Orense vs LDU Quito: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Ecuadorian Liga Pro Orense - LDU Quito
Result
2:1
28/06/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga Pro - Round 18
  • Referee: Salazar B. L. (Ecu)
Orense - LDU Quito - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.180.75
Ball Possession
36%64%
Total shots
78
Shots on target
41
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
14
Passes
73% (169/232)80% (335/421)
Yellow Cards
53
Expected Goals (xG)
1.180.75
xG on target (xGOT)
1.580.30
Total shots
78
Shots on target
41
Shots off target
26
Blocked Shots
11
Shots inside the Box
37
Shots outside the Box
41
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
14
Touches in opposition box
1615
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
24
Free Kicks
1812
Passes
73% (169/232)80% (335/421)
Long passes
38% (20/52)47% (32/68)
Passes in final third
62% (55/89)70% (82/117)
Crosses
10% (1/10)0% (0/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.590.56
Throw-ins
1620
Fouls
1218
Tackles
42% (5/12)67% (8/12)
Duels won
4946
Clearances
2815
Interceptions
106
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
02
xGOT faced
0.301.58
Goals prevented
-0.73-0.42

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 32', Caicedo B. 🟨,
  • 37', Allala Menendez G. F. 🟨,
  • 39', 1 - 0, Mena A. (Pen),
  • 45+4', Arturia G. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Cabeza A. , Estrada M. ,
  • 46', Diaz M. , Alvarado A. ,
  • 55', Villamil G. 🟨,
  • 66', Quintero J. , de la Cruz D. I. ,
  • 68', Achilier G. 🟨,
  • 70', 1 - 1, Alzugaray L. ,
  • 72', Gruezo C. 🟨,
  • 74', 2 - 1, Caicedo B. , Vasquez S. (A),
  • 74', Caicedo B. 🟨,
  • 76', Herrera A. 🟨,
  • 77', Valverde J. , Luna R. ,
  • 79', Villamil G. , Cornejo F. ,
  • 83', Caicedo B. , Vinan B. ,
  • 87', Gruezo C. , Pastran L. ,
  • 88', Herrera A. , Bianchi O. ,

Chances of winning


Orense
32%
Draw
30%
LDU Quito
38%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29% 28.6% 42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.9% 27.6% 44%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Orense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
  • LDU Quito has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orense than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for LDU Quito than the current prediction. (+6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that LDU Quito could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Orense - LDU Quito Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.86
    (3.22)
    3.09
    (3.26)
    2.49
    (2.2)
    7.5%
    (7.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orense won 2.
    • Orense is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • LDU Quito is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • LDU Quito may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, LDU Quito has had a series of home games.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Orense won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:18. (average 1:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Orense won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:4. (average 1.6:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Orense - LDU Quito were as follows:
    01.03.2025 LDU Quito - Orense 4:0
    06.10.2024 LDU Quito - Orense 2:0
    19.04.2024 Orense - LDU Quito 1:0
    22.09.2023 LDU Quito - Orense 1:0
    22.04.2023 Orense - LDU Quito 2:1
    Latest results of Orense
    23.06.2025 Manta - Orense 0:0
    16.06.2025 Orense - Deportivo Macará 1:0
    31.05.2025 Emelec - Orense 1:0
    24.05.2025 Orense - SD Aucas 2:1
    17.05.2025 Mushuc Runa - Orense 2:5
    Latest results of LDU Quito
    Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. del Valle27178250:203059
    2Barcelona SC27145840:32847
    3LDU Quito27129642:261645
    4Dep. Cuenca27127832:26643
    5U. Catolica27119751:351642
    6Libertad27119740:34642
    7Orense27126931:31042
    8Aucas271151136:39-338
    9Emelec27108926:30-438
    10EL Nacional27971132:35-334
    11Macara277101026:28-231
    12Delfin276111025:40-1529
    13Manta275101231:45-1425
    14Tecnico U27671424:41-1725
    15Vinotinto27661529:38-924
    16Mushuc Runa ✔ 27651630:45-1523

          Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
          Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
          Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Mushuc Runa is Liga Pro (Relegation Group )
    Which TV channels are streaming of Orense - LDU Quito?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    ecuadorEcuadorCanal del Futbol, Ecuavisa, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping
    peruPeruZapping Sports
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