Lealtad vs Sámano: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1 Lealtad - Sámano
Result
2:2
21/09/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 3
Lealtad - Sámano - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 29', 0 - 1, Castillo Marcilla A. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 56', 1 - 1, ,
  • 72', 2 - 1, ,
  • 90+5', 2 - 2, ,

Chances of winning


Lealtad
51.1%
Draw
28%
Sámano
21%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.7% 28.5% 24.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7% 26.1% 27.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lealtad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
  • Sámano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lealtad than the current prediction. (-8.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lealtad that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sámano than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sámano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Lealtad - Sámano Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.8
    (1.95)
    3.28
    (3.2)
    4.38
    (3.67)
    8.9%
    (9.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • Lealtad has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Sámano is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Sámano may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Lealtad has had a series of away games.
    • Recently, Sámano has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Lealtad is the team to beat.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Lealtad
    14.09.2025 Sarriana - Lealtad 2:0
    06.09.2025 Lealtad - Numancia 1:1
    13.08.2025 Avilés Stadium - Lealtad 1:0
    06.08.2025 Covadonga - Lealtad 0:1
    Latest results of Sámano
    13.09.2025 Sámano - Real Oviedo B 0:2
    14.08.2025 Castro - Sámano 1:0
    09.08.2025 Sámano - Vimenor 3:1
    Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Dep. Fabril550014:31115
    2R. Oviedo B541014:7713
    3Real Avila54109:4513
    4Gimnastica Segoviana53118:3510
    5Salamanca53118:4410
    6Marino de Luanco53116:2410
    7Sarriana530210:739
    8Bergantinos52218:628
    9Numancia52127:9-27
    10Rayo Cantabria51226:7-15
    11Coruxo FC51225:7-25
    12Valladolid Promesas51135:8-34
    13Langreo50325:8-33
    14Burgos CF B50324:10-63
    15Atl. Astorga51044:12-83
    16UD Ourense50232:5-32
    17Lealtad50233:8-52
    18UD Samano50143:11-81

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