,
  • 64', 2 - 3, Skrzypczak M. , Jagiello F. (A),
  • 67', Bengtsson L. , Palma L. ,
  • 68', Szymczak F. , Gholizadeh A. ,
  • 70', 2 - 4, Ishak M. , Pereira J. (A),
  • 73', Pllana B. , Awad M. ,
  • 73', Viunnyk B. , Kurminowski D. ,
  • 79', Dyachuk M. 🟨,
  • 86', Ishak M. , Fiabema B. ,
  • 87', 3 - 4, Bobcek T. , Zhelizko I. (A),
  • 90+4', Palma L. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Lechia Gdańsk
28.5%
Draw
26%
Lech Poznań
45.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
24.8% 25% 50.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lechia Gdańsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
  • Lech Poznań has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
  • Lechia Gdańsk - Lech Poznań Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.31
    (3.73)
    3.62
    (3.7)
    2.06
    (1.84)
    6.3%
    (8.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Lechia Gdańsk - Lech Poznań?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Lechia will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). Lech will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Lech: 35%88%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Lechia (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Lech (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lechia won 2.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Lech may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Lech has had a series of home games.
    • Lech might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Lech: Hakans D. (Ankle Injury) Murawski R. (Leg Injury) Walemark P. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Lech: Baranski B. (Muscle Injury) Sousa A. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lechia won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 16:33. (average 0.8:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Lechia won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 1.1:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lechia Gdańsk - Lech Poznań were as follows:
    09.02.2025 Lechia Gdańsk - Lech Poznań 1:0
    03.08.2024 Lech Poznań - Lechia Gdańsk 3:1
    03.03.2023 Lech Poznań - Lechia Gdańsk 5:0
    31.08.2022 Lechia Gdańsk - Lech Poznań 0:3
    Latest results of Lechia Gdańsk
    Latest results of Lech Poznań
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Wisla Plock33006:159
    2Cracovia22006:156
    3Gornik Zabrze22003:126
    4Radomiak Radom21106:244
    5Termalica B-B31115:324
    6Pogon Szczecin31116:7-14
    7Legia11002:023
    8Widzew Lodz21013:303
    9Rakow21012:203
    10Lech Poznan21015:7-23
    11Motor Lublin21012:4-23
    12Jagiellonia21013:6-33
    13Zaglebie30213:4-12
    14GKS Katowice20112:3-11
    15Arka Gdynia20111:2-11
    16Korona Kielce30121:5-41
    17Piast Gliwice20020:3-30
    18Lechia Gdansk20024:6-2-5

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Division 1

    Which TV channels are streaming of Lechia Gdańsk - Lech Poznań?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
    canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol
    croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
    finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
    polandPolandCANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Poland, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
    serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 9
    sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 2
    ukraineUkraineSport 1, Sport 3
    usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Tubi TV
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