Result
2:1
28/06/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Liga Pro - Round 18
- Referee: Salazar B. L. (Ecu)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.18 | 0.75 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 36% | 64% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (169/232) | 80% (335/421) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.18 | 0.75 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.58 | 0.30 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (169/232) | 80% (335/421) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (20/52) | 47% (32/68) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (55/89) | 70% (82/117) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 10% (1/10) | 0% (0/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.59 | 0.56 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 42% (5/12) | 67% (8/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.30 | 1.58 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.73 | -0.42 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 32', Caicedo B. 🟨,
- 37', Allala Menendez G. F. 🟨,
- 39', 1 - 0, Mena A. (Pen),
- 45+4', Arturia G. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Cabeza A. ↓, Estrada M. ↑,
- 46', Diaz M. ↓, Alvarado A. ↑,
- 55', Villamil G. 🟨,
- 66', Quintero J. ↓, de la Cruz D. I. ↑,
- 68', Achilier G. 🟨,
- 70', 1 - 1, Alzugaray L. ⚽,
- 72', Gruezo C. 🟨,
- 74', 2 - 1, Caicedo B. ⚽, Vasquez S. (A),
- 74', Caicedo B. 🟨,
- 76', Herrera A. 🟨,
- 77', Valverde J. ↓, Luna R. ↑,
- 79', Villamil G. ↓, Cornejo F. ↑,
- 83', Caicedo B. ↓, Vinan B. ↑,
- 87', Gruezo C. ↓, Pastran L. ↑,
- 88', Herrera A. ↓, Bianchi O. ↑,
Chances of winning
Orense
32% | Draw
30% | LDU Quito
38% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Orense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)LDU Quito has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orense than the current prediction. (-4.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for LDU Quito than the current prediction. (+6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that LDU Quito could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Orense - LDU Quito Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.86 ↓
(3.22) |
3.09 ↓
(3.26) |
2.49 ↑
(2.2) |
7.5%
(7.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orense won 2.
- Orense is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- LDU Quito is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- LDU Quito may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, LDU Quito has had a series of home games.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Orense won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:18. (average 1:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Orense won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:4. (average 1.6:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Orense won against LDU Quito?
Orense has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has LDU Quito won against Orense?
LDU Quito has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Orense - LDU Quito were as follows:
01.03.2025
LDU Quito
-
Orense
4:0
06.10.2024
LDU Quito
-
Orense
2:0
19.04.2024
Orense
-
LDU Quito
1:0
22.09.2023
LDU Quito
-
Orense
1:0
22.04.2023
Orense
-
LDU Quito
2:1
Latest results of LDU Quito
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 31:16 | 15 | 33 |
| 2 | Barcelona SC | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 30:23 | 7 | 33 |
| 3 | Dep. Cuenca | 18 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 22:15 | 7 | 32 |
| 4 | LDU Quito | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 29:19 | 10 | 30 |
| 5 | Orense | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 21:21 | 0 | 30 |
| 6 | Aucas | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 24:20 | 4 | 26 |
| 7 | Delfin | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 19:23 | -4 | 25 |
| 8 | U. Catolica | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 28:20 | 8 | 24 |
| 9 | Libertad | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 27:25 | 2 | 24 |
| 10 | Vinotinto | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 25:22 | 3 | 22 |
| 11 | Manta | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 23:30 | -7 | 20 |
| 12 | EL Nacional | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 22:28 | -6 | 19 |
| 13 | Macara | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 13:16 | -3 | 18 |
| 14 | Emelec | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 12:21 | -9 | 18 |
| 15 | Mushuc Runa | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 22:35 | -13 | 15 |
| 16 | Tecnico U | 17 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 16:30 | -14 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
Which TV channels are streaming of Orense - LDU Quito?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, Ecuavisa, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
