Result
16/08/2025 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
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Chances of winning
Lech Poznań 61.7% | Draw 21.6% | Korona Kielce 16.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lech Poznań has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)Korona Kielce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lech Poznań than the current prediction. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Korona Kielce than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
Lech Poznań - Korona Kielce Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.52 ↑ (1.5) |
4.33 ↓ (4.38) |
5.59 ↓ (5.93) |
7% (6.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lech won 4.
- Lech is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Korona's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Korona may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Lech is the obvious favorite.
- We predict that Lech will win today's game, with odds of 1.47.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lech won 11 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 28:18. (average 1.4:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lech won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:9. (average 1.3:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Lech Poznań won against Korona Kielce?
Lech Poznań has won 5 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Korona Kielce won against Lech Poznań?
Korona Kielce has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lech Poznań - Korona Kielce were as follows:
05.04.2025
Lech Poznań
-
Korona Kielce
2:0
29.09.2024
Korona Kielce
-
Lech Poznań
2:3
25.05.2024
Lech Poznań
-
Korona Kielce
1:2
02.12.2023
Korona Kielce
-
Lech Poznań
0:1
19.05.2023
Korona Kielce
-
Lech Poznań
0:3
Latest results of Lech Poznań
Latest results of Korona Kielce
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Wisla Plock | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:2 | 5 | 10 |
2 | Legia | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:1 | 4 | 7 |
3 | Radomiak Radom | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9:6 | 3 | 7 |
4 | Widzew Lodz | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:4 | 3 | 7 |
5 | Termalica B-B | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 7 |
6 | Cracovia | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10:8 | 2 | 7 |
7 | Jagiellonia | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:8 | 0 | 6 |
8 | Gornik Zabrze | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 6 |
9 | Lech Poznan | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:8 | -1 | 6 |
10 | Arka Gdynia | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 5 |
11 | Korona Kielce | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 4 |
12 | Pogon Szczecin | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7:9 | -2 | 4 |
13 | Motor Lublin | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:7 | -2 | 4 |
14 | Rakow | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 3 |
15 | Zaglebie | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 2 |
16 | GKS Katowice | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3:9 | -6 | 1 |
17 | Piast Gliwice | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
18 | Lechia Gdansk | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 9:11 | -2 | -3 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
Which TV channels are streaming of Lech Poznań - Korona Kielce?
It is being streamed on various channels, including: