Lausanne-Sport vs Fiorentina: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer UEFA Europa Conference League Lausanne-Sport - Fiorentina
Result
1:0
18/12/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • : Conference League - League phase - Round 6
  • Referee: D'hondt L. (Bel)
Lausanne-Sport - Fiorentina - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.410.48
Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
1710
Shots on target
53
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
67
Passes
80% (351/439)86% (428/500)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
1.410.48
xG on target (xGOT)
1.420.46
Total shots
1710
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
51
Blocked Shots
76
Shots inside the Box
125
Shots outside the Box
54
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
67
Touches in opposition box
3316
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
04
Free Kicks
1511
Passes
80% (351/439)86% (428/500)
Long passes
38% (22/58)57% (30/53)
Passes in final third
66% (78/118)69% (70/102)
Crosses
28% (5/18)20% (5/25)
Expected assists (xA)
0.890.64
Throw-ins
1914
Fouls
1115
Tackles
40% (8/20)64% (9/14)
Duels won
6046
Clearances
2924
Interceptions
48
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
0.461.42
Goals prevented
0.460.42

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 55', Kouame C. , Fortini N. ,
  • 59', 1 - 0, Sigua G. , Kana-Biyik E. (A),
  • 70', Richardson A. , Mandragora R. ,
  • 70', Piccoli R. , Kean M. ,
  • 70', Dzeko E. , Gudmundsson A. ,
  • 70', Kana-Biyik E. , Ajdini A. ,
  • 70', Sigua G. , Custodio O. ,
  • 73', Kean M. 🟨,
  • 79', Butler-Oyedeji N. , Poaty M. ,
  • 83', Kouadio E. , Dodo ,
  • 85', Fortini N. 🟨,
  • 86', Fofana S. , Abdallah H. ,
  • 90', Lekoueiry B. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Lausanne-Sport
25.9%
Draw
25.3%
Fiorentina
48.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
16.1% 19.7% 64.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.5% 19% 66.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lausanne-Sport has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lausanne-Sport's performance.
  • Fiorentina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fiorentina might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lausanne-Sport than the current prediction. (-10.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lausanne-Sport that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (+17.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fiorentina could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Lausanne-Sport - Fiorentina Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.69
    (6.03)
    3.77
    (4.93)
    1.94
    (1.51)
    5.3%
    (3.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Lausanne-Sport - Fiorentina?
    • Users Predictions: 51 users predict this event. Lausanne-Sport will win (votes: 26 - 51%). Fiorentina will win (votes: 19 - 37.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 11.8%).
      Confidence interval (95%) for Lausanne-Sport: 37.3%64.7%.
    • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 26 Selected Experts predict this event. Lausanne-Sport (votes: 14 - 53.8%). Fiorentina (votes: 12 - 46.2%).
    • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
      • DC - Lausanne-Sport (1.68) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
      • O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .
      • AH -0.5 - Lausanne-Sport (3.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 33 Selected Experts predict this event. Lausanne-Sport (votes: 21 - 63.6%). Fiorentina (votes: 12 - 36.4%).
    • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
    Preview Facts
    • In recent matches, Lausanne-Sport has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Fiorentina has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Fiorentina is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Lausanne-Sport: Al Saad M. (Foot Injury) Beloko N. (Muscle Injury) Bruchez E. (Injury) Diakite G. (International duty)
    • There will not play in Fiorentina: Fazzini J. (Ankle Injury) Gosens R. (Thigh Injury) Lamptey T. (Knee Injury) Ndour C. (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Lausanne-Sport: Custodio O. (Inactive)
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Lausanne-Sport
    14.12.2025 Basel - Lausanne-Sport 0:0
    07.12.2025 Lausanne-Sport - Lugano 0:0
    03.12.2025 Yverdon - Lausanne-Sport 2:1
    30.11.2025 Lausanne-Sport - Thun 2:1
    Latest results of Fiorentina
    14.12.2025 Fiorentina - Verona 1:2
    11.12.2025 Fiorentina - Dynamo Kyiv 2:1
    06.12.2025 Sassuolo - Fiorentina 3:1
    30.11.2025 Atalanta - Fiorentina 2:0
    27.11.2025 Fiorentina - AEK Athens 0:1
    Draw

    1/8-finals
    1Vikingur ReykjavikBye
    5Borac Banja LukaBye
    6ByePetrocub
    7ML VitebskBye
    8ByeSutjeska
    9Shamrock RoversBye
    16ByeKuPS
    17Tre FioriBye
    19FlorianaBye
    20ByeDrita
    21FloraBye
    22ByeTNS
    24ByeInter Escaldes
    25KlaksvikBye
    29VardarBye
    30ByeRiga FC
    31BissenBye
    32ByeGyor
    33Lincoln Red ImpsBye
    40ByeLarne
    41HJKBye
    42ByeColeraine
    43MotherwellBye
    44ByeHB Torshavn
    48ByeFreiburg
    49Gornik ZabrzeBye
    56ByeMonaco
    57BasaksehirBye
    58FK SarajevoInter Turku1 : 2, 1 : 1
    59VaduzBye
    60Mornar BarAtletic Escaldes1 : 2, 1 : 2
    61DebrecenBye
    62MarsaxlokkPyunik Yerevan0 : 1, 0 : 3
    63Polissya ZhytomyrBye
    64ByeFC Copenhagen
    65HeartsBye
    69HegelmannPaide0 : 3, 1 : 1
    70ZiraTorpedo Kutaisi3 : 0, 3 : 0
    71PenybontFC Santa Coloma0 : 3, 0 : 1
    72ByeSK Rapid
    73AlashkertYelimay Semey3 : 2, 1 : 1
    74ByeCFR Cluj
    76ByeTromso
    80ByeBrighton
    81MondorfDinamo Tbilisi1 : 1, 1 : 2
    82PetrovacZalgiris1 : 2, 1 : 3
    84ByeHajduk Split
    85RakowBye
    86ByeValletta
    88ByeHammarby
    89PaksBye
    90ByePanathinaikos
    91TrnavaBye
    92ByeCSKA 1948 Sofia
    96ByeHradec Kralove
    97GoteborgBye
    98CaernarfonLevadia0 : 5, 0 : 5
    99LNZ CherkasyBye
    100ByeGent
    101VllazniaMalisheva0 : 5, 2 : 1
    102ByeHibernian
    103BravoBye
    104Europa FCShkendija0 : 1, 0 : 5
    105PAOKBye
    109U. ClujBye
    110ByeBrann
    111Dila GoriVirtus0 : 1, 3 : 1
    112ByeApollon
    113AtalantaBye
    117Hapoel Tel AvivBye
    118ByeLudogorets
    119ZilinaBye
    120ByeGKS Katowice
    121BohemiansSt Josephs0 : 0, 2 : 0
    122Connahs Q.FC Ballkani2 : 3, 0 : 0
    124ByeMidtjylland
    125RijekaBye
    126ByeDerry City
    127VikingurStjarnan2 : 2, 1 : 3
    128DifferdangeIlves1 : 3, 0 : 0
    129RangersBye
    133VarazdinBye
    134ByeJablonec
    135GlentoranRFS0 : 2, 1 : 2
    136ByeVestri
    137ValurBye
    138ByeZrinjski
    139GAISBye
    140ByeNordsjaelland
    141Sheriff TiraspolBye
    144ByeSt. Gallen
    145FCSBBye
    146ByeAuda
    147AluminijBye
    148Dinamo CityFC Astana4 : 1, 0 : 1
    152ByePafos
    153Zimbru ChisinauBye
    154ByeNoah
    155AF ElbasaniBATE0 : 1, 1 : 1
    156ByeSion
    157VojvodinaBye
    158ByeAjax
    159ShelbourneBye
    160KaljuLinfield2 : 2, 1 : 0
    161Zeleznicar PancevoBye
    162ByeBraga
    163Neftci BakuBye
    164Din. MinskSileks2 : 0, 0 : 1
    165AEK LarnacaBye
    166ByeBeitar Jerusalem
    167DecicFK Liepaja1 : 2, 0 : 1
    168ByeAustria Vienna
    169TwenteBye
    171Dun. StredaBye
    172Velez MostarMilsami1 : 0, 1 : 1
    173Dyn. KyivBye
    176ByeQarabag
    177GetafeBye
    181PartizanBye
    182UNA StrassenLa Fiorita2 : 0, 1 : 0
    183FK PanevezysBye
    184ByeTobol
    185LuganoBye
    186ByeDukagjini
    187NSI RunavikHamrun2 : 1, 1 : 1
    188ByeKoper
    192ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv

    Quarter-finals
    1Vikingur ReykjavikBye
    3Borac Banja LukaPetrocub3 : 3, 3 : 0
    4ML VitebskSutjeska2 : 1, 3 : 0
    5Shamrock RoversBye
    8ByeKuPS
    9Tre FioriBye
    10FlorianaDrita1 : 2, 1 : 1
    11FloraTNS1 : 1, 1 : 0
    12ByeInter Escaldes
    13KlaksvikBye
    15VardarRiga FC2 : 5, 2 : 3
    16BissenGyor1 : 1, 2 : 6
    17Lincoln Red ImpsBye
    20ByeLarne
    21HJKColeraine3 : 0, 5 : 0
    22MotherwellHB Torshavn3 : 0, 2 : 0
    24ByeFreiburg
    25Gornik ZabrzeBye
    28ByeMonaco
    29BasaksehirInter Turku0 : 2, 1 : 1
    30VaduzAtletic Escaldes2 : 0, 4 : 0
    31DebrecenPyunik Yerevan0 : 0, 1 : 0
    32Polissya ZhytomyrFC Copenhagen1 : 2, 3 : 3
    33HeartsBye
    35PaideZira1 : 1, 1 : 0
    36FC Santa ColomaSK Rapid2 : 6, 1 : 3
    37AlashkertCFR Cluj0 : 3, 1 : 1
    38ByeTromso
    40ByeBrighton
    41Dinamo TbilisiZalgiris2 : 7, 3 : 0
    42ByeHajduk Split
    43RakowValletta4 : 0, 3 : 1
    44ByeHammarby
    45PaksPanathinaikos2 : 2, 1 : 2
    46TrnavaCSKA 1948 Sofia0 : 1, 0 : 0
    48ByeHradec Kralove
    49GoteborgLevadia3 : 1, 1 : 2
    50LNZ CherkasyGent0 : 1, 0 : 0
    51MalishevaHibernian1 : 4, 2 : 0
    52BravoShkendija1 : 3, 2 : 1
    53PAOKBye
    55U. ClujBrann1 : 3, 2 : 2
    56Dila GoriApollon0 : 3, 0 : 4
    57AtalantaBye
    59Hapoel Tel AvivLudogorets2 : 2, 2 : 0
    60ZilinaGKS Katowice1 : 3, 2 : 1
    61BohemiansFC Ballkani3 : 3, 2 : 1
    62ByeMidtjylland
    63RijekaDerry City1 : 0, 1 : 0
    64StjarnanIlves1 : 3, 1 : 0
    65RangersBye
    67VarazdinJablonec0 : 2, 3 : 2
    68RFSVestri1 : 1, 4 : 1
    69ValurZrinjski2 : 2, 1 : 0
    70GAISNordsjaelland0 : 6, 1 : 0
    71Sheriff TiraspolBye
    72ByeSt. Gallen
    73FCSBAuda1 : 4, 2 : 3
    74AluminijDinamo City0 : 3, 1 : 1
    76ByePafos
    77Zimbru ChisinauNoah1 : 2, 1 : 1
    78BATESion0 : 4, 1 : 1
    79VojvodinaAjax1 : 4, 1 : 4
    80ShelbourneKalju1 : 2, 5 : 2
    81Zeleznicar PancevoBraga0 : 4, 0 : 1
    82Neftci BakuDin. Minsk1 : 0, 2 : 4
    83AEK LarnacaBeitar Jerusalem3 : 3, 0 : 1
    84FK LiepajaAustria Vienna1 : 3, 0 : 2
    85TwenteBye
    86Dun. StredaVelez Mostar3 : 0, 1 : 0
    87Dyn. KyivBye
    88ByeQarabag
    89GetafeBye
    91PartizanUNA Strassen1 : 0, 4 : 0
    92FK PanevezysTobol1 : 2, 1 : 1
    93LuganoDukagjini5 : 1, 1 : 0
    94NSI RunavikKoper4 : 1, 0 : 2
    96ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv

    Semi-finals
    1Vikingur ReykjavikBye
    2Borac Banja LukaML Vitebsk2 : 2, 1 : 0
    3Shamrock RoversBye
    4ByeKuPS
    5Tre FioriDrita0 : 5, 1 : 4
    6FloraInter Escaldes0 : 4, 0 : 2
    7KlaksvikBye
    8Riga FCGyor1 : 1, 1 : 0
    9Lincoln Red ImpsBye
    10ByeLarne
    11HJKMotherwell0 : 2, 1 : 1
    12ByeFreiburg
    13Gornik ZabrzeBye
    14ByeMonaco
    15Inter TurkuVaduz2 : 2, 2 : 1
    16DebrecenFC Copenhagen1 : 5, 0 : 3
    17HeartsBye
    18PaideSK Rapid0 : 2, 1 : 4
    19CFR ClujTromso1 : 2, 0 : 5
    20ByeBrighton
    21ZalgirisHajduk Split0 : 4, 2 : 5
    22RakowHammarby1 : 0, 0 : 0
    23PanathinaikosCSKA 1948 Sofia2 : 1, 1 : 1
    24ByeHradec Kralove
    25GoteborgGent1 : 1, 0 : 1
    26HibernianShkendija0 : 0, 2 : 1
    27PAOKBye
    28BrannApollon4 : 2, 0 : 1
    29AtalantaBye
    30Hapoel Tel AvivGKS Katowice1 : 2, 2 : 0
    31BohemiansMidtjylland2 : 3, 0 : 2
    32RijekaIlves1 : 1, 1 : 0
    33RangersBye
    34JablonecRFS2 : 1, 2 : 0
    35ValurNordsjaelland0 : 5, 0 : 2
    36Sheriff TiraspolSt. Gallen1 : 5, 1 : 3
    37AudaDinamo City0 : 4, 1 : 0
    38ByePafos
    39NoahSion1 : 2, 2 : 2
    40AjaxShelbourne2 : 2, 3 : 1
    41BragaDin. Minsk0 : 0, 1 : 0
    42Beitar JerusalemAustria Vienna2 : 2, 1 : 2
    43TwenteDun. Streda3 : 3, 6 : 0
    44Dyn. KyivQarabag0 : 2, 1 : 0
    45GetafeBye
    46PartizanTobol2 : 1, 3 : 0
    47LuganoNSI Runavik2 : 2, 2 : 0
    48ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv

    Final
    1Vikingur ReykjavikBorac Banja Luka
    2Shamrock RoversKuPS
    3DritaInter Escaldes
    4KlaksvikRiga FC
    5Lincoln Red ImpsLarne
    6MotherwellFreiburg
    7Gornik ZabrzeMonaco
    8Inter TurkuFC Copenhagen
    9HeartsSK Rapid
    10TromsoBrighton
    11Hajduk SplitRakow
    12PanathinaikosHradec Kralove
    13GentHibernian
    14PAOKBrann
    15AtalantaHapoel Tel Aviv
    16MidtjyllandRijeka
    17RangersJablonec
    18NordsjaellandSt. Gallen
    19Dinamo CityPafos
    20SionAjax
    21BragaAustria Vienna
    22TwenteQarabag
    23GetafePartizan
    24LuganoMaccabi Tel Aviv
    Which TV channels are streaming of Lausanne-Sport - Fiorentina?
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