Korona Kielce vs Lechia Gdańsk: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Polish Ekstraklasa Korona Kielce - Lechia Gdańsk
Result
3:0
27/09/2025 at 08:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Ekstraklasa - Round 10
  • Referee: Arys K. (Pol)
Korona Kielce - Lechia Gdańsk - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.551.02
Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
1710
Shots on target
73
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
65
Passes
74% (228/308)79% (310/393)
Yellow Cards
21
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.551.02
xG on target (xGOT)
2.610.72
Total shots
1710
Shots on target
73
Shots off target
37
Blocked Shots
70
Shots inside the Box
146
Shots outside the Box
34
Hit the Woodwork
02
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
65
Touches in opposition box
2614
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1312
Passes
74% (228/308)79% (310/393)
Long passes
29% (14/48)44% (18/41)
Passes in final third
64% (51/80)64% (77/121)
Crosses
33% (5/15)21% (4/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.731.70
Throw-ins
1823
Fouls
1213
Tackles
50% (7/14)67% (12/18)
Duels won
4540
Clearances
3330
Interceptions
97
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
0.722.61
Goals prevented
0.72-0.39

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 16', 1 - 0, Dlugosz W. , Pieczek M. (A),
  • 44', Mena C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Viunnyk B. , Cirkovic A. ,
  • 51', 2 - 0, Dlugosz W. , Blanik D. (A),
  • 64', Bobcek T. , Awad M. ,
  • 72', Resta P. 🟨,
  • 76', Blanik D. , Matuszewski K. ,
  • 76', Pieczek M. , Nono ,
  • 77', Nono 🟨,
  • 79', Kalahur M. 🟥,
  • 81', Kurminowski D. , Olsson E. ,
  • 86', Dlugosz W. , Davidovic S. ,
  • 87', 3 - 0, Remacle M. ,
  • 90', Neugebauer T. , Szczepankiewicz B. ,
  • 90', Mena C. , Sezonienko K. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Korona Kielce
53.8%
Draw
25.7%
Lechia Gdańsk
20.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.6% 23.9% 23.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5% 23.5% 23.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Korona Kielce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • Lechia Gdańsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Korona Kielce than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lechia Gdańsk than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
  • Korona Kielce - Lechia Gdańsk Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.8
    (1.79)
    3.89
    (3.95)
    5.07
    (4.01)
    0.9%
    (6.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Korona Kielce - Lechia Gdańsk?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Korona will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Lechia will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Korona: 40%93.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Korona (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Korona won 2.
    • Korona has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Lechia is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Korona may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Korona is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Lechia: Pllana B. (Inactive) Sarnavskyi B. (Knee Injury) Tsarenko A. (Groin Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Korona won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 29:22. (average 1.5:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Korona won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:6. (average 1.4:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Korona Kielce - Lechia Gdańsk were as follows:
    11.05.2025 Lechia Gdańsk - Korona Kielce 3:2
    09.11.2024 Korona Kielce - Lechia Gdańsk 0:0
    18.02.2023 Korona Kielce - Lechia Gdańsk 1:0
    Latest results of Korona Kielce
    Latest results of Lechia Gdańsk
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gornik Zabrze1171318:9922
    2Jagiellonia1063119:13621
    3Cracovia1053218:12618
    4Korona Kielce1153315:10518
    5Wisla Plock1053212:7518
    6Lech Poznan1053218:16218
    7Legia1043313:9415
    8Radomiak Radom1143420:19115
    9Rakow1042412:13-114
    10Zaglebie1034321:16513
    11Widzew Lodz1141617:15213
    12Pogon Szczecin1141616:20-413
    13Arka Gdynia113357:15-812
    14Motor Lublin1025311:16-511
    15Termalica B-B1123615:21-69
    16GKS Katowice1122711:22-118
    17Piast Gliwice91448:11-37
    18Lechia Gdansk1133519:26-77

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Division 1

    Which TV channels are streaming of Korona Kielce - Lechia Gdańsk?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    canadaCanadabeIN Connect
    croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
    polandPolandCANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
    ukraineUkraineSport 1, Sport 3
    usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz
    worldWorldSport 1 Baltic
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