Result
2:0
05/04/2025 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Ekstraklasa - Round 27
- Referee: Arys K. (Pol)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.53 | 1.36 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (449/532) | 76% (242/319) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.53 | 1.36 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.01 | 0.37 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 23 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (449/532) | 76% (242/319) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (13/37) | 47% (21/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (93/132) | 63% (52/82) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (5/17) | 27% (6/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.10 | 1.56 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (8/15) | 67% (12/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 50 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 22 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.37 | 2.01 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.37 | 0.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 30', 1 - 0, Gholizadeh A. ⚽, Walemark P. (A),
- 39', Pieczek M. ↓, Konstantyn J. ↑,
- 45+2', Resta P. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 55', Gholizadeh A. 🟨,
- 62', Pedro N. ↓, Blanik D. ↑,
- 62', Zwozny H. ↓, Dlugosz W. ↑,
- 63', Trojak M. 🟨,
- 64', Fornalczyk M. 🟨,
- 71', Lisman K. ↓, Hakans D. ↑,
- 79', Gholizadeh A. ↓, Hotic D. ↑,
- 79', Jagiello F. ↓, Fiabema B. ↑,
- 79', Nono ↓, Strzeboński M. ↑,
- 79', Dalmau A. ↓, Shikavka Y. ↑,
- 82', Strzeboński M. 🟨,
- 83', 2 - 0, Ishak M. ⚽,
- 85', Walemark P. ↓, Pereira J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Lech Poznań
58.4% | Draw
24.2% | Korona Kielce
17.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lech Poznań has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lech Poznań's form might have worsened.Korona Kielce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lech Poznań than the current prediction. (+8.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lech Poznań, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Korona Kielce than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
Lech Poznań - Korona Kielce Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.61 ↑
(1.45) |
3.88 ↓
(4.41) |
5.46 ↓
(6.65) |
6.4%
(6.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Lech Poznań - Korona Kielce?
Users Predictions:
20 users predict this event. Lech will win (votes: 16 - 80%). Korona will win (votes: 2 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lech: 62.5% – 97.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Lech (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 13).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Lech won 4.
- One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
- In this match Lech is absolute favorite.
- There will not play in Lech: Dagerstal F.
(Injury)
Milic A.
(Injury)
Sousa A.
(Yellow Cards)
Thordarson G.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Korona: Hofmayster Y.
(Injury)
Malarczyk P.
(Inactive)
Matuszewski K.
(Calf Injury)
Remacle M.
(Inactive)
Zator D.
(Inactive)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Lech won 10 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 26:19 (average 1.3:1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Lech won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12:9 (average 1.2:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Lech Poznań won against Korona Kielce?
Lech Poznań has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Korona Kielce won against Lech Poznań?
Korona Kielce has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lech Poznań - Korona Kielce were as follows:
29.09.2024
Korona Kielce
-
Lech Poznań
2:3
25.05.2024
Lech Poznań
-
Korona Kielce
1:2
02.12.2023
Korona Kielce
-
Lech Poznań
0:1
19.05.2023
Korona Kielce
-
Lech Poznań
0:3
06.11.2022
Lech Poznań
-
Korona Kielce
3:2
Latest results of Lech Poznań
Latest results of Korona Kielce
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Arka Gdynia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Jagiellonia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Gornik Zabrze | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Korona Kielce | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Piast Gliwice | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | GKS Katowice | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Motor Lublin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Wisla Plock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Pogon Szczecin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Legia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Lech Poznan | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Zaglebie | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Cracovia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Widzew Lodz | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Radomiak Radom | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Termalica B-B | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | Rakow | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | Lechia Gdansk | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | -5 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
Which TV channels are streaming of Lech Poznań - Korona Kielce?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 4 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Poland | CANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Poland, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Ukraine | Kyivstar TV |
 World | Onefootball |
