Tulsa vs Las Vegas Lights: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer USL Championship Tulsa - Las Vegas Lights
Result
4:3
12/07/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : USL Championship
Tulsa - Las Vegas Lights - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.211.10
Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
169
Shots on target
55
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
72
Passes
73% (255/348)79% (333/422)
Yellow Cards
16
Expected Goals (xG)
1.211.10
xG on target (xGOT)
1.971.55
Total shots
169
Shots on target
55
Shots off target
71
Blocked Shots
43
Shots inside the Box
117
Shots outside the Box
42
Hit the Woodwork
20
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
72
Touches in opposition box
2718
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
06
Free Kicks
1712
Passes
73% (255/348)79% (333/422)
Long passes
42% (26/62)48% (40/83)
Passes in final third
62% (78/126)59% (64/109)
Crosses
29% (6/21)17% (2/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.041.01
Throw-ins
1323
Fouls
1217
Tackles
56% (9/16)79% (11/14)
Duels won
5547
Clearances
2423
Interceptions
1011
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
1.551.97
Goals prevented
-1.45-1.03

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 2)
  • 9', 1 - 0, Marcos Serrato ,
  • 16', 2 - 0, Webber J. , St.Clair H. (A),
  • 32', 2 - 1, Rodriguez J. , Stojanovic S. (A),
  • 39', Gartig E. 🟨,
  • 45+2', 2 - 2, Smart S. , Nigro G. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 59', Howell M. , Boudadi Y. ,
  • 60', Goldthorp E. , Elmedkhar K. ,
  • 60', Stauffer L. , Pierre D. ,
  • 60', Webber J. , Lukic S. ,
  • 62', 2 - 3, Smart S. ,
  • 71', Stojanovic S. , Pickering N. ,
  • 71', Leal P. , O'Driscoll R. ,
  • 75', Smart S. 🟨,
  • 76', 3 - 3, Calheira T. , Marcos Serrato (A),
  • 81', Noel V. , Gannon C. ,
  • 82', Boudadi Y. 🟨,
  • 85', Pierre D. 🟨,
  • 87', Pearson C. 🟨,
  • 89', Rodriguez J. 🟨,
  • 90+1', O'Driscoll R. 🟨,
  • 90+2', 4 - 3, Gartig E. (Own goal),
  • 90+5', Marcos Serrato , Colli G. ,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Tulsa
54.3%
Draw
26%
Las Vegas Lights
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.3% 27.3% 22.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1% 26.4% 21.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tulsa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
  • Las Vegas Lights has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tulsa than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Las Vegas Lights than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
  • Tulsa - Las Vegas Lights Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.7
    (1.83)
    3.56
    (3.37)
    4.7
    (4.11)
    8.2%
    (8.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Tulsa - Las Vegas Lights?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Tulsa will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Las Vegas will win (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tulsa (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tulsa won 2.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Las Vegas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Tulsa is the team to beat.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Tulsa won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:8. (average 1.6:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tulsa won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tulsa - Las Vegas Lights were as follows:
    19.04.2025 Las Vegas Lights - Tulsa 1:4
    11.09.2024 Tulsa - Las Vegas Lights 1:1
    16.03.2024 Las Vegas Lights - Tulsa 1:3
    13.05.2023 Las Vegas Lights - Tulsa 1:1
    Latest results of Tulsa
    05.07.2025 Miami - Tulsa 2:2
    14.06.2025 Tulsa - Phoenix Rising 1:1
    31.05.2025 Tulsa - Birmingham Legion 1:2
    Latest results of Las Vegas Lights
    USL Championship Table
    2025

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Louisville City20145142:172547
    2Charleston20142441:212044
    3Loudoun2094731:29231
    4North Carolina1993729:26330
    5Pittsburgh2076719:18127
    6Detroit2067722:24-225
    7Hartford Athletic1965826:23323
    8Rhode Island2056915:20-521
    9Indy Eleven1955929:35-620
    10Miami FC20551019:31-1220
    11Birmingham2047923:32-919
    12Tampa Bay19531122:29-718


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Tulsa20116336:231339
    2Sacramento Republic1987429:161331
    3San Antonio1984725:26-128
    4El Paso1977532:27528
    5Orange County SC1883728:24427
    6New Mexico1882826:28-226
    7Phoenix Rising2067731:36-525
    8Lexington2067721:26-525
    9Colorado Springs1966724:25-124
    10Monterey Bay21651023:29-623
    11Oakland Roots19631023:30-721
    12Las Vegas Lights20551016:37-2120

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )

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