Auxerre vs Le Havre: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer French Ligue 1 Auxerre - Le Havre
Result
1:2
04/05/2025 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Ligue 1 - Round 32
  • Referee: Pignard J. (Fra)
Auxerre - Le Havre - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.241.54
Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
411
Shots on target
15
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
09
Passes
80% (311/387)85% (361/425)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
0.241.54
xG on target (xGOT)
0.682.10
Total shots
411
Shots on target
15
Shots off target
33
Blocked Shots
03
Shots inside the Box
39
Shots outside the Box
12
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
09
Touches in opposition box
819
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1011
Passes
80% (311/387)85% (361/425)
Long passes
38% (18/48)42% (15/36)
Passes in final third
62% (64/103)67% (61/91)
Crosses
38% (3/8)25% (7/28)
Expected assists (xA)
0.591.05
Throw-ins
2226
Fouls
1110
Tackles
64% (7/11)62% (8/13)
Duels won
3646
Clearances
2328
Interceptions
810
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
30
xGOT faced
2.100.68
Goals prevented
1.10-0.32

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 27', Akpa C. 🟨,
  • 43', Koka , Ayew A. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 62', 1 - 0, Sinayoko L. , Perrin G. (A),
  • 70', Ballo-Toure F. , Pembele T. ,
  • 70', Kechta Y. , Zouaoui Y. ,
  • 73', Onaiwu A. , Aye F. ,
  • 73', Joly P. , Hoever K. ,
  • 74', Diousse A. , Matondo R. ,
  • 75', Hoever K. 🟨,
  • 79', 1 - 1, Jubal Junior (Own goal),
  • 80', Oppegard F. , Mensah G. ,
  • 84', Casimir J. 🟨,
  • 89', Akpa C. , Bair T. ,
  • 90', Casimir J. , Diawara M. ,
  • 90', Toure A. , Ndiaye R. ,
  • 90+2', 1 - 2, Sangante A. , Mwanga J. (A),

Chances of winning


Auxerre 42.6%Draw 26.8%Le Havre 30.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
Auxerre 46.9%Draw 26.7%Le Havre 26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

Auxerre 47.5%Draw 26.4%Le Havre 26.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Auxerre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
  • Le Havre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Auxerre than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Le Havre than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
  • Auxerre - Le Havre Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.25
    (2.03)
    3.57
    (3.56)
    3.11
    (3.6)
    4.7%
    (5.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Auxerre - Le Havre?
    The most likely score is 1:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 10 and 16 in the zone Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Auxerre won 1.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Le Havre may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Auxerre could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Auxerre: Buayi-Kiala N. (Knee Injury) Coulibaly L. (Knee Injury) Danois K. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Le Havre: Housni I. (Ankle Injury) Kitala Y. (Ankle Injury) Logbo A. (Shoulder Injury) Mosengo D. N. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Auxerre: Osho G. (Injury) Owusu E. (Inactive) Traore H. J. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Le Havre: Lloris G. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Auxerre won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 18:28. (average 0.9:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Auxerre won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.1:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Auxerre - Le Havre were as follows:
    01.09.2024 Le Havre - Auxerre 3:1
    Latest results of Auxerre
    27.04.2025 Lens - Auxerre 0:4
    20.04.2025 Lille - Auxerre 3:1
    13.04.2025 Auxerre - Lyon 1:3
    06.04.2025 Rennes - Auxerre 0:1
    30.03.2025 Auxerre - Montpellier 1:0
    Latest results of Le Havre
    26.04.2025 Le Havre - Monaco 1:1
    13.04.2025 Le Havre - Rennes 1:5
    06.04.2025 Montpellier - Le Havre 0:2
    30.03.2025 Le Havre - Nantes 3:2
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2024/25
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSG ✔ 32246285:335278
    2Marseille32185967:442359
    3Monaco32177861:372458
    4Nice32169760:392157
    5Lille32169750:331757
    6Strasbourg32169753:391457
    7Lyon321661063:441954
    8Lens321461237:38-148
    9Brest321451350:53-347
    10Auxerre321181346:47-141
    11Rennes321221847:46138
    12Toulouse321081440:40038
    13Reims32891532:43-1133
    14Angers32961730:50-2033
    15Nantes327111435:51-1632
    16Le Havre32941936:66-3031
    17St Etienne32761935:74-3927
    18Montpellier ✔ 32442422:72-5016

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ Ligue 2

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    PSG is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (League phase )
    Montpellier is Relegated to Ligue 2
    Which TV channels are streaming of Auxerre - Le Havre?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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