Śląsk Wrocław vs Lech Poznań: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Polish Ekstraklasa Śląsk Wrocław - Lech Poznań
Result
3:1
29/03/2025 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Ekstraklasa - Round 26
  • Referee: Lasyk P. (Pol)
Śląsk Wrocław - Lech Poznań - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.561.72
Ball Possession
39%61%
Total shots
2013
Shots on target
63
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
65
Passes
77% (224/292)80% (374/467)
Yellow Cards
52
Expected Goals (xG)
2.561.72
xG on target (xGOT)
2.621.67
Total shots
2013
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
96
Blocked Shots
54
Shots inside the Box
1210
Shots outside the Box
83
Hit the Woodwork
11
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
65
Touches in opposition box
2940
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1312
Passes
77% (224/292)80% (374/467)
Long passes
47% (22/47)40% (17/43)
Passes in final third
75% (85/114)67% (95/142)
Crosses
23% (3/13)37% (7/19)
Expected assists (xA)
1.501.18
Fouls
1213
Tackles
62% (13/21)58% (14/24)
Duels won
5263
Clearances Total
3718
Interceptions
99
Errors leading to shot
03
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
1.672.62
Goals prevented
0.67-0.38

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 11', 1 - 0, Al Hamlawi A. ,
  • 41', Zukowski M. 🟨,
  • 41', 1 - 1, Ishak M. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Samiec-Talar P. , Zukowski M. ,
  • 46', Pereira J. , Pingot M. ,
  • 49', Jezierski J. 🟨,
  • 58', Petkov A. 🟨,
  • 62', Jagiello F. , Hotic D. ,
  • 64', 2 - 1, Al Hamlawi A. ,
  • 70', Al Hamlawi A. , Udahl H. ,
  • 74', Gholizadeh A. , Lisman K. ,
  • 74', Walemark P. , Gonzalez M. ,
  • 77', Ortiz A. , Jasper S. ,
  • 77', Pozo J. , Baluta T. ,
  • 84', Jezierski J. , Ince B. ,
  • 88', Sousa A. 🟨,
  • 89', Pingot M. 🟨,
  • 89', Guercio T. 🟨,
  • 89', Szota S. 🟨,
  • 90+2', 3 - 1, Schwarz P. (Pen),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Śląsk Wrocław
28%
Draw
26.9%
Lech Poznań
45%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.5% 28.3% 44.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.1% 27.9% 44.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Śląsk Wrocław has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • Lech Poznań has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Śląsk Wrocław than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lech Poznań than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • Śląsk Wrocław - Lech Poznań Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.35
    (3.39)
    3.46
    (3.31)
    2.09
    (2.11)
    6.6%
    (7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Śląsk Wrocław - Lech Poznań?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Śląsk will win (votes: 3 - 20%). Lech will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Lech: 50.9%95.7%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Śląsk won 3.
    • The game of competitors is shaky now.
    • Lech will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • There will not play in Śląsk: Cebula M. (Knee Injury) Gerstenstein L. (Injury) Paluszek A. (Ankle Injury) Pokorny P. (Injury) Swierczok J. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Lech: Dagerstal F. (Injury) Gonzalez M. (Inactive) Murawski R. (Yellow Cards) Thordarson G. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Lech: Milic A. (Injury) Sousa A. (Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Śląsk won 7 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 22:25 (average 1.1:1.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Śląsk won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13:10 (average 1.4:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Śląsk Wrocław - Lech Poznań were as follows:
    22.09.2024 Lech Poznań - Śląsk Wrocław 1:0
    24.02.2024 Lech Poznań - Śląsk Wrocław 0:0
    20.08.2023 Śląsk Wrocław - Lech Poznań 3:1
    26.02.2023 Śląsk Wrocław - Lech Poznań 2:1
    19.10.2022 Lech Poznań - Śląsk Wrocław 1:3
    Latest results of Śląsk Wrocław
    Latest results of Lech Poznań
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arka Gdynia00000:000
    2Jagiellonia00000:000
    3Gornik Zabrze00000:000
    4Korona Kielce00000:000
    5Piast Gliwice00000:000
    6GKS Katowice00000:000
    7Motor Lublin00000:000
    8Wisla Plock00000:000
    9Pogon Szczecin00000:000
    10Legia00000:000
    11Lech Poznan00000:000
    12Zaglebie00000:000
    13Cracovia00000:000
    14Widzew Lodz00000:000
    15Radomiak Radom00000:000
    16Termalica B-B00000:000
    17Rakow00000:000
    18Lechia Gdansk00000:00-5

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Division 1

    Which TV channels are streaming of Śląsk Wrocław - Lech Poznań?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 5
    croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
    finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
    polandPolandCANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Poland, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
    serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 7
    ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV
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