Result
1:2
28/08/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Europa League - Qualification - Final
- Referee: Massa D. (Ita)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.57 | 1.07 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (469/539) | 80% (259/324) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.57 | 1.07 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.94 | 0.91 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (469/539) | 80% (259/324) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 58% (29/50) | 51% (22/43) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (143/188) | 67% (46/69) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 9% (2/23) | 23% (3/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.33 | 0.62 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (15/21) | 60% (15/25) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 58 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.91 | 0.94 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.09 | -0.06 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 31', 1 - 0, Ito J. ⚽,
- 33', Monka W. 🟨,
- 35', Ito J. 🟨,
- 43', 1 - 1, Lisman K. ⚽, Fiabema B. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Kozubal A. ↓, Thordarson G. ↑,
- 46', Palma L. ↓, Bengtsson L. ↑,
- 56', 1 - 2, Bengtsson L. ⚽,
- 60', Skrzypczak M. ↓, Douglas A. ↑,
- 61', Fiabema B. ↓, Szymczak F. ↑,
- 67', Ito J. ↓, Steuckers J. ↑,
- 67', Hrosovsky P. ↓, Heynen B. ↑,
- 67', Adedeji-Sternberg N. ↓, Sor Y. ↑,
- 70', Rodriguez P. ↓, Baranski B. ↑,
- 78', Medina Y. ↓, Kayembe J. ↑,
- 90', Oh Hyeon-Gyu ↓, Mirisola R. ↑,
Chances of winning
Genk
64.5% | Draw
20% | Lech Poznań
15.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Genk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)Lech Poznań has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Genk than the current prediction. (+3.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lech Poznań than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
Genk - Lech Poznań Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.45 ↑
(1.37) |
4.79 ↑
(4.4) |
6.09 ↓
(6.2) |
6.4%
(11.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Genk - Lech Poznań?
Users Predictions:
33 users predict this event. Genk will win (votes: 25 - 75.8%). Lech will win (votes: 3 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 15.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Genk: 61.2% – 90.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Genk (votes: 3 - 60%). Lech (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- 1st leg result: 5-1. 2nd leg.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Recently, Genk has had a series of away games.
- Recently, Lech has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Genk is the undisputed favorite.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Genk won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:2. (average 3:0.7).
- Including home match between the teams, Genk won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Genk won against Lech Poznań?
Genk has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lech Poznań won against Genk?
Lech Poznań has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Genk - Lech Poznań were as follows:
21.08.2025
Lech Poznań
-
Genk
1:5
Latest results of Lech Poznań
UEFA Europa League Table
League phase | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | D. Zagreb | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | Midtjylland | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Aston Villa | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 6 |
| 4 | Braga | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 6 |
| 5 | Lyon | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 6 |
| 6 | Lille | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 6 |
| 7 | FC Porto | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 6 |
| 8 | Plzen | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 4 |
| 9 | Betis | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 4 |
| 10 | Freiburg | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 11 | Ferencvaros | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
| 12 | Panathinaikos | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 3 |
| 13 | Celta Vigo | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 3 |
| 14 | Basel | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
| 15 | AS Roma | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 16 | G.A. Eagles | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 17 | Brann | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 18 | Genk | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 19 | Young Boys | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 |
| 20 | Fenerbahce | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 |
| 21 | Ludogorets | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
| 22 | Sturm Graz | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
| 23 | Stuttgart | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
| 24 | FCSB | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 3 |
| 25 | Nottingham | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 1 |
| 26 | Crvena zvezda | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
| 27 | Bologna | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
| 28 | PAOK | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
| 29 | Celtic | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
| 30 | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
| 31 | Nice | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 0 |
| 32 | Rangers | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
| 33 | Utrecht | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 34 | Salzburg | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
| 35 | Feyenoord | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
| 36 | Malmo FF | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
Which TV channels are streaming of Genk - Lech Poznań?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Belgium | DAZN Pro League 1, Play Sports 1 |
 Poland | sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app |
