Lech Poznań vs Korona Kielce: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Polish Ekstraklasa Lech Poznań - Korona Kielce
Result
2:0
05/04/2025 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Ekstraklasa - Round 27
  • Referee: Arys K. (Pol)
Lech Poznań - Korona Kielce - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.531.36
Ball Possession
62%38%
Total shots
1419
Shots on target
45
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
56
Passes
84% (449/532)76% (242/319)
Yellow Cards
14
Expected Goals (xG)
1.531.36
xG on target (xGOT)
2.010.37
Total shots
1419
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
68
Blocked Shots
46
Shots inside the Box
910
Shots outside the Box
59
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
56
Touches in opposition box
3023
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1312
Passes
84% (449/532)76% (242/319)
Long passes
35% (13/37)47% (21/45)
Passes in final third
70% (93/132)63% (52/82)
Crosses
29% (5/17)27% (6/22)
Expected assists (xA)
1.101.56
Fouls
1213
Tackles
53% (8/15)67% (12/18)
Duels won
4350
Clearances Total
2218
Interceptions
76
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
52
xGOT faced
0.372.01
Goals prevented
0.370.00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 30', 1 - 0, Gholizadeh A. , Walemark P. (A),
  • 39', Pieczek M. , Konstantyn J. ,
  • 45+2', Resta P. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 55', Gholizadeh A. 🟨,
  • 62', Pedro N. , Blanik D. ,
  • 62', Zwozny H. , Dlugosz W. ,
  • 63', Trojak M. 🟨,
  • 64', Fornalczyk M. 🟨,
  • 71', Lisman K. , Hakans D. ,
  • 79', Gholizadeh A. , Hotic D. ,
  • 79', Jagiello F. , Fiabema B. ,
  • 79', Nono , Strzeboński M. ,
  • 79', Dalmau A. , Shikavka Y. ,
  • 82', Strzeboński M. 🟨,
  • 83', 2 - 0, Ishak M. ,
  • 85', Walemark P. , Pereira J. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Lech Poznań
58.4%
Draw
24.2%
Korona Kielce
17.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64.7% 21.2% 14.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.7% 20.6% 13.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lech Poznań has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lech Poznań's form might have worsened.
  • Korona Kielce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lech Poznań than the current prediction. (+8.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lech Poznań, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Korona Kielce than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
  • Lech Poznań - Korona Kielce Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.61
    (1.45)
    3.88
    (4.41)
    5.46
    (6.65)
    6.4%
    (6.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Lech Poznań - Korona Kielce?
    The most likely score is 1:0. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 13).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Lech won 4.
    • One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
    • In this match Lech is absolute favorite.
    • There will not play in Lech: Dagerstal F. (Injury) Milic A. (Injury) Sousa A. (Yellow Cards) Thordarson G. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Korona: Hofmayster Y. (Injury) Malarczyk P. (Inactive) Matuszewski K. (Calf Injury) Remacle M. (Inactive) Zator D. (Inactive)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Lech won 10 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 26:19 (average 1.3:1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Lech won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12:9 (average 1.2:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lech Poznań - Korona Kielce were as follows:
    29.09.2024 Korona Kielce - Lech Poznań 2:3
    25.05.2024 Lech Poznań - Korona Kielce 1:2
    02.12.2023 Korona Kielce - Lech Poznań 0:1
    19.05.2023 Korona Kielce - Lech Poznań 0:3
    06.11.2022 Lech Poznań - Korona Kielce 3:2
    Latest results of Lech Poznań
    Latest results of Korona Kielce
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arka Gdynia00000:000
    2Jagiellonia00000:000
    3Gornik Zabrze00000:000
    4Korona Kielce00000:000
    5Piast Gliwice00000:000
    6GKS Katowice00000:000
    7Motor Lublin00000:000
    8Wisla Plock00000:000
    9Pogon Szczecin00000:000
    10Legia00000:000
    11Lech Poznan00000:000
    12Zaglebie00000:000
    13Cracovia00000:000
    14Widzew Lodz00000:000
    15Radomiak Radom00000:000
    16Termalica B-B00000:000
    17Rakow00000:000
    18Lechia Gdansk00000:00-5

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Division 1

    Which TV channels are streaming of Lech Poznań - Korona Kielce?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 4
    croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
    finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
    polandPolandCANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Poland, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
    ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV
    worldWorldOnefootball
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