Las Vegas Lights vs Sacramento Republic: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer USL Championship Las Vegas Lights - Sacramento Republic
Result
0:2
04/07/2025 at 22:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : USL Championship
Las Vegas Lights - Sacramento Republic - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.311.31
Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
620
Shots on target
06
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
16
Passes
85% (289/342)88% (339/386)
Yellow Cards
42
Expected Goals (xG)
0.311.31
xG on target (xGOT)
0.001.10
Total shots
620
Shots on target
06
Shots off target
57
Blocked Shots
17
Shots inside the Box
218
Shots outside the Box
42
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
16
Touches in opposition box
834
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
50
Free Kicks
1420
Passes
85% (289/342)88% (339/386)
Long passes
50% (30/60)42% (15/36)
Passes in final third
52% (30/58)77% (99/128)
Crosses
22% (2/9)58% (11/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.131.03
Throw-ins
128
Fouls
2014
Tackles
40% (4/10)100% (8/8)
Duels won
3346
Clearances
1514
Interceptions
35
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
40
xGOT faced
1.100.00
Goals prevented
-0.900.00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 4', Jones N. 🟨,
  • 20', Boudadi Y. 🟨,
  • 22', Lopez R. 🟨,
  • 31', Gurr J. , Edwards A. ,
  • 45+1', Leal P. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 50', 0 - 1, Edwards A. , Lopez R. (A),
  • 53', Kleemann F. 🟨,
  • 60', Peeters D. , Pearson C. ,
  • 60', Stojanovic S. , Pickering N. ,
  • 67', 0 - 2, Cicerone R. , Willey B. (A),
  • 70', Boudadi Y. , Gannon C. ,
  • 70', Leal P. , Gyau J. ,
  • 75', Lopez R. , Luis Felipe ,
  • 75', Herrera J. , Wanner D. ,
  • 78', Nigro G. 🟨,
  • 81', Jones N. , Covil V. ,
  • 83', Benitez M. , Ukaegbu C. ,
  • 83', Cicerone R. , Amann T. ,
  • 90+2', Ross N. , Djedje R. ,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Las Vegas Lights
27%
Draw
28%
Sacramento Republic
45.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
24% 24% 52.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.1% 21.3% 46.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Las Vegas Lights has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
  • Sacramento Republic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sacramento Republic might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Las Vegas Lights than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sacramento Republic than the current prediction. (+1%)
  • Las Vegas Lights - Sacramento Republic Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.4
    (3.8)
    3.28
    (3.8)
    2.03
    (1.75)
    9.1%
    (9.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Las Vegas Lights - Sacramento Republic?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Las Vegas will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Sacramento Republic will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Las Vegas won 3.
    • Las Vegas has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Sacramento Republic is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Sacramento Republic might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Las Vegas won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 17:30. (average 1:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Las Vegas won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 1.6:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Las Vegas Lights - Sacramento Republic were as follows:
    31.05.2025 Sacramento Republic - Las Vegas Lights 4:0
    17.05.2025 Sacramento Republic - Las Vegas Lights 5:0
    01.11.2024 Las Vegas Lights - Sacramento Republic 1:0
    21.09.2024 Las Vegas Lights - Sacramento Republic 2:1
    03.07.2024 Sacramento Republic - Las Vegas Lights 0:1
    Latest results of Las Vegas Lights
    Latest results of Sacramento Republic
    USL Championship Table
    2025

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Louisville City ✔ 25186151:193260
    2Charleston ✔ 25173552:272554
    3North Carolina25124938:34440
    4Loudoun25115941:42-138
    5Hartford Athletic251051038:29935
    6Pittsburgh2597925:24134
    7Detroit2588929:31-232
    8Rhode Island26871120:26-631
    9Indy Eleven25851238:44-629
    10Tampa Bay25751333:40-726
    11Birmingham254101131:44-1322
    12Miami FC26561522:40-1821


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Tulsa25138440:271347
    2Sacramento Republic24118537:191841
    3New Mexico251141034:33137
    4San Antonio24106834:31336
    5Lexington2598827:30-335
    6El Paso2589839:37233
    7Phoenix Rising25711742:44-232
    8Colorado Springs25871033:37-431
    9Orange County SC23851035:37-229
    10Oakland Roots24751229:38-926
    11Monterey Bay26671325:37-1225
    12Las Vegas Lights25671219:42-2325

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Louisville City is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    Charleston is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
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