Result
1:1
16/08/2025 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Ekstraklasa - Round 5
- Referee: Lasyk P. (Pol)
Advertisement
Watch and bet Lech Poznań - Korona Kielce live
-
Sign in or
Register
(it's free) to watch and bet Live Stream*
- To place a bet while streaming, go to
Live In-Play
- Prior to joining Bet365.com and funding your account in order to view this event,
or any other particular event via Bet365.com live stream,
you are strongly advised to check with Bet365.com if,
depending on your place of residence, it is possible to view this live stream.
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 1.02 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 65% | 35% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (420/502) | 75% (194/258) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 1.02 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.33 | 0.44 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 12 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 36 | 26 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (420/502) | 75% (194/258) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (19/38) | 44% (22/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (124/174) | 75% (65/87) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 15% (4/26) | 26% (5/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.43 | 0.83 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 54% (7/13) | 69% (11/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 37 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.44 | 1.33 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.56 | 0.33 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 60', Lisman K. ↓, Rodriguez P. ↑,
- 64', 0 - 1, Blanik D. ⚽,
- 71', Dlugosz W. ↓, Davidovic S. ↑,
- 71', Blanik D. ↓, Niski N. ↑,
- 75', Bengtsson L. ↓, Fiabema B. ↑,
- 75', Thordarson G. ↓, Szymczak F. ↑,
- 75', Gurgul M. ↓, Moutinho J. ↑,
- 75', Antonin ↓, Nikolov V. ↑,
- 75', Nono ↓, Zwozny H. ↑,
- 79', Niski N. 🟨,
- 80', Svetlin T. ↓, Kaminski W. ↑,
- 83', 1 - 1, Palma L. ⚽, Ishak M. (A),
- 83', Jagiello F. ↓, Kozubal A. ↑,
- 90+2', Ishak M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Lech Poznań
54.1% | Draw
25.3% | Korona Kielce
20.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lech Poznań has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lech Poznań's form might have worsened.Korona Kielce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lech Poznań than the current prediction. (+9.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lech Poznań, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Korona Kielce than the current prediction. (-5.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Korona Kielce, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Lech Poznań - Korona Kielce Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.76 ↑
(1.5) |
3.74 ↓
(4.38) |
4.62 ↓
(5.93) |
5.3%
(6.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Lech Poznań - Korona Kielce?
Users Predictions:
21 users predict this event. Lech will win (votes: 19 - 90.5%). Korona will win (votes: 2 - 9.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lech: 78% – 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 5 - 100%).
- BTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%).
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Lech Poznań will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lech won 4.
- Lech is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Korona is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Lech may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Lech is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Lech: Hakans D.
(Ankle Injury)
Murawski R.
(Leg Injury)
Sousa A.
(Inactive)
Walemark P.
(Surgery)
- There will not play in Korona: Popov V.
(Foot Injury)
- There are questionable in Lech: Gumny R.
(Injury)
Jagiello F.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lech won 11 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 28:18. (average 1.4:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lech won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:9. (average 1.3:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Lech Poznań won against Korona Kielce?
Lech Poznań has won 5 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Korona Kielce won against Lech Poznań?
Korona Kielce has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lech Poznań - Korona Kielce were as follows:
05.04.2025
Lech Poznań
-
Korona Kielce
2:0
29.09.2024
Korona Kielce
-
Lech Poznań
2:3
25.05.2024
Lech Poznań
-
Korona Kielce
1:2
02.12.2023
Korona Kielce
-
Lech Poznań
0:1
19.05.2023
Korona Kielce
-
Lech Poznań
0:3
Latest results of Lech Poznań
Latest results of Korona Kielce
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gornik Zabrze | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 14:7 | 7 | 18 |
| 2 | Cracovia | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16:9 | 7 | 17 |
| 3 | Wisla Plock | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 10:5 | 5 | 16 |
| 4 | Jagiellonia | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 14:10 | 4 | 16 |
| 5 | Korona Kielce | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 11:7 | 4 | 15 |
| 6 | Lech Poznan | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13:12 | 1 | 13 |
| 7 | Legia | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11:6 | 5 | 11 |
| 8 | Radomiak Radom | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 15:16 | -1 | 11 |
| 9 | Zaglebie | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 16:13 | 3 | 10 |
| 10 | Widzew Lodz | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 13:12 | 1 | 10 |
| 11 | Motor Lublin | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9:12 | -3 | 10 |
| 12 | Pogon Szczecin | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 14:18 | -4 | 10 |
| 13 | Termalica B-B | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11:13 | -2 | 9 |
| 14 | Arka Gdynia | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5:10 | -5 | 9 |
| 15 | Rakow | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7:11 | -4 | 7 |
| 16 | GKS Katowice | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 10:20 | -10 | 7 |
| 17 | Lechia Gdansk | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 18:22 | -4 | 6 |
| 18 | Piast Gliwice | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 3:7 | -4 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
Which TV channels are streaming of Lech Poznań - Korona Kielce?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 6 |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Poland | CANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Poland, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 1x2, Arena Sport 7 |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
