Lecce vs Cremonese: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Italian Serie A
Result
2:1
08/03/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie A - Round 28
  • Referee: Sozza S. (Ita)
Lecce - Cremonese - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.600.95
Ball possession
41%59%
Total shots
910
Shots on target
35
Big chances
22
Corner kicks
44
Passes
69% (177/258)70% (249/355)
Yellow cards
13
Expected goals (xG)
1.600.95
xG on target (xGOT)
1.661.27
Total shots
910
Shots on target
35
Shots off target
33
Blocked shots
32
Shots inside the box
78
Shots outside the box
22
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
10
Big chances
22
Corner kicks
44
Touches in opposition box
1819
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
31
Free kicks
2819
Passes
69% (177/258)70% (249/355)
Long passes
44% (26/59)42% (31/73)
Passes in final third
56% (48/86)49% (53/109)
Crosses
20% (3/15)18% (5/28)
Expected assists (xA)
0.970.52
Throw ins
1637
Fouls
1928
Tackles
53% (8/15)60% (12/20)
Duels won
7377
Clearances
6121
Interceptions
115
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper saves
41
xGOT faced
1.271.66
Goals prevented
0.27-0.34

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 22', 1 - 0, Pierotti S. ⚽, Gallo A. (A),
  • 38', 2 - 0, Stulic N. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 44', Bianchetti M. 🟨,
  • 45+4', Siebert J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Bianchetti M. ↓, Zerbin A. ↑,
  • 46', Vardy J. ↓, Djuric M. ↑,
  • 46', Vandeputte J. ↓, Payero M. ↑,
  • 47', 2 - 1, Bonazzoli F. ⚽, Djuric M. (A),
  • 53', Djuric M. 🟨,
  • 62', Thorsby M. ↓, Okereke D. ↑,
  • 65', Stulic N. ↓, Cheddira W. ↑,
  • 74', Pezzella G. ↓, Sanabria A. ↑,
  • 79', Banda L. ↓, Gandelman O. ↑,
  • 79', Pierotti S. ↓, Jean G. ↑,
  • 89', Coulibaly L. ↓, Fofana S. ↑,
  • 90+7', Luperto S. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Lecce
40.7%		Draw
32.2%		Cremonese
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.2% 31.5% 24.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4% 32.1% 24.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lecce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
  • Cremonese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lecce than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cremonese than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
    •

    Lecce - Cremonese Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.36 ↑
    (2.15)    		 2.97 ↓
    (3.02)    		 3.5 ↓
    (3.92)    		 4.7%
    (5.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Lecce - Cremonese?
    • Users Predictions: 43 users predict this event. Lecce will win (votes: 18 - 41.9%). Cremonese will win (votes: 6 - 14%). It will Tie (votes: 19 - 44.2%).
      Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29.4% – 59%.
    • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Lecce (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Cremonese (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Tie (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
    • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
      • AH -0.25 - Lecce (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • DNB - Lecce (1.55) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
      • O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • 1X2, 2nd Half - Lecce (2.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • AH 0 - Lecce (1.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • DC - Lecce (1.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 15 Selected Experts predict this event. Lecce (votes: 8 - 53.3%). Cremonese (votes: 2 - 13.3%). Tie (votes: 5 - 33.3%).
      •
    • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    Preview Facts
    • This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 17).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lecce won 2.
    • Lecce has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Cremonese is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Lecce may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Lecce is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Lecce: Camarda F. (Injury) Gaspar K. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Cremonese: Baschirotto F. (Muscle Injury) Collocolo M. (Injury) Moumbagna F. (Muscle Injury) Terracciano F. (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Lecce: Berisha M. (Injury) Gandelman O. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Lecce won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:13. (average 1.2:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Lecce won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 1.8:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lecce - Cremonese were as follows:
    07.12.2025 Cremonese - Lecce 2:0
    04.02.2023 Cremonese - Lecce 0:2
    02.10.2022 Lecce - Cremonese 1:1
    Latest results of Lecce
    28.02.2026 Como - Lecce 3:1 ✺
    21.02.2026 Lecce - Inter Milan 0:2 ✺
    16.02.2026 Cagliari - Lecce 0:2 ✺
    08.02.2026 Lecce - Udinese 2:1 ✺
    01.02.2026 Torino - Lecce 1:0 ✺
    Latest results of Cremonese
    01.03.2026 Cremonese - Milan 0:2 ✺
    22.02.2026 Roma - Cremonese 3:0 ✺
    15.02.2026 Cremonese - Genoa 0:0 ✺
    09.02.2026 Atalanta - Cremonese 2:1 ✺
    01.02.2026 Cremonese - Inter Milan 0:2 ✺
    Italian Serie A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Inter31233571:264572
    2Napoli31205647:301765
    3AC Milan32189547:272063
    4Juventus32179655:292660
    5Como311610553:223158
    6AS Roma321831145:281757
    7Atalanta321411744:281653
    8Bologna311361240:37345
    9Lazio311111932:29344
    10Udinese321271338:42-443
    11Sassuolo311261338:41-342
    12Torino321161537:54-1739
    13Parma318111222:39-1735
    14Genoa31891436:44-833
    15Cagliari32891533:44-1133
    16Fiorentina317111336:44-832
    17Cremonese32691726:47-2127
    18Lecce31761821:43-2227
    19Verona32392023:55-3218
    20Pisa322121823:58-3518

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B

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