LDU Quito vs Libertad Loja: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

19/05/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado (Quito).

: Liga Pro - Round 13
Referee: Guerrero G. (Ecu)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.87	0.77
Ball Possession
58%	42%
Total shots
15	9
Shots on target
5	1
Big Chances
1	0
Corner Kicks
4	14
Passes
87% (392/451)	80% (253/315)
Yellow Cards
1	3
Expected Goals (xG)
0.87	0.77
xG on target (xGOT)
0.85	0.13
Total shots
15	9
Shots on target
5	1
Shots off target
5	5
Blocked Shots
5	3
Shots inside the Box
4	4
Shots outside the Box
11	5
Hit the Woodwork
1	1
Big Chances
1	0
Corner Kicks
4	14
Touches in opposition box
20	26
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	3
Free Kicks
10	8
Passes
87% (392/451)	80% (253/315)
Long passes
61% (27/44)	53% (31/58)
Passes in final third
74% (84/114)	71% (79/111)
Crosses
21% (4/19)	19% (6/32)
Expected assists (xA)
0.75	0.83
Throw-ins
12	18
Fouls
8	10
Tackles
88% (15/17)	67% (14/21)
Duels won
50	41
Clearances
23	21
Interceptions
14	10
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
0	4
xGOT faced
0.13	0.85
Goals prevented
-0.87	-0.15

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
36', Bolanos D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Ayovi W. ↓, Quinonez Y. ↑,
46', Cornejo F. ↓, Alzugaray L. ↑,
46', Pastran L. ↓, Estrada M. ↑,
49', 1 - 0, Ramirez Leon B. J. ⚽, Gruezo C. (A),
57', Alvarado A. 🟨,
59', Verges J. ↓, Avila D. ↑,
59', Caicedo N. ↓, Quinonez A. ↑,
62', 1 - 1, Quinonez A. ⚽, Zambrano I. (A),
64', Montano J. 🟨,
70', Mina R. ↓, Allala Menendez G. F. ↑,
70', Gruezo C. ↓, Minda K. ↑,
70', Alvarado A. ↓, Villamil G. ↑,
80', Montano J. ↓, Humanante J. ↑,
90+7', Quinonez Y. 🟨,

Chances of winning

LDU Quito
66.6%

Draw
20.5%

Libertad Loja
12.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.2%

19.6%

13.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70%

18.8%

12.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

LDU Quito has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Libertad Loja has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for LDU Quito than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Libertad Loja than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

LDU Quito - Libertad Loja Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 (1.39)	4.55 ↓ (4.76)	7.15 ↑ (7.12)	7.9% (7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for LDU Quito - Libertad Loja?

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. LDU Quito will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Libertad will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. LDU Quito (votes: 1 - 50%). Libertad (votes: 1 - 50%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.

Preview Facts

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )).
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
LDU Quito may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, LDU Quito has had a series of away games.
In this match, LDU Quito is the undeniable favorite.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, LDU Quito won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:4. (average 3:1).
Including home matches between the teams, LDU Quito won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 3.5:1).

How many head-to-head matches has LDU Quito won against Libertad Loja?

LDU Quito has won 4 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Libertad Loja won against LDU Quito?

Libertad Loja has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between LDU Quito - Libertad Loja were as follows:

25.08.2024 LDU Quito - Libertad Loja 3:0

30.04.2024 Libertad Loja - LDU Quito 2:3

12.11.2023 Libertad Loja - LDU Quito 0:2

02.06.2023 LDU Quito - Libertad Loja 4:2

Latest results of LDU Quito

15.05.2025 Flamengo - LDU Quito 2:0 ✺

10.05.2025 Deportivo Macará - LDU Quito 0:1 ✺

07.05.2025 Deportivo Táchira - LDU Quito 2:3 ✺

03.05.2025 LDU Quito - El Nacional 2:2 ✺

26.04.2025 Manta - LDU Quito 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Libertad Loja

10.05.2025 Libertad Loja - Delfín 0:1 ✺

05.05.2025 SD Aucas - Libertad Loja 2:0 ✺

28.04.2025 Libertad Loja - Universidad Católica del Ecuador 3:1 ✺

19.04.2025 Libertad Loja - Mushuc Runa 2:1 ✺

11.04.2025 Emelec - Libertad Loja 1:1 ✺

Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Ind. del Valle	27	17	8	2	50:20	30	59
2	Barcelona SC	27	14	5	8	40:32	8	47
3	LDU Quito	27	12	9	6	42:26	16	45
4	Dep. Cuenca	27	12	7	8	32:26	6	43
5	U. Catolica	27	11	9	7	51:35	16	42
6	Orense	27	12	6	9	31:31	0	42
7	Libertad	26	11	8	7	40:34	6	41
8	Aucas	27	11	5	11	36:39	-3	38
9	Emelec	27	10	8	9	26:30	-4	38
10	EL Nacional	27	9	7	11	32:35	-3	34
11	Macara	27	7	10	10	26:28	-2	31
12	Delfin	26	6	10	10	25:40	-15	28
13	Manta	27	5	10	12	31:45	-14	25
14	Tecnico U	27	6	7	14	24:41	-17	25
15	Vinotinto	27	6	6	15	29:38	-9	24
16	Mushuc Runa ✔	27	6	5	16	30:45	-15	23

      Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
      Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
      Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )

Clinched Spots for Teams

Mushuc Runa is Liga Pro (Relegation Group )

Which TV channels are streaming of LDU Quito - Libertad Loja?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Ecuador	Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Teleamazonas, Zapping
Peru	Zapping Sports
Usa	Fanatiz