Sacramento Republic vs Las Vegas Lights: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer USL Championship Sacramento Republic - Las Vegas Lights
Result
5:0
17/05/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : USL Championship
  • Referee: Corbyn M. (Usa)
Sacramento Republic - Las Vegas Lights - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.710.68
Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
910
Shots on target
64
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
42
Passes
90% (409/455)86% (320/372)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
1.710.68
xG on target (xGOT)
3.320.50
Total shots
910
Shots on target
64
Shots off target
33
Blocked Shots
03
Shots inside the Box
95
Shots outside the Box
05
Hit the Woodwork
02
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
42
Touches in opposition box
3113
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
34
Free Kicks
1311
Passes
90% (409/455)86% (320/372)
Long passes
63% (25/40)65% (40/62)
Passes in final third
83% (143/173)64% (44/69)
Crosses
40% (12/30)20% (2/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.360.49
Throw-ins
1118
Fouls
1113
Tackles
77% (10/13)78% (7/9)
Duels won
3735
Clearances
922
Interceptions
77
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
41
xGOT faced
0.503.32
Goals prevented
0.50-1.68

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 10', Willey B. 🟨,
  • 28', Ross N. 🟨,
  • 30', 1 - 0, Herrera J. , Timmer J. (A),
  • 36', 2 - 0, Gurr J. , Benitez M. (A),
  • 44', 3 - 0, Jamieson L. , Herrera J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Singer J. , Jones N. ,
  • 46', Brewer S. , Gyau J. ,
  • 46', Willey B. , Luis Felipe ,
  • 63', Leal P. , Pearson C. ,
  • 64', Arozarena R. 🟨,
  • 66', 4 - 0, Ross N. (Pen),
  • 71', Herrera J. , Amann T. ,
  • 71', Ross N. , Lopez R. ,
  • 80', Azcona E. 🟨,
  • 81', Timmer J. 🟨,
  • 85', Parano C. , Kimbrough D. ,
  • 86', 5 - 0, Amann T. , Lopez R. (A),

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Sacramento Republic
58.1%
Draw
25.2%
Las Vegas Lights
16.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.3% 28.6% 25.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2% 30.4% 23.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sacramento Republic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sacramento Republic's performance.
  • Las Vegas Lights has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Las Vegas Lights might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sacramento Republic than the current prediction. (-8.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sacramento Republic that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Las Vegas Lights than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Las Vegas Lights could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Sacramento Republic - Las Vegas Lights Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.6
    (1.98)
    3.68
    (3.2)
    5.52
    (3.65)
    7.9%
    (9.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Sacramento Republic - Las Vegas Lights?
    The most likely score is 1:0. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sacramento Republic won 2.
    • Recent performances by Sacramento Republic have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Las Vegas is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Sacramento Republic may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Las Vegas has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Sacramento Republic is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Sacramento Republic won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 21:17. (average 1.4:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sacramento Republic won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:4. (average 1.3:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sacramento Republic - Las Vegas Lights were as follows:
    01.11.2024 Las Vegas Lights - Sacramento Republic 1:0
    21.09.2024 Las Vegas Lights - Sacramento Republic 2:1
    03.07.2024 Sacramento Republic - Las Vegas Lights 0:1
    01.10.2023 Sacramento Republic - Las Vegas Lights 2:0
    29.07.2023 Las Vegas Lights - Sacramento Republic 1:2
    Latest results of Sacramento Republic
    Latest results of Las Vegas Lights
    USL Championship Table
    2025

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Charleston970222:101221
    2Loudoun1070319:10921
    3Louisville City954013:5819
    4North Carolina1052315:11417
    5Detroit1045114:10417
    6Rhode Island933310:9112
    7Miami FC83149:12-310
    8Pittsburgh92256:10-48
    9Indy Eleven814313:16-37
    10Birmingham914410:14-47
    11Hartford Athletic81255:12-75
    12Tampa Bay91178:17-94


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1New Mexico960312:9318
    2FC Tulsa951312:7516
    3San Antonio1051414:15-116
    4El Paso1044219:15416
    5Monterey Bay1144313:10316
    6Sacramento Republic934215:10513
    7Phoenix Rising1034318:18013
    8Las Vegas Lights93336:12-612
    9Colorado Springs1025314:15-111
    10Oakland Roots1031613:19-610
    11Orange County SC931510:16-610
    12Lexington101459:17-87

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )

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