Lech Poznań vs Widzew Łódź: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Polish Ekstraklasa Lech Poznań - Widzew Łódź
Result
2:1
31/08/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Ekstraklasa - Round 7
  • Referee: Gryckiewicz P. (Pol)
Lech Poznań - Widzew Łódź - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.501.38
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
1315
Shots on target
53
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
57
Passes
82% (345/419)82% (318/389)
Yellow Cards
40
Expected Goals (xG)
1.501.38
xG on target (xGOT)
1.910.91
Total shots
1315
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
59
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
79
Shots outside the Box
66
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
57
Touches in opposition box
1525
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
16
Free Kicks
811
Passes
82% (345/419)82% (318/389)
Long passes
55% (31/56)48% (29/61)
Passes in final third
64% (63/99)63% (67/106)
Crosses
8% (1/13)17% (3/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.730.57
Throw-ins
1515
Fouls
118
Tackles
50% (6/12)73% (8/11)
Duels won
3640
Clearances
1617
Interceptions
127
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
0.911.91
Goals prevented
-0.09-0.09

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 21', 1 - 0, Palma L. , Pereira J. (A),
  • 29', Kozubal A. 🟨,
  • 37', Bengtsson L. 🟨,
  • 42', Moutinho J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 50', 1 - 1, Pawlowski B. (Pen),
  • 51', Mrozek B. 🟨,
  • 59', Kozubal A. , Rodriguez P. ,
  • 60', Ouma T. , Thordarson G. ,
  • 60', Moutinho J. , Gurgul M. ,
  • 60', Bengtsson L. , Lisman K. ,
  • 65', 2 - 1, Fiabema B. ,
  • 66', Pawlowski B. , Klukowski A. ,
  • 66', Baena Perez A. , Akere S. ,
  • 76', Fornalczyk M. , Teklic T. ,
  • 81', Czyz S. , Selahi L. ,
  • 86', Pereira J. , Douglas A. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Lech Poznań
53%
Draw
25.7%
Widzew Łódź
21.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.9% 25.4% 23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.5% 22.7% 26.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lech Poznań has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • Widzew Łódź has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lech Poznań than the current prediction. (-7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lech Poznań that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Widzew Łódź than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Widzew Łódź could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Lech Poznań - Widzew Łódź Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.79
    (1.82)
    3.76
    (3.65)
    4.6
    (3.9)
    4.1%
    (8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Lech Poznań - Widzew Łódź?
  • Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Lech will win (votes: 15 - 75%). Widzew will win (votes: 3 - 15%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 10%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Lech: 56%94%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Lech (votes: 1 - 25%). Widzew (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lech won 2.
    • Lech has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Widzew is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Widzew may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Lech is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Lech: Gholizadeh A. (Thigh Injury) Gumny R. (Ankle Injury) Hakans D. (Ankle Injury) Murawski R. (Leg Injury) Walemark P. (Surgery)
    • There will not play in Widzew: Bergier S. (Red Card) Kozlovsky S. (Ankle Injury) Therkildsen P. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Lech: Milic A. (Injury)
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Lech won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 23:12. (average 1.9:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Lech won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:6. (average 2.3:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lech Poznań - Widzew Łódź were as follows:
    31.01.2025 Lech Poznań - Widzew Łódź 4:1
    27.07.2024 Widzew Łódź - Lech Poznań 2:1
    19.05.2024 Widzew Łódź - Lech Poznań 1:1
    26.11.2023 Lech Poznań - Widzew Łódź 1:3
    19.03.2023 Widzew Łódź - Lech Poznań 1:2
    Latest results of Lech Poznań
    28.08.2025 Genk - Lech Poznań 1:2
    21.08.2025 Lech Poznań - Genk 1:5
    09.08.2025 Piast Gliwice - Lech Poznań Postponed
    Latest results of Widzew Łódź
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Wisla Plock751110:4616
    2Cracovia742113:9414
    3Gornik Zabrze740310:5512
    4Jagiellonia540112:9312
    5Korona Kielce732210:7311
    6Lech Poznan531110:10010
    7Pogon Szczecin731311:13-210
    8Radomiak Radom722313:1218
    9Termalica B-B722310:1008
    10Motor Lublin62226:9-38
    11Arka Gdynia72235:8-38
    12Legia52126:427
    13Widzew Lodz72149:907
    14GKS Katowice721410:15-57
    15Zaglebie613212:1026
    16Rakow52036:9-36
    17Piast Gliwice50322:5-33
    18Lechia Gdansk712412:19-70

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Division 1

    Which TV channels are streaming of Lech Poznań - Widzew Łódź?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    argentinaArgentinaFOX Sports 3
    canadaCanadabeIN Connect
    croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
    finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
    polandPolandCANAL+ Premium, Ekstraklasa TV, TVP Sport
    spainSpainGolStadium
    usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz
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