Las Vegas Lights vs Sacramento Republic: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer USL Championship Las Vegas Lights - Sacramento Republic
Result
0:2
04/07/2025 at 22:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : USL Championship
Las Vegas Lights - Sacramento Republic - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.311.31
Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
620
Shots on target
06
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
16
Passes
85% (289/342)88% (339/386)
Yellow Cards
42
Expected Goals (xG)
0.311.31
xG on target (xGOT)
0.001.10
Total shots
620
Shots on target
06
Shots off target
57
Blocked Shots
17
Shots inside the Box
218
Shots outside the Box
42
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
16
Touches in opposition box
834
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
50
Free Kicks
1420
Passes
85% (289/342)88% (339/386)
Long passes
50% (30/60)42% (15/36)
Passes in final third
52% (30/58)77% (99/128)
Crosses
22% (2/9)58% (11/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.131.03
Throw-ins
128
Fouls
2014
Tackles
40% (4/10)100% (8/8)
Duels won
3346
Clearances
1514
Interceptions
35
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
40
xGOT faced
1.100.00
Goals prevented
-0.900.00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 4', Jones N. 🟨,
  • 20', Boudadi Y. 🟨,
  • 22', Lopez R. 🟨,
  • 31', Gurr J. , Edwards A. ,
  • 45+1', Leal P. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 50', 0 - 1, Edwards A. , Lopez R. (A),
  • 53', Kleemann F. 🟨,
  • 60', Peeters D. , Pearson C. ,
  • 60', Stojanovic S. , Pickering N. ,
  • 67', 0 - 2, Cicerone R. , Willey B. (A),
  • 70', Boudadi Y. , Gannon C. ,
  • 70', Leal P. , Gyau J. ,
  • 75', Lopez R. , Luis Felipe ,
  • 75', Herrera J. , Wanner D. ,
  • 78', Nigro G. 🟨,
  • 81', Jones N. , Covil V. ,
  • 83', Benitez M. , Ukaegbu C. ,
  • 83', Cicerone R. , Amann T. ,
  • 90+2', Ross N. , Djedje R. ,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Las Vegas Lights
27%
Draw
28%
Sacramento Republic
45.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
24% 24% 52.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.1% 21.3% 46.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Las Vegas Lights has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
  • Sacramento Republic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sacramento Republic might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Las Vegas Lights than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sacramento Republic than the current prediction. (+1%)
  • Las Vegas Lights - Sacramento Republic Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.4
    (3.8)
    3.28
    (3.8)
    2.03
    (1.75)
    9.1%
    (9.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Las Vegas Lights - Sacramento Republic?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Las Vegas will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Sacramento Republic will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Las Vegas won 3.
    • Las Vegas has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Sacramento Republic is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Sacramento Republic might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Las Vegas won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 17:30. (average 1:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Las Vegas won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 1.6:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Las Vegas Lights - Sacramento Republic were as follows:
    31.05.2025 Sacramento Republic - Las Vegas Lights 4:0
    17.05.2025 Sacramento Republic - Las Vegas Lights 5:0
    01.11.2024 Las Vegas Lights - Sacramento Republic 1:0
    21.09.2024 Las Vegas Lights - Sacramento Republic 2:1
    03.07.2024 Sacramento Republic - Las Vegas Lights 0:1
    Latest results of Las Vegas Lights
    Latest results of Sacramento Republic
    USL Championship Table
    2025

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Louisville City16114129:121737
    2Charleston15102332:151732
    3Loudoun1582524:20426
    4North Carolina1372419:14523
    5Pittsburgh1462612:12020
    6Detroit1555519:20-120
    7Miami FC1452715:20-517
    8Indy Eleven1445523:24-117
    9Rhode Island1544714:17-316
    10Birmingham1636716:22-615
    11Tampa Bay1432916:24-811
    12Hartford Athletic1223713:19-69


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1New Mexico1481521:15625
    2San Antonio1573522:21124
    3El Paso1565424:22223
    4FC Tulsa1364317:11622
    5Sacramento Republic1455419:12720
    6Phoenix Rising1555524:25-120
    7Monterey Bay1654716:20-419
    8Las Vegas Lights1553710:20-1018
    9Orange County SC1352617:20-317
    10Oakland Roots1552816:23-717
    11Lexington1545616:22-617
    12Colorado Springs1536618:22-415

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )

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