Lechia Gdańsk vs Korona Kielce: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Polish Ekstraklasa Lechia Gdańsk - Korona Kielce
Result
3:2
11/05/2025 at 06:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Ekstraklasa - Round 32
  • Referee: Kuzma L. (Pol)
Lechia Gdańsk - Korona Kielce - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
Advertisement
Watch and bet Lechia Gdańsk - Korona Kielce live
  1. Sign in or Register (it's free) to watch and bet Live Stream*
  2. To place a bet while streaming, go to Live In-Play
  3. Prior to joining Bet365.com and funding your account in order to view this event, or any other particular event via Bet365.com live stream, you are strongly advised to check with Bet365.com if, depending on your place of residence, it is possible to view this live stream.

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.961.06
Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
1211
Shots on target
75
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
42
Passes
76% (235/309)79% (298/379)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
2.961.06
xG on target (xGOT)
3.211.09
Total shots
1211
Shots on target
75
Shots off target
33
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
97
Shots outside the Box
34
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
42
Touches in opposition box
2520
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1211
Passes
76% (235/309)79% (298/379)
Long passes
38% (18/47)48% (30/62)
Passes in final third
65% (79/122)67% (62/93)
Crosses
27% (3/11)25% (2/8)
Expected assists (xA)
1.560.93
Throw-ins
2021
Fouls
1112
Tackles
69% (9/13)74% (23/31)
Duels won
5358
Clearances
2322
Interceptions
910
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
1.093.21
Goals prevented
-0.910.21

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 18', 1 - 0, Viunnyk B. (Pen),
  • 41', Khlan M. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Matuszewski K. , Ciszek K. ,
  • 45+4', 2 - 0, Pllana B. , Kapic R. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Kaminski W. , Strzeboński M. ,
  • 50', 2 - 1, Dlugosz W. ,
  • 58', Viunnyk B. 🟨,
  • 60', 2 - 2, Dlugosz W. , Blanik D. (A),
  • 61', Glogowski M. , Sezonienko K. ,
  • 68', Nono 🟨,
  • 75', Fornalczyk M. , Zwozny H. ,
  • 75', Shikavka Y. , Bak D. ,
  • 77', Viunnyk B. , Tsarenko A. ,
  • 84', Dlugosz W. , Godinho M. ,
  • 89', Khlan M. , Neugebauer T. ,
  • 90', 3 - 2, Sezonienko K. , Mena C. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Lechia Gdańsk
46.5%
Draw
27.6%
Korona Kielce
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.3% 27% 28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7% 26.8% 28.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lechia Gdańsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • Korona Kielce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lechia Gdańsk than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Korona Kielce than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
  • Lechia Gdańsk - Korona Kielce Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.03
    (2.1)
    3.41
    (3.45)
    3.61
    (3.25)
    6.3%
    (7.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Lechia Gdańsk - Korona Kielce?
  • Users Predictions: Lechia Gdańsk will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 67.38%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Lechia Gdańsk will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 8).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lechia won 2.
    • In recent matches, Lechia has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Korona is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Lechia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Lechia is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Lechia: Bobcek T. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Korona: Dalmau A. (Injury) Hofmayster Y. (Injury) Nagamatsu S. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Lechia: Sarnavskyi B. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • There are questionable in Korona: Sotiriou K. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lechia won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 20:27. (average 1:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Lechia won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:14. (average 1.3:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lechia Gdańsk - Korona Kielce were as follows:
    09.11.2024 Korona Kielce - Lechia Gdańsk 0:0
    18.02.2023 Korona Kielce - Lechia Gdańsk 1:0
    Latest results of Lechia Gdańsk
    Latest results of Korona Kielce
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arka Gdynia00000:000
    2Jagiellonia00000:000
    3Gornik Zabrze00000:000
    4Korona Kielce00000:000
    5Piast Gliwice00000:000
    6GKS Katowice00000:000
    7Motor Lublin00000:000
    8Wisla Plock00000:000
    9Pogon Szczecin00000:000
    10Legia00000:000
    11Lech Poznan00000:000
    12Zaglebie00000:000
    13Cracovia00000:000
    14Widzew Lodz00000:000
    15Radomiak Radom00000:000
    16Termalica B-B00000:000
    17Rakow00000:000
    18Lechia Gdansk00000:00-5

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Division 1

    Which TV channels are streaming of Lechia Gdańsk - Korona Kielce?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 6
    croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
    finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
    polandPolandCANAL+ 360, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
    ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV
    worldWorldOnefootball
    X
    bet365
    advertisement
    LiveStream.Fan