Finland vs Latvia, IIHF World Championship: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Hockey IIHF World Championship Finland - Latvia
Result
2:1
17/05/2025 at 06:20 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : World Championship
Finland - Latvia - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Shots on Goal
2335
Shots off target
158
Shooting PCT
8.7% (2/23)2.86% (1/35)
Blocked Shots
1110
Goalkeeper Saves
3421
Saves PCT
97.14% (34/35)91.3% (21/23)
Penalties
69
PIM
1218
Power-play Goals
10
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
11.11% (1/9)0% (0/6)
Pen. Killing PCT
100% (6/6)88.89% (8/9)
Faceoffs Won
3525
Faceoffs %
58.3341.67
Empty Net Goals
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (0 - 0)
  • 03:08, Komuls M. (2 min),
  • 19:31, Abols R. (2 min),
  • 19:31, Tolvanen E. (2 min),
  • 2nd Period (1 - 0)
  • 05:16, Batna O. (2 min),
  • 07:37, 1 - 0, Parssinen J. (G), Hameenaho L. (A), Leppanen A. (A2)
  • 07:40, Parssinen J. (2 min),
  • 07:40, Batna O. (2 min),
  • 12:47, Bjorninen H. (2 min),
  • 12:47, Locmelis D. (2 min),
  • 13:33, Matinpalo N. (2 min),
  • 14:19, Lammikko J. (2 min),
  • 14:19, Jaks J. (2 min),
  • 14:58, Rubins K. (2 min),
  • 18:54, Locmelis D. (2 min),
  • 3rd Period (1 - 1)
  • 09:08, Tralmaks E. (2 min),
  • 10:55, 2 - 0, Lehtonen M. (G), Teravainen T. (A), Tolvanen E. (A2)
  • 15:09, 2 - 1, Abols R. (G), Balcers R. (A), Freibergs R. (A2)
  • 17:31, Rissanen R. (2 min),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Finland
65%
Draw
18.7%
Latvia
16.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
68.6% 17.6% 13.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.7% 17.6% 13.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Finland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
  • Latvia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Finland than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Latvia than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
  • Finland - Latvia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.45
    (1.4)
    5.03
    (5.46)
    5.76
    (6.97)
    6.3%
    (4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 5.00
  • What is the prediction for Finland - Latvia?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Finland will win (votes: 7 - 70%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Finland: 41.6%98.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Finland (votes: 1 - 50%). Latvia (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 4:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ World Championship (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 5)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Finland won 4.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Finland may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Finland is the team to beat.
    • We predict that Finland will win today's game, with odds of 1.45.
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Finland won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 51:20. (average 3.6:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Finland - Latvia were as follows:
    10.04.2025 Latvia - Finland 1:4
    09.04.2025 Latvia - Finland 3:2
    11.04.2024 Latvia - Finland 2:3
    10.04.2024 Latvia - Finland 2:3
    Latest results of Finland
    15.05.2025 Finland - Slovenia 9:1
    12.05.2025 Finland - Sweden 1:2
    11.05.2025 Finland - France 4:3
    09.05.2025 Austria - Finland 1:2
    04.05.2025 Sweden - Finland 6:2
    Latest results of Latvia
    14.05.2025 Latvia - Sweden 0:6
    13.05.2025 Slovenia - Latvia 2:5
    11.05.2025 Latvia - Canada 1:7
    10.05.2025 France - Latvia 1:4
    03.05.2025 Norway - Latvia 2:1
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Switzerland (B1)Austria (A4)6 : 0
    2Canada (A1)Denmark (B4)1 : 2
    3Sweden (A2)Czech Republic (B3)5 : 2
    4USA (B2)Finland (A3)5 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Switzerland (B1)Denmark (B4)7 : 0
    2Sweden (A2)USA (B2)2 : 6

    Final
    1Switzerland (B1)USA (B2)0 : 1

    3rd place
    2Sweden (A2)Denmark (B4)6 : 2
    Which TV channels are streaming of Finland - Latvia?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 2
    canadaCanadaTSN 1
    czech-republicCzech-republicCT sport Plus
    denmarkDenmarkViaplay
    finlandFinlandMTV 3, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1, TV5, Viaplay, V Sport 1
    latviaLatviaLTV 7
    norwayNorwayViaplay
    polandPolandPolsat Sport 3
    slovakiaSlovakiaJOJ Play, JOJ Sport
    swedenSwedenTV6, Viaplay
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