LDU Quito vs São Paulo: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Copa Libertadores LDU Quito - São Paulo
18/09/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
LDU Quito - São Paulo - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


LDU Quito
49.3%
Draw
29.5%
São Paulo
21.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.8% 29.5% 21.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.7% 31.2% 20.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • LDU Quito has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • São Paulo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for LDU Quito than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Paulo than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
  • LDU Quito - São Paulo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.95
    (1.94)
    3.22
    (3.22)
    4.5
    (4.36)
    4.6%
    (5.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for LDU Quito - São Paulo?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. LDU Quito will win (votes: 9 - 75%). São Paulo will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for LDU Quito: 50.5%99.5%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg.
    • LDU Quito has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • São Paulo is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, LDU Quito is the team to beat.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, LDU Quito won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:7. (average 1.8:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, LDU Quito won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 3:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between LDU Quito - São Paulo were as follows:
    31.08.2023 São Paulo - LDU Quito 1:1
    24.08.2023 LDU Quito - São Paulo 2:1
    Latest results of LDU Quito
    12.09.2025 Libertad Loja - LDU Quito 0:1
    24.08.2025 El Nacional - LDU Quito 1:0
    21.08.2025 LDU Quito - Botafogo RJ 2:0
    17.08.2025 LDU Quito - Manta 1:1
    Latest results of São Paulo
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Atl. NacionalSao Paulo1 : 2, 0 : 0
    2Botafogo RJLDU Quito0 : 2, 1 : 0
    3Libertad AsuncionRiver Plate1 : 2, 0 : 0
    4U. de DeportesPalmeiras0 : 0, 0 : 4
    5FortalezaVelez Sarsfield0 : 2, 0 : 0
    6PenarolRacing Club1 : 3, 1 : 0
    7Cerro PortenoEstudiantes L.P.0 : 0, 0 : 1
    8Flamengo RJInternacional2 : 0, 1 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Sao PauloLDU Quito
    2River PlatePalmeiras
    3Velez SarsfieldRacing Club
    4Estudiantes L.P.Flamengo RJ
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