Raków Częstochowa vs Lech Poznań: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Polish Ekstraklasa Raków Częstochowa - Lech Poznań
24/09/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Raków Częstochowa - Lech Poznań - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Raków Częstochowa
44.4%
Draw
26.3%
Lech Poznań
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.6% 26.2% 27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6% 25.1% 26.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Raków Częstochowa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
  • Lech Poznań has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Raków Częstochowa than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lech Poznań than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
  • Raków Częstochowa - Lech Poznań Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.1
    (2)
    3.62
    (3.55)
    3.18
    (3.41)
    6.7%
    (7.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 and 6).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Raków won 2.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Raków is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Raków won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 27:20. (average 1.7:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Raków won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:8. (average 1.7:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Raków Częstochowa - Lech Poznań were as follows:
    14.02.2025 Lech Poznań - Raków Częstochowa 0:1
    09.08.2024 Raków Częstochowa - Lech Poznań 0:0
    03.03.2024 Raków Częstochowa - Lech Poznań 4:0
    28.09.2023 Lech Poznań - Raków Częstochowa 4:1
    14.05.2023 Raków Częstochowa - Lech Poznań 0:2
    Latest results of Raków Częstochowa
    Latest results of Lech Poznań
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gornik Zabrze960314:7718
    2Cracovia852116:9717
    3Wisla Plock851210:5516
    4Jagiellonia751114:10416
    5Korona Kielce943211:7415
    6Lech Poznan741213:12113
    7Legia732211:6511
    8Radomiak Radom932415:16-111
    9Zaglebie824216:13310
    10Widzew Lodz931513:12110
    11Motor Lublin82429:12-310
    12Pogon Szczecin931514:18-410
    13Termalica B-B923411:13-29
    14Arka Gdynia92345:10-59
    15Rakow72147:11-47
    16GKS Katowice921610:20-107
    17Lechia Gdansk932418:22-46
    18Piast Gliwice70433:7-44

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Division 1

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