Radomiak Radom vs Lech Poznań: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

27/04/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Stadion im. Braci Czachorów (Radom).

: Ekstraklasa - Round 30
Referee: Lasyk P. (Pol)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.57	0.54
Ball Possession
47%	53%
Total shots
17	4
Shots on target
3	2
Big Chances
1	2
Corner Kicks
12	1
Passes
76% (250/329)	82% (332/405)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.57	0.54
xG on target (xGOT)
1.43	0.78
Total shots
17	4
Shots on target
3	2
Shots off target
6	0
Blocked Shots
8	2
Shots inside the Box
10	4
Shots outside the Box
6	0
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
1	2
Corner Kicks
12	1
Touches in opposition box
33	14
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	1
Free Kicks
10	9
Passes
76% (250/329)	82% (332/405)
Long passes
38% (23/60)	48% (23/48)
Passes in final third
64% (76/118)	69% (76/110)
Crosses
25% (9/36)	30% (3/10)
Expected assists (xA)
0.76	0.44
Throw-ins
19	23
Fouls
9	10
Tackles
47% (9/19)	33% (4/12)
Duels won
45	40
Clearances
28	41
Interceptions
4	9
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
1	2
Goalkeeper Saves
0	1
xGOT faced
0.78	1.43
Goals prevented
-1.22	-0.57

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 2)
5', 0 - 1, Ishak M. ⚽, Jagiello F. (A),
34', 0 - 2, Jagiello F. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
57', Salamon B. ↓, Monka W. ↑,
57', Jagiello F. ↓, Murawski R. ↑,
57', Lisman K. ↓, Hakans D. ↑,
65', Dadashov R. ↓, Tapsoba A. ↑,
66', Grzesik J. ↓, Alves R. ↑,
73', Golubickas P. ↓, Barbosa R. ↑,
73', Kaput M. ↓, Ramos F. ↑,
77', Gholizadeh A. ↓, Walemark P. ↑,
79', 1 - 2, Capita ⚽,
80', Wolski R. ↓, Pedro Perotti ↑,
84', Pereira J. ↓, Carstensen R. ↑,
90+2', 2 - 2, Tapsoba A. ⚽,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Radomiak Radom
26.7%

Draw
26.7%

Lech Poznań
46.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.8%

24.9%

50.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.9%

24%

52.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Radomiak Radom has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Lech Poznań has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Radomiak Radom than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lech Poznań than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lech Poznań could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Radomiak Radom - Lech Poznań Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.52 ↓ (3.75)	3.53 ↓ (3.73)	2.02 ↑ (1.85)	6.1% (7.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Radomiak Radom - Lech Poznań?

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Radomiak will win (votes: 7 - 46.7%). Lech will win (votes: 7 - 46.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Radomiak: 21.5% – 71.9%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Lech (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 13 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Radomiak won 0.
One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
Lech could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Lech will have a poor advantage in this game.
Last 8 head-to-head matches Radomiak won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7:11 (average 0.9:1.4).
Including matches at home between the teams Radomiak won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:6 (average 1.5:1.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Radomiak Radom won against Lech Poznań?

Radomiak Radom has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Lech Poznań won against Radomiak Radom?

Lech Poznań has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Radomiak Radom - Lech Poznań were as follows:

26.10.2024 Lech Poznań - Radomiak Radom 2:1

16.12.2023 Radomiak Radom - Lech Poznań 2:2

30.07.2023 Lech Poznań - Radomiak Radom 2:0

24.04.2023 Radomiak Radom - Lech Poznań 1:1

09.10.2022 Lech Poznań - Radomiak Radom 1:0

Latest results of Radomiak Radom

21.04.2025 Puszcza Niepołomice - Radomiak Radom 2:2 ✺

12.04.2025 Raków Częstochowa - Radomiak Radom 2:1 ✺

05.04.2025 Radomiak Radom - Zagłębie Lubin 0:1 ✺

30.03.2025 Korona Kielce - Radomiak Radom 1:3 ✺

14.03.2025 Radomiak Radom - Lechia Gdańsk 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Lech Poznań

21.04.2025 Lech Poznań - Cracovia 2:1 ✺

13.04.2025 Motor Lublin - Lech Poznań 1:2 ✺

05.04.2025 Lech Poznań - Korona Kielce 2:0 ✺

29.03.2025 Śląsk Wrocław - Lech Poznań 3:1 ✺

08.03.2025 Lech Poznań - Stal Mielec 3:1 ✺

Polish Ekstraklasa Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Arka Gdynia	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Jagiellonia	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Gornik Zabrze	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Korona Kielce	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Piast Gliwice	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	GKS Katowice	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Motor Lublin	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Wisla Plock	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Pogon Szczecin	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Legia	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Lech Poznan	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Zaglebie	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Cracovia	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Widzew Lodz	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Radomiak Radom	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Termalica B-B	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Rakow	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Lechia Gdansk	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	-5

      Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ Division 1

Which TV channels are streaming of Radomiak Radom - Lech Poznań?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Croatia	Arena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go
Poland	CANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Premium, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV, sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV
World	Onefootball