Result
3:0
27/09/2025 at 08:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Ekstraklasa - Round 10
- Referee: Arys K. (Pol)
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Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.55 | 1.02 |
Ball Possession |
---|
44% | 56% |
Total shots |
---|
17 | 10 |
Shots on target |
---|
7 | 3 |
Big Chances |
---|
4 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 5 |
Passes |
---|
74% (228/308) | 79% (310/393) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 1 |
Red Cards |
---|
0 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.55 | 1.02 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
2.61 | 0.72 |
Total shots |
---|
17 | 10 |
Shots on target |
---|
7 | 3 |
Shots off target |
---|
3 | 7 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
7 | 0 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
14 | 6 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
3 | 4 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 2 |
Headed Goals |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
4 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 5 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
26 | 14 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
13 | 12 |
Passes |
---|
74% (228/308) | 79% (310/393) |
Long passes |
---|
29% (14/48) | 44% (18/41) |
Passes in final third |
---|
64% (51/80) | 64% (77/121) |
Crosses |
---|
33% (5/15) | 21% (4/19) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.73 | 1.70 |
Throw-ins |
---|
18 | 23 |
Fouls |
---|
12 | 13 |
Tackles |
---|
50% (7/14) | 67% (12/18) |
Duels won |
---|
45 | 40 |
Clearances |
---|
33 | 30 |
Interceptions |
---|
9 | 7 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 4 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.72 | 2.61 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.72 | -0.39 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 16', 1 - 0, Dlugosz W. ⚽, Pieczek M. (A),
- 44', Mena C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Viunnyk B. ↓, Cirkovic A. ↑,
- 51', 2 - 0, Dlugosz W. ⚽, Blanik D. (A),
- 64', Bobcek T. ↓, Awad M. ↑,
- 72', Resta P. 🟨,
- 76', Blanik D. ↓, Matuszewski K. ↑,
- 76', Pieczek M. ↓, Nono ↑,
- 77', Nono 🟨,
- 79', Kalahur M. 🟥,
- 81', Kurminowski D. ↓, Olsson E. ↑,
- 86', Dlugosz W. ↓, Davidovic S. ↑,
- 87', 3 - 0, Remacle M. ⚽,
- 90', Neugebauer T. ↓, Szczepankiewicz B. ↑,
- 90', Mena C. ↓, Sezonienko K. ↑,
Chances of winning
Korona Kielce 53.8% | Draw 25.7% | Lechia Gdańsk 20.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Korona Kielce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)Lechia Gdańsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Korona Kielce than the current prediction. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lechia Gdańsk than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
Korona Kielce - Lechia Gdańsk Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.8 ↑ (1.79) |
3.89 ↓ (3.95) |
5.07 ↑ (4.01) |
0.9% (6.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Korona Kielce - Lechia Gdańsk?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Korona will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Lechia will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Korona: 40% – 93.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Korona (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Korona won 2.
- Korona has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Lechia is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Korona may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Korona is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Lechia: Pllana B.
(Inactive)
Sarnavskyi B.
(Knee Injury)
Tsarenko A.
(Groin Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Korona won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 29:22. (average 1.5:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Korona won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:6. (average 1.4:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Korona Kielce won against Lechia Gdańsk?
Korona Kielce has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lechia Gdańsk won against Korona Kielce?
Lechia Gdańsk has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Korona Kielce - Lechia Gdańsk were as follows:
11.05.2025
Lechia Gdańsk
-
Korona Kielce
3:2
09.11.2024
Korona Kielce
-
Lechia Gdańsk
0:0
18.02.2023
Korona Kielce
-
Lechia Gdańsk
1:0
Latest results of Korona Kielce
Latest results of Lechia Gdańsk
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Gornik Zabrze | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 18:9 | 9 | 22 |
2 | Jagiellonia | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 19:13 | 6 | 21 |
3 | Cracovia | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18:12 | 6 | 18 |
4 | Korona Kielce | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15:10 | 5 | 18 |
5 | Wisla Plock | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 12:7 | 5 | 18 |
6 | Lech Poznan | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18:16 | 2 | 18 |
7 | Legia | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 13:9 | 4 | 15 |
8 | Radomiak Radom | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 20:19 | 1 | 15 |
9 | Rakow | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 12:13 | -1 | 14 |
10 | Zaglebie | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 21:16 | 5 | 13 |
11 | Widzew Lodz | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 17:15 | 2 | 13 |
12 | Pogon Szczecin | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 16:20 | -4 | 13 |
13 | Arka Gdynia | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 7:15 | -8 | 12 |
14 | Motor Lublin | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 11:16 | -5 | 11 |
15 | Termalica B-B | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 15:21 | -6 | 9 |
16 | GKS Katowice | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 11:22 | -11 | 8 |
17 | Piast Gliwice | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 7 |
18 | Lechia Gdansk | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 19:26 | -7 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
Which TV channels are streaming of Korona Kielce - Lechia Gdańsk?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
---|
Canada | beIN Connect |
Croatia | Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go |
Poland | CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV |
Ukraine | Sport 1, Sport 3 |
Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
World | Sport 1 Baltic |