Lechia Gdańsk vs Jagiellonia Białystok: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Polish Ekstraklasa Lechia Gdańsk - Jagiellonia Białystok
Result
1:0
29/03/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Ekstraklasa - Round 26
  • Referee: Raczkowski P. (Pol)
Lechia Gdańsk - Jagiellonia Białystok - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.011.33
Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
1719
Shots on target
51
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
311
Passes
75% (256/342)80% (337/421)
Yellow Cards
20
Expected Goals (xG)
1.011.33
xG on target (xGOT)
0.970.02
Total shots
1719
Shots on target
51
Shots off target
79
Blocked Shots
59
Shots inside the Box
1113
Shots outside the Box
66
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
311
Touches in opposition box
2450
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
810
Passes
75% (256/342)80% (337/421)
Long passes
36% (23/64)53% (23/43)
Passes in final third
61% (57/93)69% (105/153)
Crosses
15% (2/13)28% (8/29)
Expected assists (xA)
0.651.41
Fouls
108
Tackles
59% (13/22)50% (9/18)
Duels won
5263
Clearances Total
4629
Interceptions
117
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
14
xGOT faced
0.020.97
Goals prevented
0.02-0.03

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 44', Pila D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 63', Hansen K. , Semedo E. ,
  • 63', Kubicki J. , Flach L. ,
  • 63', Pululu A. , Diaby-Fadiga L. ,
  • 65', 1 - 0, Viunnyk B. , Pllana B. (A),
  • 79', Stojinovic D. , Wojtuszek N. ,
  • 82', Mena C. , Wojtowicz T. ,
  • 84', Churlinov D. , Pietuszewski O. ,
  • 85', Neugebauer T. , Tsarenko A. ,
  • 90+3', Kalahur M. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Lechia Gdańsk
31%
Draw
27.1%
Jagiellonia Białystok
41.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.6% 26.9% 41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.6% 26% 42.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lechia Gdańsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • Jagiellonia Białystok has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lechia Gdańsk than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jagiellonia Białystok than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • Lechia Gdańsk - Jagiellonia Białystok Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.01
    (2.96)
    3.47
    (3.49)
    2.24
    (2.26)
    6.7%
    (6.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Lechia Gdańsk - Jagiellonia Białystok?
  • Users Predictions: Jagiellonia Białystok will win (17 of 19 users predict this - 89.47%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 75.67%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Lechia won 1.
    • Lechia is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Jagiellonia is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Lechia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Jagiellonia will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Jagiellonia: Dieguez A. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Lechia: Brylowski B. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Jagiellonia: Stojinovic D. (Inactive)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Lechia won 9 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 32:28 (average 1.6:1.4).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Lechia won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 19:12 (average 2.1:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lechia Gdańsk - Jagiellonia Białystok were as follows:
    21.09.2024 Jagiellonia Białystok - Lechia Gdańsk 3:2
    10.04.2023 Jagiellonia Białystok - Lechia Gdańsk 1:0
    17.09.2022 Lechia Gdańsk - Jagiellonia Białystok 2:2
    Latest results of Lechia Gdańsk
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arka Gdynia00000:000
    2Jagiellonia00000:000
    3Gornik Zabrze00000:000
    4Korona Kielce00000:000
    5Piast Gliwice00000:000
    6GKS Katowice00000:000
    7Motor Lublin00000:000
    8Wisla Plock00000:000
    9Pogon Szczecin00000:000
    10Legia00000:000
    11Lech Poznan00000:000
    12Zaglebie00000:000
    13Cracovia00000:000
    14Widzew Lodz00000:000
    15Radomiak Radom00000:000
    16Termalica B-B00000:000
    17Rakow00000:000
    18Lechia Gdansk00000:00-5

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Division 1

    Which TV channels are streaming of Lechia Gdańsk - Jagiellonia Białystok?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
    polandPolandCANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
    serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 7
    ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV
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